Sunday , 16 August 2026

RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 14:15 UTC Estadi Mallorca Son Moix 23,015 HT 45' · FT 45'
Manu Morlanes 41' 1–0
1–1 88' Eder Militao
Vedat Muriqi 90+1' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 2.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Real Madrid CF H 2–1 W
21 Mar Elche CF A 1–2 L
15 Mar RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 2–1 W
07 Mar CA Osasuna A 2–2 D
28 Feb Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 0–1 L
22 Feb RC Celta de Vigo A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
22 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid H 3–2 W
17 Mar Manchester City FC A 2–1 W
14 Mar Elche CF H 4–1 W
11 Mar Manchester City FC H 3–0 W
06 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 2–1 W

Season Stats

RCD Mallorca Real Madrid CF
#1 Position #10
42 Points 0
38 Played 0
11 / 9 / 18 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
47 Scored 0
57 Conceded 0
-10 GD +0
1.11 PPG
29% Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RCD Mallorca are 1st (42 pts). Real Madrid CF are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The 27-year-old Andriy Lunin has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' Spain international Pablo Torre has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RCD Mallorca and Real Madrid CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brahim Diaz, as he is very good at scoring at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' Trent Alexander-Arnold, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' It’s high time Martín Demichelis made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 41' What a moment for Manu Morlanes! That strike on 41 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 46' Thiago Pitarch needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 47' That is a card for Real Madrid CF. Dean Huijsen will be fuming at that decision.
  • 52' RCD Mallorca currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 57' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Antonio Rudiger has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 59' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Manuel Angel exits the field as Vinicius Junior enters on 59.
  • 64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
  • 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Leo Roman on 66.
  • 70' Time for substitution for RCD Mallorca. Manu Morlanes is replaced by Mateo Fernandez.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Arda Guler is replaced by Thiago Pitarch.
  • 76' The whistle greets Brahim Diaz as he departs to be replaced by Franco Mastantuono.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Antonio Sanchez. He replaces Zito Luvumbo on 81 minute.
  • 84' It’s gonna be a card for Martin Valjent.
  • 88' Eder Militao has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 88 minutes.
  • 90' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. RCD Mallorca take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.68 RCD Mallorca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RCD Mallorca32% Draw38% Real Madrid CF30%
Actual: RCD Mallorca win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 40%
60%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

RCD Mallorca or Draw
70%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
68%
RCD Mallorca or Real Madrid CF
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RCD Mallorca17% Draw65% Real Madrid CF18%
Actual: RCD Mallorca win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28.3%
0 – 1
15.9%
1 – 0
15.6%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
1.6%
0 – 3
1.2%
3 – 0
1.2%
1 – 3
1%

Asian Handicap — RCD Mallorca

Handicap RCD Mallorca covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 20% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 21% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RCD Mallorca keeps clean sheet
51%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
51%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.