Saturday , 14 November 2026

Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS

Tue 7 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 77,106 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 41' Luis Diaz
0–2 46' Harry Kane
Kylian Mbappe 74' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 James Mainwaring
23 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
04 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
22 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid H 3–2 W
17 Mar Manchester City FC A 2–1 W
14 Mar Elche CF H 4–1 W
11 Mar Manchester City FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
04 Apr SC Freiburg A 3–2 W
21 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–0 W
18 Mar Atalanta BC H 4–1 W
14 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
10 Mar Atalanta BC A 6–1 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF FC Bayern München
#9 Position #2
15 Points 21
8 Played 8
5 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 1
21 Scored 22
12 Conceded 8
+9 GD +14
1.88 PPG 2.63
63% Win % 88%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 4 G 1 A
Federico Valverde 2 G
FC Bayern München
Harry Kane 4 G 3 A
Michael Olise 2 G 1 A
Alphonso Davies 2 G
Jamal Musiala 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Real Madrid CF welcome FC Bayern Munchen for this crunch clash at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' Real Madrid CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern Munchen backline.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Bayern Munchen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 30' FC Bayern Munchen is showing some good football. However, FC Bayern Munchen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' Thiago Pitarch, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 37' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 37.
  • 41' What a moment for Luis Diaz! That strike on 41 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 46' Harry Kane is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 22 goals this season for the .
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern Munchen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 61' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past FC Bayern Munchen's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 62' Eder Militao has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dean Huijsen on 62 minute.
  • 67' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 69' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 69 minute. Serge Gnabry leaves to be changed by Jamal Musiala.
  • 70' It’s a booking for FC Bayern Munchen player. Jonathan Tah gets a card.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Arda Guler as he leaves the pitch. Brahim Diaz steps in for Real Madrid CF.
  • 74' Kylian Mbappe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 23 goals this season for the .
  • 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luis Diaz on 77.
  • 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Manuel Neuer on 82.
  • 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jamal Musiala on 86 minutes.
  • 90' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Luis Diaz is replaced by Tom Bischof on 90 minute.
  • It finishes all square. Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern Munchen share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.05 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern München 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF37% Draw24% FC Bayern München39%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Bayern München
63%
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern München
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF30% Draw38% FC Bayern München32%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
7%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%
1 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 17% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 18% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 12% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.