Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS

Wed 15 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Arda Guler
1–2 29' Arda Guler
Harry Kane 38' 2–2
2–3 42' Kylian Mbappe
Luis Diaz 89' 3–3
Michael Olise 90+4' 4–3

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CFChampions League at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Slavko Vincic
  • Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
  • Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
18 games this season 🟨 3.1/game 10.0 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr Real Madrid CF H 4–3 W
11 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 5–0 W
07 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
04 Apr SC Freiburg A 3–2 W
21 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–0 W
18 Mar Atalanta BC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr FC Bayern München A 3–4 L
10 Apr Girona FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
04 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
22 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid H 3–2 W
17 Mar Manchester City FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

FC Bayern München Real Madrid CF
#2 Position #9
21 Points 15
8 Played 8
7 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
22 Scored 21
8 Conceded 12
+14 GD +9
2.63 PPG 1.88
88% Win % 63%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Bayern München and Real Madrid CF has kicked off!
  • 1' What a strike from Arda Guler! The score is 0-1.
  • 6' What a strike from Aleksandar Pavlovic! The score is 0-2.
  • 11' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Bayern München winning 100% of all matches.
  • 16' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jude Bellingham made 383 appearances and scored 81 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 21' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 29' What a strike from Arda Guler! The score is 0-3.
  • 29' A meaty challenge results in booking for Josip Stanisic on 29.
  • 34' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 38' Goal! Harry Kane scores his 270 goal in 385 matches.
  • 40' That looks like a foul for a card for Eder Militao.
  • 42' What a strike from Kylian Mbappe! The score is 0-5.
  • 44' FC Bayern Munchen receives a card for a hard tackle on 44.
  • 46' The whistle greets Josip Stanisic as he departs to be replaced by Alphonso Davies.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 56' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Thiago Pitarch has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 61' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 61 minute. Serge Gnabry leaves to be changed by Jamal Musiala.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Brahim Diaz is replaced by Eduardo Camavinga.
  • 67' Manuel Neuer needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 70' Antonio Rudiger is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
  • 75' It’s high time Arbeloa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 78' Eduardo Camavinga is having his name booked by the referee on 78.
  • 83' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joshua Kimmich, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Arena with 12 goals in the last 11 games.
  • 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Eduardo Camavinga on 86.
  • 89' GOAL! Luis Diaz scores on 89. Assisted by Jamal Musiala
  • 90' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Trent Alexander-Arnold is replaced by Thiago Pitarch on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. FC Bayern München beats Real Madrid CF

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.84 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München60% Draw19% Real Madrid CF21%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
78%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
40%
FC Bayern München or Real Madrid CF
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München45% Draw34% Real Madrid CF21%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.5%
4 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 16% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 18% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 12% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
17%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.