Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 13:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 34,700 HT 45' · FT 45'
Johan Manzambi 46' 1–0
Lucas Holer 71' 2–0
2–1 81' Tom Bischof
2–2 90+2' Tom Bischof
2–3 90+9' Lennart Karl

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
29 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
22 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
19 Mar KRC Genk H 5–1 W
15 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–1 L
12 Mar KRC Genk A 0–1 L
07 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr SC Freiburg A 3–2 W
21 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–0 W
18 Mar Atalanta BC H 4–1 W
14 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
10 Mar Atalanta BC A 6–1 W
06 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach H 4–1 W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg FC Bayern München
#7 Position #1
47 Points 89
34 Played 34
13 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
51 Scored 122
57 Conceded 36
-6 GD +86
1.38 PPG 2.62
38% Win % 82%

Key Stats

76% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Europa-Park Stadion that hosts another battle between SC Freiburg and FC Bayern München.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Freiburg that had 493 games and scored 469 goals.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' SC Freiburg is showing some good football. However, SC Freiburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' FC Bayern München is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' The referee calls foul for Jonathan Tah. He receives a card.
  • 29' That looks like a foul for a card for Matthias Ginter.
  • 34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Bayern München winning 100% of all matches.
  • 39' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 44' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 44 minutes.
  • 46' SC Freiburg is taking the lead after the goal scored by Johan Manzambi on 46.
  • 51' Maximilian Eggestein needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 56' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Raphael Guerreiro is replaced by Michael Olise on 56 minute.
  • 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jamal Musiala made 540 appearances and scored 73 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 65' Lukas Kubler has so much to prove this time. He replaces Christian Gunter on 65 minute.
  • 70' It looks surprising SC Freiburg does not make any changes. Min-Jae Kim has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 71' Goal! Lucas Holer scores his 50 goal in 493 matches.
  • 73' That looks like a foul for a card for Michael Olise.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Igor Matanovic. He replaces Johan Manzambi on 78 minute.
  • 81' GOAL! Tom Bischof scores on 81. Assisted by Lennart Karl
  • 86' Supporters expect more eagerness from Derry Scherhant, as he is very good at scoring at Europa-Park Stadion with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 87' FC Bayern Munchen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alphonso Davies is hanging Min-Jae Kim on the field on 87 minute.
  • 90' Noah Atubolu was booked on 90.
  • 90' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Lucas Holer is replaced by Ifechukwu Ogbus.
  • Full Time. FC Bayern München beats SC Freiburg

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.22 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg18% Draw18% FC Bayern München64%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 4.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
36%
Draw or FC Bayern München
82%
SC Freiburg or FC Bayern München
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg15% Draw31% FC Bayern München54%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 3
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
1 – 4
5.8%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 4
4.3%
0 – 4
4.1%
1 – 5
3.8%
2 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 8% 85%
-0.5 15% 85%
+0.5 30% 70%
+1 30% 18% 52%
+1.5 48% 52%
+2 48% 18% 33%
+2.5 67% 33%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
5%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.