Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 16:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Jamal Musiala
0–2 53' Leon Goretzka
0–3 54' Michael Olise
0–4 65' Nicolas Jackson
0–5 88' Raphael Guerreiro

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr FC Bayern München H 0–5 L
05 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–1 D
22 Mar SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
13 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–2 L
08 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–0 D
28 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 5–0 W
07 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
04 Apr SC Freiburg A 3–2 W
21 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–0 W
18 Mar Atalanta BC H 4–1 W
14 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 FC Bayern München
#18 Position #1
26 Points 89
34 Played 34
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
29 Scored 122
60 Conceded 36
-31 GD +86
0.76 PPG 2.62
18% Win % 82%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
/3
16-30
1/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC St. Pauli 1910 and FC Bayern München has kicked off!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Michael Olise made 379 appearances and scored 50 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 9' Jamal Musiala puts FC Bayern Munchen on the lead.
  • 14' The travelling FC Bayern München supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 19' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a card on 19.
  • 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 29' FC St. Pauli 1910 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 29.
  • 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC St. Pauli 1910 that had 273 games and scored 143 goals.
  • 44' FC St. Pauli 1910 is showing some good football. However, FC St. Pauli 1910 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 49' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jonathan Tah, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 52' The referee calls foul for Joel Fujita. He receives a card.
  • 53' What a strike from Leon Goretzka! The score is 0-2.
  • 54' What a strike from Michael Olise! The score is 0-3.
  • 58' The supporters are chanting for Josip Stanisic. He replaces Konrad Laimer on 58 minute.
  • 59' Alphonso Davies is replacing Joshua Kimmich for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC St. Pauli 1910 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 65' What a strike from Nicolas Jackson! The score is 0-4.
  • 66' Another substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910 to replace Joel Fujita by Connor Metcalfe on 66 minute.
  • 67' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Hiroki Ito is replaced by Jonathan Tah.
  • 72' FC Bayern München looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Leon Goretzka scoring 1 goals.
  • 77' Another substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910 to replace Andreas Hountondji by Martijn Kaars on 77 minute.
  • 82' Tomoya Ando has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 84' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 84 minute. Jamal Musiala leaves to be changed by Bara Sapoko Ndiaye.
  • 88' Goal! Raphael Guerreiro scores his 45 goal in 521 matches.
  • 88' The whistle greets Mathias Pereira Lage as he departs to be replaced by Taichi Hara.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC St. Pauli 1910.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.67 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.42 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern München to win 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191010% Draw14% FC Bayern München76%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 4.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
24%
Draw or FC Bayern München
90%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or FC Bayern München
86%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 19105% Draw27% FC Bayern München68%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 3
11.2%
0 – 2
10.3%
0 – 4
9.4%
1 – 3
7.3%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 5
Actual
1 – 4
6.3%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 1
4.4%
1 – 5
4.4%
0 – 6
3.7%
1 – 6
2.6%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 99%
-1.5 1% 99%
-1 1% 3% 96%
-0.5 4% 96%
+0.5 14% 86%
+1 14% 16% 71%
+1.5 29% 71%
+2 29% 20% 50%
+2.5 50% 50%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
4%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
52%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.