Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs Atalanta BC, Champions League 2025-26 LAST 16

Wed 18 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
FC Bayern München 2 games · Avg 6.0 goals Atalanta BC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Atalanta BC H 4–1 W
14 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
10 Mar Atalanta BC A 6–1 W
06 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach H 4–1 W
28 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 3–2 W
21 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar FC Bayern München A 1–4 L
14 Mar FC Internazionale Milano A 1–1 D
10 Mar FC Bayern München H 1–6 L
07 Mar Udinese Calcio H 2–2 D
01 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–2 L
25 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 4–1 W

Season Stats

FC Bayern München Atalanta BC
#2 Position #15
21 Points 13
8 Played 8
7 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 3
22 Scored 10
8 Conceded 10
+14 GD +0
2.63 PPG 1.63
88% Win % 50%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
25% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts). Atalanta BC are 15th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.17 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern München to win 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München76% Draw15% Atalanta BC9%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
91%
Draw or Atalanta BC
24%
FC Bayern München or Atalanta BC
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München61% Draw30% Atalanta BC9%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
7.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
4 – 0
7%
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
5.6%
1 – 0
5.5%
5 – 0
4.4%
5 – 1
4%
3 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 42% 58%
-2 42% 20% 38%
-1.5 62% 38%
-1 62% 18% 20%
-0.5 80% 20%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
41%
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
5%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.