Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS

Tue 7 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 77,106 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 41' Luis Diaz
0–2 46' Harry Kane
Kylian Mbappe 74' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern MünchenChampions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 James Mainwaring
19 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 9.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
04 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
22 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid H 3–2 W
17 Mar Manchester City FC A 2–1 W
14 Mar Elche CF H 4–1 W
11 Mar Manchester City FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
04 Apr SC Freiburg A 3–2 W
21 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–0 W
18 Mar Atalanta BC H 4–1 W
14 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
10 Mar Atalanta BC A 6–1 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF FC Bayern München
#9 Position #2
15 Points 21
8 Played 8
5 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 1
21 Scored 22
12 Conceded 8
+9 GD +14
1.88 PPG 2.63
63% Win % 88%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
14% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Santiago Bernabeu will turn into a battlefield for Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München.
  • 5' FC Bayern München seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 545 games and scored 775 goals.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joshua Kimmich, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tom Bischof suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alvaro Carreras made 409 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 37' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 41' FC Bayern Munchen is taking the lead after the goal scored by Luis Diaz on 41.
  • 46' GOAL! Harry Kane scores on 46. Assisted by Michael Olise
  • 51' FC Bayern München started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Bayern München needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 62' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 62 minute. Dean Huijsen leaves to be changed by Eder Militao.
  • 67' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Bayern München winning 100% of all matches.
  • 69' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Serge Gnabry is replaced by Jamal Musiala on 69 minute.
  • 70' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a card on 70.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Arda Guler is replaced by Brahim Diaz on 71 minute.
  • 74' What a strike from Kylian Mbappe! The score is 1-2.
  • 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luis Diaz on 77.
  • 82' Manuel Neuer is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
  • 86' Jamal Musiala was booked on 86.
  • 90' The FC Bayern Munchen manager makes a substitution. Luis Diaz departs to be replaced by Tom Bischof.
  • Full Time. FC Bayern München beats Real Madrid CF

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.05 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern München 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF37% Draw24% FC Bayern München39%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Bayern München
63%
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern München
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF30% Draw38% FC Bayern München32%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
7%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%
1 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 17% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 18% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 12% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
14%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.