Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 SEMI FINALS

Tue 30 Apr 2024 · 19:00 UTC Allianz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 24' Vinicius Junior
Leroy Sane 53' 1–1
Harry Kane pen 57' 2–1
2–2 83' Vinicius Junior pen

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
  • Assistant 2 Benjamin Pages
11 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 7.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr Real Madrid CF H 2–2 D
27 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
20 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 5–1 W
17 Apr Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
13 Apr 1. FC Köln H 2–0 W
09 Apr Arsenal FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
26 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 1–0 W
21 Apr FC Barcelona H 3–2 W
17 Apr Manchester City FC A 5–4 W
13 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–0 W
09 Apr Manchester City FC H 3–3 D

Season Stats

FC Bayern München Real Madrid CF
#2 Position #9
21 Points 15
8 Played 8
7 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
22 Scored 21
8 Conceded 12
+14 GD +9
2.63 PPG 1.88
88% Win % 63%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 2 G 1 A
Harry Kane 1 G 1 A
Alphonso Davies 1 G
Jamal Musiala 1 G
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.09 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern München or Real Madrid CF 75% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München42% Draw25% Real Madrid CF33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
67%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
58%
FC Bayern München or Real Madrid CF
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München35% Draw39% Real Madrid CF26%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
4%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 19% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 16% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.