FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
- Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
24 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 0–5 | L |
| 05 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Mar | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Feb | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 5–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FC St. Pauli 1910 | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #1 |
| 26 | Points | 89 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 6 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 28 / 5 / 1 |
| 29 | Scored | 122 |
| 60 | Conceded | 36 |
| -31 | GD | +86 |
| 0.76 | PPG | 2.62 |
| 18% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
35%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC St. Pauli 1910 and FC Bayern München has kicked off!
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Michael Olise made 379 appearances and scored 50 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 9' Jamal Musiala puts FC Bayern Munchen on the lead.
- 14' The travelling FC Bayern München supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 19' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a card on 19.
- 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 29' FC St. Pauli 1910 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 29.
- 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC St. Pauli 1910 that had 273 games and scored 143 goals.
- 44' FC St. Pauli 1910 is showing some good football. However, FC St. Pauli 1910 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 49' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jonathan Tah, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 52' The referee calls foul for Joel Fujita. He receives a card.
- 53' What a strike from Leon Goretzka! The score is 0-2.
- 54' What a strike from Michael Olise! The score is 0-3.
- 58' The supporters are chanting for Josip Stanisic. He replaces Konrad Laimer on 58 minute.
- 59' Alphonso Davies is replacing Joshua Kimmich for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
- 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC St. Pauli 1910 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 65' What a strike from Nicolas Jackson! The score is 0-4.
- 66' Another substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910 to replace Joel Fujita by Connor Metcalfe on 66 minute.
- 67' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Hiroki Ito is replaced by Jonathan Tah.
- 72' FC Bayern München looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Leon Goretzka scoring 1 goals.
- 77' Another substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910 to replace Andreas Hountondji by Martijn Kaars on 77 minute.
- 82' Tomoya Ando has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 84' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 84 minute. Jamal Musiala leaves to be changed by Bara Sapoko Ndiaye.
- 88' Goal! Raphael Guerreiro scores his 45 goal in 521 matches.
- 88' The whistle greets Mathias Pereira Lage as he departs to be replaced by Taichi Hara.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC St. Pauli 1910.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 28
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↓ Louis Oppie 77'
- 10
- 20
- 22
-
16
Joel Fujita ↓ Connor Metcalfe 66'
- 27
- 11
- 15
Bench
-
18
Taichi Hara ↑ 88'
- 25
-
24
Connor Metcalfe ↑ 66'
- 1
- 4
-
23
Louis Oppie ↑ 77'
-
19
Martijn Kaars ↑ 77'
- 9
- 34
Coach
Alexander Blessin
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 8
- 22
-
27
Konrad Laimer ↓ Josip Stanisic 58'
-
21
Hiroki Ito ↓ Jonathan Tah 67'
-
17
Michael Olise ↓ Luis Diaz 59'
-
10
Jamal Musiala ↓ Bara Ndiaye 84'
- 3
- 20
- 11
Bench
- 9
-
4
Jonathan Tah ↑ 67'
- 2
-
14
Luis Diaz ↑ 59'
-
19
Alphonso Davies ↑ 59'
-
44
Josip Stanisic ↑ 58'
- 40
- 45
-
39
Bara Ndiaye ↑ 84'
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leroy Sane | 2 |
| Jamal Musiala | 2 |
| Harry Kane | 1 |
| Lars Ritzka | 1 |
| Elias Saad | 1 |
| Leon Goretzka | 1 |
| Raphael Guerreiro | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2026-04-11
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–5
FC Bayern München
L
2026-04-05
1. FC Union Berlin
1–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
D
2026-03-22
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–2
SC Freiburg
L
2026-03-13
Borussia Monchengladbach
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2026-03-08
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–0
Eintracht Frankfurt
D
2026-02-28
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
FC Bayern München Form
2026-04-11
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–5
FC Bayern München
W
2026-04-07
Real Madrid CF
1–2
FC Bayern München
W
2026-04-04
SC Freiburg
2–3
FC Bayern München
W
2026-03-21
FC Bayern München
4–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2026-03-18
FC Bayern München
4–1
Atalanta BC
W
2026-03-14
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–1
FC Bayern München
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.67
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.42
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
FC Bayern München to win 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.09
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
24%
Draw or FC Bayern München
90%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or FC Bayern München
86%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 3
11.2%
0 – 2
10.3%
0 – 4
9.4%
1 – 3
7.3%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 5
Actual
1 – 4
6.3%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 1
4.4%
1 – 5
4.4%
0 – 6
3.7%
1 – 6
2.6%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 1% | 99% |
| -1.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -1 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -0.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| +0.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| +1 | 14% | 16% | 71% |
| +1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +2 | 29% | 20% | 50% |
| +2.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
52%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

