Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2025-26 LAST 16

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UEFA Champions League · 2025-26

Manchester City FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Real Madrid CF

Tue 17 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League .

Manchester City FC 8 games · 16 pts (2025/26)
Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Clement Turpin

16 games this season 🟨 1.9/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	8	24
2	FC Bayern München	8	21
3	Liverpool FC	8	18
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	8	17
5	FC Barcelona	8	16
6	Chelsea FC	8	16
7	Sporting Clube de Portugal	8	16
8	Manchester City FC	8	16
9	Real Madrid CF	8	15
10	FC Internazionale Milano	8	15
11	Paris Saint-Germain FC	8	14
12	Newcastle United FC	8	14
13	Juventus FC	8	13
14	Club Atletico de Madrid	8	13
15	Atalanta BC	8	13
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	8	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11
18	PAE Olympiakos SFP	8	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10
20	Galatasaray SK	8	10
21	AS Monaco FC	8	10
22	Qarabag Agdam FK	8	10
23	FK Bodø/Glimt	8	9
24	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	8	9
25	Olympique de Marseille	8	9
26	Paphos FC	8	9
27	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	8	9
28	PSV	8	8
29	Athletic Club	8	8
30	SSC Napoli	8	8
31	FC København	8	8
32	AFC Ajax	8	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4
34	SK Slavia Praha	8	3
35	Villarreal CF	8	1
36	FK Kairat	8	1

Head-to-Head

Manchester City FC 13 games · Avg 4.3 goals Real Madrid CF

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-17 Manchester City FC 1–2 Real Madrid CF 2026-03-11 Real Madrid CF 3–0 Manchester City FC 2025-12-10 Real Madrid CF 1–2 Manchester City FC 2025-02-19 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Manchester City FC 2025-02-11 Manchester City FC 2–3 Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

Manchester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Mar	Real Madrid CF	H	1–2	L
14 Mar	West Ham United FC	A	1–1	D
11 Mar	Real Madrid CF	A	0–3	L
07 Mar	Newcastle United FC	A	3–1	W
04 Mar	Nottingham Forest FC	H	2–2	D
28 Feb	Leeds United FC	A	1–0	W

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Mar	Manchester City FC	A	2–1	W
14 Mar	Elche CF	H	4–1	W
11 Mar	Manchester City FC	H	3–0	W
06 Mar	RC Celta de Vigo	A	2–1	W
02 Mar	Getafe CF	H	0–1	L
25 Feb	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Manchester City FC		Real Madrid CF
#8	Position	#9
16	Points	15
8	Played	8
5 / 1 / 2	W / D / L	5 / 0 / 3
15	Scored	21
9	Conceded	12
+6	GD	+9
2.00	PPG	1.88
63%	Win %	63%

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

92% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

30% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/2

46-60

–/1

61-75

1/–

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Manchester City FC and Real Madrid CF has kicked off!
With this win, Real Madrid CF is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Manchester City FC Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Karim Benzema	5
Kevin De Bruyne	5
Bernardo Silva	4
Kylian Mbappe	4
Rodrygo	3
Gabriel Jesus	3
Erling Haaland	2
Phil Foden	2

Head to Head

Manchester City FC Form

2026-03-17 Manchester City FC 1–2 Real Madrid CF L 2026-03-14 West Ham United FC 1–1 Manchester City FC D 2026-03-11 Real Madrid CF 3–0 Manchester City FC L 2026-03-07 Newcastle United FC 1–3 Manchester City FC W 2026-03-04 Manchester City FC 2–2 Nottingham Forest FC D 2026-02-28 Leeds United FC 0–1 Manchester City FC W

Real Madrid CF Form

2026-03-17 Manchester City FC 1–2 Real Madrid CF W 2026-03-14 Real Madrid CF 4–1 Elche CF W 2026-03-11 Real Madrid CF 3–0 Manchester City FC W 2026-03-06 RC Celta de Vigo 1–2 Real Madrid CF W 2026-03-02 Real Madrid CF 0–1 Getafe CF L 2026-02-25 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Sport Lisboa e Benfica W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.57 Manchester City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.96 Real Madrid CF xG

I would bet for: Manchester City FC or Real Madrid CF 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Manchester City FC30% Draw25% Real Madrid CF45%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.53

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw

55%

Draw or Real Madrid CF

70%

Manchester City FC or Real Madrid CF

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Manchester City FC25% Draw40% Real Madrid CF35%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.9%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

6.6%

0 – 2

5.6%

1 – 3

5.5%

0 – 1

5.1%

2 – 3

4.4%

0 – 0

4.3%

1 – 0

2 – 0

3.7%

0 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap	Manchester City FC covers	Push	Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	16%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	19%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	14%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.