Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Ittrich
16 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–0 W
18 Mar Atalanta BC H 4–1 W
14 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
10 Mar Atalanta BC A 6–1 W
06 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach H 4–1 W
28 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar FC Bayern München A 0–4 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg A 1–0 W
08 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 1–4 L
28 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–1 L
21 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–0 W
14 Feb Hamburger SV A 2–3 L

Season Stats

FC Bayern München 1. FC Union Berlin
#1 Position #11
89 Points 39
34 Played 34
28 / 5 / 1 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
122 Scored 44
36 Conceded 58
+86 GD -14
2.62 PPG 1.15
82% Win % 29%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.67 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern München to win 80% + Over 2.5 goals 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München80% Draw12% 1. FC Union Berlin8%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 4.47
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
93%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
20%
FC Bayern München or 1. FC Union Berlin
88%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München68% Draw26% 1. FC Union Berlin6%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
9.7%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 1
6.8%
2 – 1
6.3%
5 – 0
6.3%
5 – 1
5%
1 – 0
4.6%
1 – 1
4%
6 – 0
3.9%
6 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 52% 48%
-2 52% 19% 29%
-1.5 71% 29%
-1 71% 15% 14%
-0.5 86% 14%
+0.5 96% 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
46%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
3%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.