Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2023-24 SEMI FINALS

Wed 8 May 2024 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 68' Alphonso Davies
Joselu 88' 1–1
Joselu 90+2' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Szymon Marciniak
  • Assistant 1 Tomasz Listkiewicz
  • Assistant 2
9 games this season 🟨 2.9/game ⚽ 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 May FC Bayern München H 2–1 W
04 May Cadiz CF H 3–0 W
30 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
26 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 1–0 W
21 Apr FC Barcelona H 3–2 W
17 Apr Manchester City FC A 5–4 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 May Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
04 May VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
30 Apr Real Madrid CF H 2–2 D
27 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
20 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 5–1 W
17 Apr Arsenal FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF FC Bayern München
#9 Position #2
15 Points 21
8 Played 8
5 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 1
21 Scored 22
12 Conceded 8
+9 GD +14
1.88 PPG 2.63
63% Win % 88%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
100% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G
FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 2 G 1 A
Harry Kane 1 G 1 A
Alphonso Davies 1 G
Jamal Musiala 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Santiago Bernabeu will turn into a battlefield for Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München.
  • 5' Maxim Choupo-Moting has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' It looks surprising FC Bayern München does not make any changes. Toni Kroos has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Bayern München needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 27' The crowd applauds Serge Gnabry as he leaves the pitch. Alphonso Davies steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 37' Real Madrid CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 42' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 47' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 52' Over 52 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 57' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 62' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matthijs de Ligt, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 67' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jamal Musiala is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern München.
  • 68' Goal! Alphonso Davies scores his 31 goal in 283 matches.
  • 69' The crowd applauds Aurelien Tchouameni as he leaves the pitch. Eduardo Camavinga steps in for Real Madrid CF.
  • 74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 76' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Leroy Sane has done his job and it is now time for Min-Jae Kim to step up.
  • 81' Real Madrid CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Brahim Diaz is hanging Rodrygo on the field on 81 minute.
  • 85' Jamal Musiala makes way for Thomas Muller at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 88' Joselu doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Thomas Tuchel on 90 minutes.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Jude Bellingham is replaced by Eder Militao on 90 minute.
  • Real Madrid CF celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.17 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF52% Draw21% FC Bayern München27%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Bayern München
48%
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern München
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF36% Draw38% FC Bayern München26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
1 – 0
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 14% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 19% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 15% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.