Tuesday , 3 November 2026

SK Sturm Graz vs NK Celje, Europe 2026-27 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2026-27
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC Merkur Arena

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct Olympique de Marseille H 1–0 W
15 Oct AFC Bournemouth A 0–3 L
16 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–0 D
11 Aug Fenerbahce SK H 0–1 L
28 Jul Heart of Midlothian FC A 2–0 W
21 Jul Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct FC Red Bull Salzburg H 2–2 D
15 Oct Omonia Nicosia H 0–3 L
16 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
11 Aug FC Ararat-Armenia H 2–0 W
28 Jul Egnatia Rrogozhine H 2–2 D
30 Jul SK Slovan Bratislava A 0–5 L

Key Stats

67% Clean Sheets
SK Sturm Graz this season
0% Clean Sheets
NK Celje this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SK Sturm Graz
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
NK Celje
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SK Sturm Graz
Paul Koller 1 G

Predictions

1.55 SK Sturm Graz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 NK Celje xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

SK Sturm Graz55% Draw27% NK Celje18%

Both Teams to Score

Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.25

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SK Sturm Graz or Draw
82%
Draw or NK Celje
45%
SK Sturm Graz or NK Celje
73%

Half-Time Result

SK Sturm Graz38% Draw50% NK Celje12%

Correct Score

1 – 0
15.3%
0 – 0
12.7%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
12.2%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
3.9%
2 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — SK Sturm Graz

Handicap SK Sturm Graz covers Push NK Celje covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 18% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 26% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 11% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

SK Sturm Graz keeps clean sheet
50%
NK Celje keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.