Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 SEMI FINALS

Tue 30 Apr 2024 · 19:00 UTC Allianz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 24' Vinicius Junior
Leroy Sane 53' 1–1
Harry Kane pen 57' 2–1
2–2 83' Vinicius Junior pen

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CFChampions League at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
  • Assistant 2 Benjamin Pages
16 games this season 🟨 1.9/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr Real Madrid CF H 2–2 D
27 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
20 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 5–1 W
17 Apr Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
13 Apr 1. FC Koln H 2–0 W
09 Apr Arsenal FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
26 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 1–0 W
21 Apr FC Barcelona H 3–2 W
17 Apr Manchester City FC A 5–4 W
13 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–0 W
09 Apr Manchester City FC H 3–3 D

Season Stats

FC Bayern München Real Madrid CF
#2 Position #9
21 Points 15
8 Played 8
7 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
22 Scored 21
8 Conceded 12
+14 GD +9
2.63 PPG 1.88
88% Win % 63%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Allianz Arena that hosts another battle between FC Bayern München and Real Madrid CF.
  • 5' Antonio Rudiger has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 10' It looks surprising FC Bayern München does not make any changes. Noussair Mazraoui has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 24' Brilliant from the ! Vinicius Junior makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 24.
  • 29' The 40-year-old Manuel Neuer has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 34' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Bayern München in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Real Madrid CF's compact 4-4-2.
  • 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 43' FC Bayern Munchen receives a card for a hard tackle on 43.
  • 46' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Leon Goretzka has done his job and it is now time for Raphael Guerreiro to step up.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jamal Musiala suffering a number of foals already.
  • 53' Leroy Sane doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 57' Harry Kane does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
  • 62' Joselu is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Real Madrid CF tonight.
  • 64' Controversy at the stadium! Toni Kroos argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 65' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 65 minute. Nacho leaves to be changed by Eduardo Camavinga.
  • 70' Min-Jae Kim needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 75' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Jude Bellingham is replaced by Luka Modric on 75 minute.
  • 76' The crowd applauds Toni Kroos as he leaves the pitch. Brahim Diaz steps in for Real Madrid CF.
  • 80' Serge Gnabry is replacing Thomas Muller for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 83' Vinicius Junior does the damage! The net is bulging and Real Madrid CF surge ahead!
  • 87' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Rodrygo exits the field as Joselu enters on 87.
  • 90' Lucas Vazquez was booked on 90.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.09 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern München or Real Madrid CF 75% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München42% Draw25% Real Madrid CF33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
67%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
58%
FC Bayern München or Real Madrid CF
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München35% Draw39% Real Madrid CF26%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
4%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 19% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 16% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
18%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.