Thursday , 2 July 2026

RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 14:15 UTC Estadi Mallorca Son Moix 23,015 HT 45' · FT 45'
Manu Morlanes 41' 1–0
1–1 88' Eder Militao
Vedat Muriqi 90+1' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
9 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 3.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Real Madrid CF H 2–1 W
21 Mar Elche CF A 1–2 L
15 Mar RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 2–1 W
07 Mar CA Osasuna A 2–2 D
28 Feb Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 0–1 L
22 Feb RC Celta de Vigo A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
22 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid H 3–2 W
17 Mar Manchester City FC A 2–1 W
14 Mar Elche CF H 4–1 W
11 Mar Manchester City FC H 3–0 W
06 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 2–1 W

Season Stats

RCD Mallorca Real Madrid CF
#17 Position #2
42 Points 86
38 Played 38
11 / 9 / 18 W / D / L 27 / 5 / 6
47 Scored 77
57 Conceded 35
-10 GD +42
1.11 PPG 2.26
29% Win % 71%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RCD Mallorca are 17th (42 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: RCD Mallorca gets underway.
  • 5' Samuel Almeida Costa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 24 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Real Madrid CF winning 50% of all matches.
  • 15' RCD Mallorca is showing some good football. However, RCD Mallorca are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Real Madrid CF looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Eder Militao scoring 1 goals.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RCD Mallorca that had 228 games and scored 207 goals.
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Manuel Angel suffering a number of foals already.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RCD Mallorca needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Martin Valjent made 190 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 41' RCD Mallorca is taking the lead after the goal scored by Manu Morlanes on 41.
  • 46' It’s high time Martín Demichelis made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 47' The referee calls foul for Dean Huijsen. He receives a card.
  • 52' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 57' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brahim Diaz, as he is very good at scoring at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Vinicius Junior. He replaces Manuel Angel on 59 minute.
  • 64' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Leo Roman on 66.
  • 70' RCD Mallorca manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mateo Fernandez is hanging Manu Morlanes on the field on 70 minute.
  • 72' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 72 minute. Arda Guler leaves to be changed by Thiago Pitarch.
  • 76' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 76 minute. Brahim Diaz leaves to be changed by Franco Mastantuono.
  • 81' Antonio Sanchez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zito Luvumbo on 81 minute.
  • 84' RCD Mallorca receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
  • 88' What a strike from Eder Militao! The score is 1-1.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Franco Mastantuono. He receives a card.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Real Madrid CF.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.16 RCD Mallorca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: RCD Mallorca or Real Madrid CF 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RCD Mallorca29% Draw27% Real Madrid CF44%
Actual: RCD Mallorca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

RCD Mallorca or Draw
55%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
71%
RCD Mallorca or Real Madrid CF
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RCD Mallorca20% Draw44% Real Madrid CF36%
Actual: RCD Mallorca win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
5.5%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — RCD Mallorca

Handicap RCD Mallorca covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 22% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

RCD Mallorca keeps clean sheet
18%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.