Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2025-26

Exeter City FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Burton Albion FC

Tue 3 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One .

Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
Burton Albion FC 2 games · 4 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Paul Howard

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Bradford City AFC	2	6
2	Huddersfield Town AFC	2	4
3	Luton Town FC	2	4
4	Cambridge United FC	2	4
5	Oxford United FC	2	4
6	Blackpool FC	2	4
7	Burton Albion FC	2	4
8	Bromley FC	2	4
9	Stockport County FC	2	3
10	Leyton Orient FC	2	3
11	Mansfield Town FC	2	3
12	Sheffield Wednesday FC	2	3
13	Peterborough United FC	2	3
14	Milton Keynes Dons FC	2	2
15	Notts County FC	2	2
16	Wycombe Wanderers FC	2	2
17	Reading FC	2	1
18	Leicester City FC	2	1
19	Stevenage FC	2	1
20	Doncaster Rovers FC	2	1
21	Barnsley FC	2	1
22	Plymouth Argyle FC	2	1
23	AFC Wimbledon	2	1
24	Wigan Athletic FC	2	0

Head-to-Head

Exeter City FC 8 games · Avg 1.5 goals Burton Albion FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-03 Exeter City FC 1–1 Burton Albion FC 2025-04-18 Exeter City FC 0–0 Burton Albion FC 2024-12-21 Burton Albion FC 1–2 Exeter City FC 2024-03-16 Exeter City FC 1–0 Burton Albion FC 2023-09-02 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Exeter City FC

Recent Form

Exeter City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	Burton Albion FC	H	1–1	D
28 Feb	Bolton Wanderers FC	H	1–5	L
21 Feb	Peterborough United FC	A	3–3	D
17 Feb	Wycombe Wanderers FC	H	1–1	D
14 Feb	Northampton Town FC	H	0–0	D
07 Feb	Mansfield Town FC	A	0–0	D

Burton Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	Exeter City FC	A	1–1	D
28 Feb	Wycombe Wanderers FC	A	0–3	L
24 Feb	Stockport County FC	H	3–0	W
21 Feb	Luton Town FC	A	1–1	D
17 Feb	Rotherham United FC	H	1–0	W
14 Feb	West Ham United FC	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC

Jack Armer	1 G
Matthew Dennis	1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Burton Albion FC kicks off things out of here…
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Burton Albion FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Davis Keillor-Dunn	1
Sam Winnall	1
Jasper Moon	1
Ilmari Niskanen	1
Ryan Trevitt	1
Reece Cole	1
Billy Bodin	1
Josh Magennis	1

Head to Head

Exeter City FC Form

2026-03-03 Exeter City FC 1–1 Burton Albion FC D 2026-02-28 Exeter City FC 1–5 Bolton Wanderers FC L 2026-02-21 Peterborough United FC 3–3 Exeter City FC D 2026-02-17 Exeter City FC 1–1 Wycombe Wanderers FC D 2026-02-14 Exeter City FC 0–0 Northampton Town FC D 2026-02-07 Mansfield Town FC 0–0 Exeter City FC D

Burton Albion FC Form

2026-03-03 Exeter City FC 1–1 Burton Albion FC D 2026-02-28 Wycombe Wanderers FC 3–0 Burton Albion FC L 2026-02-24 Burton Albion FC 3–0 Stockport County FC W 2026-02-21 Luton Town FC 1–1 Burton Albion FC D 2026-02-17 Burton Albion FC 1–0 Rotherham United FC W 2026-02-14 Burton Albion FC 0–1 West Ham United FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.25 Exeter City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.02 Burton Albion FC xG

I would bet for: Exeter City FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Exeter City FC43% Draw29% Burton Albion FC28%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.27

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	66%	34%
± 2.5	39%	61%
± 3.5	20%	80%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw

72%

Draw or Burton Albion FC

57%

Exeter City FC or Burton Albion FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Exeter City FC28% Draw51% Burton Albion FC21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

12.5%

1 – 0

11.7%

0 – 1

9.3%

2 – 1

2 – 0

7.7%

1 – 2

6.5%

0 – 2

5.2%

2 – 2

4.2%

3 – 1

3.4%

3 – 0

3.2%

1 – 3

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap	Exeter City FC covers	Push	Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	22%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	18%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.