Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2023-24 SEMI FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 8 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Szymon Marciniak
- Assistant 1 Tomasz Listkiewicz
- Assistant 2
10 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 7.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May | FC Bayern München | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | Cadiz CF | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Apr | FC Bayern München | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | FC Barcelona | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Apr | Manchester City FC | A | 5–4 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Apr | Arsenal FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 15 | Points | 21 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 1 |
| 21 | Scored | 22 |
| 12 | Conceded | 8 |
| +9 | GD | +14 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 2.63 |
| 63% | Win % | 88% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 G | 1 A |
| Federico Valverde | 2 G |
FC Bayern München
| Harry Kane | 4 G | 3 A |
| Michael Olise | 2 G | 1 A |
| Alphonso Davies | 2 G | |
| Jamal Musiala | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern Munchen is underway.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jude Bellingham suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 20' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Federico Valverde, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu with 14 goals in the last 14 games.
- 27' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Serge Gnabry is withdrawn and Alphonso Davies gets his opportunity.
- 32' FC Bayern Munchen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 37' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carlo Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
- 42' Ferland Mendy, a France , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 47' The travelling FC Bayern Munchen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 52' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past FC Bayern Munchen's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 57' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 62' The 23-year-old Jamal Musiala has been sensational this season — 9 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 67' The energy levels are beginning to show. Thomas Tuchel might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 68' The deadlock is broken! Alphonso Davies gets on the scoresheet on 68 minutes.
- 69' The whistle greets Aurelien Tchouameni as he departs to be replaced by Eduardo Camavinga.
- 74' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 76' The supporters are chanting for Min-Jae Kim. He replaces Leroy Sane on 76 minute.
- 81' The whistle greets Rodrygo as he departs to be replaced by Brahim Diaz.
- 85' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Jamal Musiala has done his job and it is now time for Thomas Muller to step up.
- 88' What a strike from Joselu! The score is 1-1.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Thomas Tuchel on 90 minutes.
- 90' The crowd applauds Jude Bellingham as he leaves the pitch. Eder Militao steps in for Real Madrid CF.
- FC Bayern Munchen will have plenty to reflect on. Real Madrid CF were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
- 23
- 18
- 13
-
8
Toni Kroos ↓ Luka Modric 69'
- 6
-
15
Federico Valverde ↓ Joselu 81'
- 7
- 2
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Brahim Diaz 81'
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ Eder Militao 90'
Bench
- 25
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 81'
-
14
Joselu ↑ 81'
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 69'
- 17
- 19
- 1
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 90'
-
12
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 69'
- 24
- 20
- 30
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Leroy Sane ↓ Min-Jae Kim 76'
- 15
- 9
- 4
- 40
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Alphonso Davies 27'
- 1
- 6
- 27
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 85'
- 45
Bench
-
13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↑ 85'
- 26
-
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 85'
- 8
- 2
-
19
Alphonso Davies ↑ 27'
- 18
- 39
-
3
Min-Jae Kim ↑ 76'
- 17
Coach
Thomas Tuchel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Joselu | 2 |
| Luis Diaz | 2 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 2 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
| Leroy Sane | 1 |
| Alphonso Davies | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
FC Bayern München Form
2024-05-08
Real Madrid CF
2–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-05-04
VfB Stuttgart
3–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-04-30
FC Bayern München
2–2
Real Madrid CF
D
2024-04-27
FC Bayern München
2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
2024-04-20
1. FC Union Berlin
1–5
FC Bayern München
W
2024-04-17
FC Bayern München
1–0
Arsenal FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.17
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.95
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Bayern München
48%
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern München
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
1 – 0
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.