1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Petersen
15 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 8.1 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern München 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 25 Apr FC Bayern München H 3–4 L 19 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–1 D 12 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L 04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W 22 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W 15 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 25 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–3 W 22 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–0 W 19 Apr VfB Stuttgart H 4–2 W 15 Apr Real Madrid CF H 4–3 W 11 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 5–0 W 07 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W Season Stats
1. FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern München #10 Position #1 40 Points 89 34 Played 34 10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1 44 Scored 122 53 Conceded 36 -9 GD +86 1.18 PPG 2.62 29% Win % 82% Key Stats
78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 050-154/116-301/131-453/146-601/261-75–/176+2/5■ Scored ■ ConcededFC Bayern München0-153/116-301/431-454/246-606/161-753/176+8/2■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at MEWA Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' FC Bayern München looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Harry Kane scoring 1 goals.
- 15' GOAL! Dominik Kohr scores on 15. Assisted by Kaishu Sano
- 20' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dominik Kohr on 20.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 29' GOAL! Paul Nebel scores on 29.
- 33' FC Bayern Munchen receives a card for a hard tackle on 33.
- 38' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 46' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Aleksandar Pavlovic by Harry Kane on 46 minute.
- 47' GOAL! Sheraldo Becker scores on 45.
- 52' Danny da Costa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 53' GOAL! Nicolas Jackson scores on 53. Assisted by Konrad Laimer
- 57' Jamal Musiala is replacing Raphael Guerreiro for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
- 62' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 67' Daniel Batz has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 71' Armindo Sieb has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sheraldo Becker on 71 minute.
- 73' GOAL! Michael Olise scores on 73. Assisted by Konrad Laimer
- 77' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Bara Sapoko Ndiaye is replaced by Jonathan Tah.
- 79' The whistle greets Nadiem Amiri as he departs to be replaced by Lennart Maloney.
- 80' What a strike from Jamal Musiala! The score is 3-3.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Anthony Caci. He replaces Silvan Widmer on 80 minute.
- 83' Goal! Harry Kane scores his 270 goal in 385 matches.
- 85' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 85 minute. Dominik Kohr leaves to be changed by Nelson Weiper.
- 90' FC Bayern Munchen receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Bayern München players.
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Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
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23
Sheraldo Becker ↓ Armindo Sieb 71'
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31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Nelson Weiper 85'
- 2
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10
Nadiem Amiri ↓ Lennart Maloney 79'
- 4
- 21
- 33
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30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Anthony Caci 80'
- 20
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8
Paul Nebel ↓ William Boving 85'
- 6
Bench
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19
Anthony Caci ↑ 80'
- 27
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15
Lennart Maloney ↑ 79'
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11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 71'
- 24
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44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 85'
- 22
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14
William Boving ↑ 85'
- 48
Coach Urs FischerFC Bayern München Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 22
- 27
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14
Luis Diaz ↓ Michael Olise 46'
- 19
- 21
- 3
- 40
- 11
- 45
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39
Bara Ndiaye ↓ Jonathan Tah 77'
Bench
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9
Harry Kane ↑ 46'
- 1
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4
Jonathan Tah ↑ 77'
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17
Michael Olise ↑ 46'
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10
Jamal Musiala ↑ 57'
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44
Josip Stanisic ↑ 57'
- 34
- 43
- 33
Coach Vincent Kompany -
23
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Jamal Musiala 9 Robert Lewandowski 7 Harry Kane 5 Leon Goretzka 5 Leroy Sane 5 Kingsley Coman 5 Leandro Barreiro Martins 3 Alphonso Davies 3 Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München L 2026-04-19 Borussia Monchengladbach 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-04-12 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg L 2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-03-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2026-03-15 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 WFC Bayern München Form
2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München W 2026-04-22 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–2 FC Bayern München W 2026-04-19 FC Bayern München 4–2 VfB Stuttgart W 2026-04-15 FC Bayern München 4–3 Real Madrid CF W 2026-04-11 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–5 FC Bayern München W 2026-04-07 Real Madrid CF 1–2 FC Bayern München W -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.25 1. FSV Mainz 05 xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo3.11 FC Bayern München xGI would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 67%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 4.36Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 98% 2% ± 1.5 93% 7% ± 2.5 79% 21% ± 3.5 62% 38% ± 4.5 43% 57% Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 36%Draw or FC Bayern München 83%1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München 81%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HTCorrect Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual1 – 3 7.8%1 – 2 7.7%0 – 2 6.5%0 – 3 6.4%1 – 4 6%1 – 1 5.7%0 – 4 4.9%2 – 3 4.8%2 – 2 4.7%0 – 1 3.9%1 – 5 3.8%2 – 4 3.8%Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers -2.5 2% — 98% -2 2% 3% 95% -1.5 5% — 95% -1 5% 7% 88% -0.5 12% — 88% +0.5 27% — 73% +1 27% 18% 54% +1.5 46% — 54% +2 46% 19% 35% +2.5 65% — 35% Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet 5% ✓FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet 29% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.