Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2023-24 SEMI FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 8 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Szymon Marciniak
- Assistant 1 Tomasz Listkiewicz
- Assistant 2
9 games this season
🟨 2.9/game
⚽ 7.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May | FC Bayern München | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | Cadiz CF | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Apr | FC Bayern München | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | FC Barcelona | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Apr | Manchester City FC | A | 5–4 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Apr | Arsenal FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 15 | Points | 21 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 1 |
| 21 | Scored | 22 |
| 12 | Conceded | 8 |
| +9 | GD | +14 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 2.63 |
| 63% | Win % | 88% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 1 G |
| Federico Valverde | 1 G |
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 2 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 1 G | 1 A |
| Alphonso Davies | 1 G | |
| Jamal Musiala | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Santiago Bernabeu will turn into a battlefield for Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München.
- 5' Maxim Choupo-Moting has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' It looks surprising FC Bayern München does not make any changes. Toni Kroos has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Bayern München needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 27' The crowd applauds Serge Gnabry as he leaves the pitch. Alphonso Davies steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
- 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 37' Real Madrid CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 42' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 47' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 52' Over 52 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 57' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 62' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matthijs de Ligt, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 67' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jamal Musiala is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern München.
- 68' Goal! Alphonso Davies scores his 31 goal in 283 matches.
- 69' The crowd applauds Aurelien Tchouameni as he leaves the pitch. Eduardo Camavinga steps in for Real Madrid CF.
- 74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 76' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Leroy Sane has done his job and it is now time for Min-Jae Kim to step up.
- 81' Real Madrid CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Brahim Diaz is hanging Rodrygo on the field on 81 minute.
- 85' Jamal Musiala makes way for Thomas Muller at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
- 88' Joselu doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Thomas Tuchel on 90 minutes.
- 90' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Jude Bellingham is replaced by Eder Militao on 90 minute.
- Real Madrid CF celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
- 23
- 18
- 13
-
8
Toni Kroos ↓ Luka Modric 69'
- 6
-
15
Federico Valverde ↓ Joselu 81'
- 7
- 2
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Brahim Diaz 81'
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ Eder Militao 90'
Bench
- 25
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 81'
-
14
Joselu ↑ 81'
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 69'
- 17
- 19
- 1
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 90'
-
12
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 69'
- 24
- 20
- 30
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Leroy Sane ↓ Min-Jae Kim 76'
- 15
- 9
- 4
- 40
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Alphonso Davies 27'
- 1
- 6
- 27
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 85'
- 45
Bench
-
13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↑ 85'
- 26
-
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 85'
- 8
- 2
-
19
Alphonso Davies ↑ 27'
- 18
- 39
-
3
Min-Jae Kim ↑ 76'
- 17
Coach
Thomas Tuchel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Joselu | 2 |
| Luis Diaz | 2 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 2 |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 1 |
| Leroy Sane | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
FC Bayern München Form
2024-05-08
Real Madrid CF
2–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-05-04
VfB Stuttgart
3–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-04-30
FC Bayern München
2–2
Real Madrid CF
D
2024-04-27
FC Bayern München
2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
2024-04-20
1. FC Union Berlin
1–5
FC Bayern München
W
2024-04-17
FC Bayern München
1–0
Arsenal FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.17
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.95
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Bayern München
48%
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern München
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
1 – 0
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

