Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Girona FC, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Fri 10 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 70,885 HT 45' · FT 45'
Federico Valverde 51' 1–0
1–1 62' Thomas Lemar

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Girona FC — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Javier Alberola Rojas
  • Assistant 1 Alfredo Rodriguez Moreno (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Jorge Bueno Mateo (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Girona FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
04 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
22 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid H 3–2 W
17 Mar Manchester City FC A 2–1 W
14 Mar Elche CF H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Real Madrid CF A 1–1 D
06 Apr Villarreal CF H 1–0 W
21 Mar CA Osasuna A 0–1 L
14 Mar Athletic Club H 3–0 W
07 Mar Levante UD A 1–1 D
01 Mar RC Celta de Vigo H 1–2 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Real Madrid CF have kicked off against Girona FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Real Madrid CF currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Spain international Dani Carvajal has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' The 27-year-old Brahim Diaz has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 6 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. Real Madrid CF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 35' The referee has no hesitation. Kylian Mbappe is booked for Real Madrid CF — card on 35.
  • 40' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michel might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and Girona FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 553 games and scored 793 goals.
  • 51' A stunning finish from Federico Valverde — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 61' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 62' Goal! Thomas Lemar scores his 12 goal in 531 matches.
  • 64' Another change for Girona FC made on 64 minute. Claudio Echeverri leaves to be changed by Abel Ruiz.
  • 69' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 70' Fresh legs for Girona FC! Bryan Gil comes on to replace Azzedine Ounahi.
  • 75' Kylian Mbappe has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 19 goals to his name this season.
  • 76' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 79' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Fran Garcia exits the field as Ferland Mendy enters on 79.
  • 84' The crowd applauds Brahim Diaz as he leaves the pitch. Gonzalo Garcia steps in for Real Madrid CF.
  • 85' The Girona FC manager makes a substitution. Abel Ruiz departs to be replaced by Cristhian Stuani.
  • 88' Hugo Rincon picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Girona FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF50% Draw27% Girona FC23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
77%
Draw or Girona FC
50%
Real Madrid CF or Girona FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF35% Draw48% Girona FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Girona FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Girona FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.