FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 8 games · 21 pts (2025/26)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Slavko Vincic
- Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
- Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
18 games this season
🟨 3.1/game
⚽ 10.0 goals/game
🟥 5 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 4–3 | W |
| 11 Apr | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 5–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr | FC Bayern München | A | 3–4 | L |
| 10 Apr | Girona FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Bayern München | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #9 |
| 21 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 7 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 3 |
| 22 | Scored | 21 |
| 8 | Conceded | 12 |
| +14 | GD | +9 |
| 2.63 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 88% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Bayern München and Real Madrid CF has kicked off!
- 1' What a strike from Arda Guler! The score is 0-1.
- 6' What a strike from Aleksandar Pavlovic! The score is 0-2.
- 11' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Bayern München winning 100% of all matches.
- 16' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jude Bellingham made 383 appearances and scored 81 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 21' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 29' What a strike from Arda Guler! The score is 0-3.
- 29' A meaty challenge results in booking for Josip Stanisic on 29.
- 34' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 38' Goal! Harry Kane scores his 270 goal in 385 matches.
- 40' That looks like a foul for a card for Eder Militao.
- 42' What a strike from Kylian Mbappe! The score is 0-5.
- 44' FC Bayern Munchen receives a card for a hard tackle on 44.
- 46' The whistle greets Josip Stanisic as he departs to be replaced by Alphonso Davies.
- 51' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 56' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Thiago Pitarch has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 61' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 61 minute. Serge Gnabry leaves to be changed by Jamal Musiala.
- 62' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Brahim Diaz is replaced by Eduardo Camavinga.
- 67' Manuel Neuer needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 70' Antonio Rudiger is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
- 75' It’s high time Arbeloa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 78' Eduardo Camavinga is having his name booked by the referee on 78.
- 83' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joshua Kimmich, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Arena with 12 goals in the last 11 games.
- 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Eduardo Camavinga on 86.
- 89' GOAL! Luis Diaz scores on 89. Assisted by Jamal Musiala
- 90' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Trent Alexander-Arnold is replaced by Thiago Pitarch on 90 minute.
- Full Time. FC Bayern München beats Real Madrid CF
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 7
- 1
- 6
- 4
- 2
- 27
- 14
- 17
- 44
- 45
Bench
- 8
- 22
- 19
- 21
- 10
- 3
- 40
- 11
- 37
- 38
Coach
Vincent Kompany
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 12
- 22
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Eduardo Camavinga 62'
- 10
- 23
- 13
- 8
- 7
- 3
- 5
-
15
Arda Guler ↓ Franco Mastantuono 90'
Bench
- 4
- 19
- 2
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 62'
- 18
- 20
- 26
- 24
- 16
-
30
Franco Mastantuono ↑ 90'
-
45
Thiago Pitarch ↑ 90'
- 29
Coach
Arbeloa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Joselu | 2 |
| Luis Diaz | 2 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 2 |
| Leroy Sane | 1 |
| Alphonso Davies | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
2026-04-15
FC Bayern München
4–3
Real Madrid CF
W
2026-04-11
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–5
FC Bayern München
W
2026-04-07
Real Madrid CF
1–2
FC Bayern München
W
2026-04-04
SC Freiburg
2–3
FC Bayern München
W
2026-03-21
FC Bayern München
4–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2026-03-18
FC Bayern München
4–1
Atalanta BC
W
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.84
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
78%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
40%
FC Bayern München or Real Madrid CF
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.5%
4 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 16% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 18% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

