Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2023-24 SEMI FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
- FC Bayern München 8 games · 21 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Szymon Marciniak
- Assistant 1 Tomasz Listkiewicz
- Assistant 2
15 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May | FC Bayern München | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | Cadiz CF | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Apr | FC Bayern München | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | FC Barcelona | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Apr | Manchester City FC | A | 5–4 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Apr | Arsenal FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 15 | Points | 21 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 1 |
| 21 | Scored | 22 |
| 12 | Conceded | 8 |
| +9 | GD | +14 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 2.63 |
| 63% | Win % | 88% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu!
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' FC Bayern München are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 27' Alphonso Davies gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Serge Gnabry and will look to change the dynamic.
- 32' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 37' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. Real Madrid CF must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 47' Real Madrid CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 52' Matthijs de Ligt has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 57' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 62' Eric Dier has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 67' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 68' GOAL! Alphonso Davies fires home to make it 0-1!
- 69' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Aurelien Tchouameni exits the field as Eduardo Camavinga enters on 69.
- 74' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 76' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Min-Jae Kim comes on to replace Leroy Sane.
- 81' Real Madrid CF make a change. Rodrygo trudges off to be replaced by Brahim Diaz on 81 minutes.
- 85' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Thomas Muller on, Jamal Musiala off on 85 minutes.
- 88' Joselu makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Thomas Tuchel.
- 90' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Jude Bellingham is replaced by Eder Militao on 90 minute.
- Real Madrid CF celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
- 23
- 18
- 13
-
8
Toni Kroos ↓ Luka Modric 69'
- 6
-
15
Federico Valverde ↓ Joselu 81'
- 7
- 2
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Brahim Diaz 81'
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ Eder Militao 90'
Bench
- 25
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 81'
-
14
Joselu ↑ 81'
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 69'
- 17
- 19
- 1
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 90'
-
12
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 69'
- 24
- 20
- 30
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Leroy Sane ↓ Min-Jae Kim 76'
- 15
- 9
- 4
- 40
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Alphonso Davies 27'
- 1
- 6
- 27
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 85'
- 45
Bench
-
13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↑ 85'
- 26
-
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 85'
- 8
- 2
-
19
Alphonso Davies ↑ 27'
- 18
- 39
-
3
Min-Jae Kim ↑ 76'
- 17
Coach
Thomas Tuchel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Joselu | 2 |
| Luis Diaz | 2 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 2 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
| Alphonso Davies | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
FC Bayern München Form
2024-05-08
Real Madrid CF
2–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-05-04
VfB Stuttgart
3–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-04-30
FC Bayern München
2–2
Real Madrid CF
D
2024-04-27
FC Bayern München
2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
2024-04-20
1. FC Union Berlin
1–5
FC Bayern München
W
2024-04-17
FC Bayern München
1–0
Arsenal FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.17
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.95
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Bayern München
48%
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern München
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
1 – 0
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

