Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2023-24 SEMI FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
- FC Bayern München 8 games · 21 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Szymon Marciniak
- Assistant 1 Tomasz Listkiewicz
- Assistant 2
14 games this season
🟨 1.5/game
⚽ 5.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Kobenhavn | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May | FC Bayern München | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | Cadiz CF | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Apr | FC Bayern München | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | FC Barcelona | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Apr | Manchester City FC | A | 5–4 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Apr | Arsenal FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 15 | Points | 21 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 1 |
| 21 | Scored | 22 |
| 12 | Conceded | 8 |
| +9 | GD | +14 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 2.63 |
| 63% | Win % | 88% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 15 G | 1 A |
| Vinicius Junior | 5 G | 6 A |
FC Bayern München
| Harry Kane | 14 G | 2 A |
| Luis Diaz | 7 G | 3 A |
| Michael Olise | 5 G | 6 A |
| Lennart Karl | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Santiago Bernabeu will turn into a battlefield for Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 10' Aleksandar Pavlovic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' Leroy Sane, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 25' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 27' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Alphonso Davies on, Serge Gnabry off on 27 minutes.
- 32' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 37' FC Bayern München is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 47' FC Bayern München come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 52' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 57' FC Bayern München started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 57.
- 62' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past FC Bayern München's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 67' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 68' What a moment for Alphonso Davies! That strike on 68 puts his side firmly in control.
- 69' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Aurelien Tchouameni is replaced by Eduardo Camavinga on 69 minute.
- 74' FC Bayern München fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 76' Min-Jae Kim gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Leroy Sane and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Rodrygo departs to be replaced by Brahim Diaz.
- 85' Thomas Muller gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Jamal Musiala and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' GOAL! Joselu scores on 88. Assisted by Vinicius Junior
- 90' FC Bayern Munchen receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Jude Bellingham is replaced by Eder Militao on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
- 23
- 18
- 13
-
8
Toni Kroos ↓ Luka Modric 69'
- 6
-
15
Federico Valverde ↓ Joselu 81'
- 7
- 2
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Brahim Diaz 81'
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ Eder Militao 90'
Bench
- 25
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 81'
-
14
Joselu ↑ 81'
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 69'
- 17
- 19
- 1
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 90'
-
12
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 69'
- 24
- 20
- 30
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Leroy Sane ↓ Min-Jae Kim 76'
- 15
- 9
- 4
- 40
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Alphonso Davies 27'
- 1
- 6
- 27
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 85'
- 45
Bench
-
13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↑ 85'
- 26
-
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 85'
- 8
- 2
-
19
Alphonso Davies ↑ 27'
- 18
- 39
-
3
Min-Jae Kim ↑ 76'
- 17
Coach
Thomas Tuchel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Joselu | 2 |
| Luis Diaz | 2 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 2 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
| Alphonso Davies | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
FC Bayern München Form
2024-05-08
Real Madrid CF
2–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-05-04
VfB Stuttgart
3–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-04-30
FC Bayern München
2–2
Real Madrid CF
D
2024-04-27
FC Bayern München
2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
2024-04-20
1. FC Union Berlin
1–5
FC Bayern München
W
2024-04-17
FC Bayern München
1–0
Arsenal FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.17
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.95
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Bayern München
48%
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern München
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
1 – 0
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.