RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
- RCD Mallorca 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 7 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
3 games this season
🟨 5.0/game
⚽ 14.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Real Betis Balompié | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid CF | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla FC | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportivo Alavés | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | RC Deportivo La Coruña | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | CA Osasuna | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal CF | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | Getafe CF | 7 | 8 |
| 14 | RC Celta de Vigo | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 7 | 7 |
| 16 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 7 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante UD | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche CF | 7 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia CF | 7 | 4 |
| 20 | Málaga CF | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Elche CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Mar | CA Osasuna | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | RC Celta de Vigo | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Elche CF | H | 4–1 | W |
| 11 Mar | Manchester City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | RC Celta de Vigo | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 7 G | 2 A |
| Jude Bellingham | 3 G | 2 A |
| Carlos Espi | 2 G | |
| Vinicius Junior | 1 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadi Mallorca Son Moix will turn into a battlefield for RCD Mallorca and Real Madrid CF.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Arbeloa will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RCD Mallorca side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' RCD Mallorca is showing some good football. However, RCD Mallorca are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' RCD Mallorca started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' RCD Mallorca are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 30' The 19-year-old Thiago Pitarch has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 35' Arda Guler is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Real Madrid CF tonight.
- 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 553 games and scored 793 goals.
- 41' What a moment for Manu Morlanes! That strike on 41 puts his side firmly in control.
- 46' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 47' Dean Huijsen has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 47.
- 52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 57' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 59' Real Madrid CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vinicius Junior is hanging Manuel Angel on the field on 59 minute.
- 64' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Leo Roman.
- 70' Mateo Fernandez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Manu Morlanes on 70 minute.
- 72' The crowd applauds Arda Guler as he leaves the pitch. Thiago Pitarch steps in for Real Madrid CF.
- 76' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Brahim Diaz is replaced by Franco Mastantuono.
- 81' Time for substitution for RCD Mallorca. Zito Luvumbo is replaced by Antonio Sanchez.
- 84' That is a card for RCD Mallorca. Martin Valjent will be fuming at that decision.
- 88' A goal from the Brazil international Eder Militao! He fires home on 88 to make it 1-1!
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Franco Mastantuono.
- With this win, RCD Mallorca is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
RCD Mallorca Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
- 23
- 5
- 22
- 10
-
8
Manu Morlanes ↓ Mateo Fernandez 70'
- 24
- 7
- 12
-
15
Zito Luvumbo ↓ Antonio Sanchez 81'
- 1
-
20
Pablo Torre ↓ Jan Virgili 70'
Bench
- 11
- 25
- 3
- 4
- 9
- 2
- 19
-
18
Mateo Fernandez ↑ 70'
- 30
-
6
Antonio Sanchez ↑ 81'
-
27
David Lopez ↑ 70'
-
17
Jan Virgili ↑ 70'
Coach
Martín Demichelis
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 12
- 22
- 21
- 10
- 14
- 13
- 6
-
15
Arda Guler ↓ Thiago Pitarch 72'
- 18
-
24
Dean Huijsen ↓ Eder Militao 59'
-
37
Manuel Angel ↓ Vinicius Junior 59'
Bench
- 4
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↑ 59'
- 2
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 59'
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↑ 59'
- 20
- 26
- 16
- 17
-
30
Franco Mastantuono ↑ 76'
-
45
Thiago Pitarch ↑ 72'
- 38
Coach
Arbeloa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 5 |
| Vedat Muriqi | 4 |
| Vinicius Junior | 4 |
| Marco Asensio | 3 |
| Antonio Rudiger | 2 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Eder Militao | 1 |
| Manu Morlanes | 1 |
Head to Head
RCD Mallorca Form
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32
RCD Mallorca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
RCD Mallorca or Real Madrid CF 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RCD Mallorca win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
RCD Mallorca or Draw
68%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
62%
RCD Mallorca or Real Madrid CF
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RCD Mallorca win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
10%
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — RCD Mallorca
| Handicap | RCD Mallorca covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 20% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
RCD Mallorca keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.