Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2025-26

Exeter City FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Burton Albion FC

Tue 3 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One .

Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Paul Howard

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Stockport County FC	46	77
4	Bradford City AFC	46	77
5	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
6	Stevenage FC	46	75
7	Luton Town FC	46	74
8	Plymouth Argyle FC	46	73
9	Huddersfield Town AFC	46	67
10	Mansfield Town FC	46	65
11	Wycombe Wanderers FC	46	63
12	Reading FC	46	63
13	Blackpool FC	46	60
14	Doncaster Rovers FC	46	60
15	Barnsley FC	46	59
16	Wigan Athletic FC	46	56
17	Burton Albion FC	46	54
18	Peterborough United FC	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient FC	46	52
21	Exeter City FC	46	49
22	Port Vale FC	46	42
23	Rotherham United FC	46	41
24	Northampton Town FC	46	35

Head-to-Head

Exeter City FC 8 games · Avg 1.5 goals Burton Albion FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-03 Exeter City FC 1–1 Burton Albion FC 2025-04-18 Exeter City FC 0–0 Burton Albion FC 2024-12-21 Burton Albion FC 1–2 Exeter City FC 2024-03-16 Exeter City FC 1–0 Burton Albion FC 2023-09-02 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Exeter City FC

Recent Form

Exeter City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	Burton Albion FC	H	1–1	D
28 Feb	Bolton Wanderers FC	H	1–5	L
21 Feb	Peterborough United FC	A	3–3	D
17 Feb	Wycombe Wanderers FC	H	1–1	D
14 Feb	Northampton Town FC	H	0–0	D
07 Feb	Mansfield Town FC	A	0–0	D

Burton Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	Exeter City FC	A	1–1	D
28 Feb	Wycombe Wanderers FC	A	0–3	L
24 Feb	Stockport County FC	H	3–0	W
21 Feb	Luton Town FC	A	1–1	D
17 Feb	Rotherham United FC	H	1–0	W
14 Feb	West Ham United FC	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

Exeter City FC		Burton Albion FC
#21	Position	#17
49	Points	54
46	Played	46
12 / 13 / 21	W / D / L	13 / 15 / 18
52	Scored	50
61	Conceded	60
-9	GD	-10
1.07	PPG	1.17
26%	Win %	28%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Exeter City FC are 21st (49 pts). Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Burton Albion FC gets underway.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Burton Albion FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Davis Keillor-Dunn	1
Sam Winnall	1
Jasper Moon	1
Ilmari Niskanen	1
Ryan Trevitt	1
Reece Cole	1
Billy Bodin	1
Josh Magennis	1

Head to Head

Exeter City FC Form

2026-03-03 Exeter City FC 1–1 Burton Albion FC D 2026-02-28 Exeter City FC 1–5 Bolton Wanderers FC L 2026-02-21 Peterborough United FC 3–3 Exeter City FC D 2026-02-17 Exeter City FC 1–1 Wycombe Wanderers FC D 2026-02-14 Exeter City FC 0–0 Northampton Town FC D 2026-02-07 Mansfield Town FC 0–0 Exeter City FC D

Burton Albion FC Form

2026-03-03 Exeter City FC 1–1 Burton Albion FC D 2026-02-28 Wycombe Wanderers FC 3–0 Burton Albion FC L 2026-02-24 Burton Albion FC 3–0 Stockport County FC W 2026-02-21 Luton Town FC 1–1 Burton Albion FC D 2026-02-17 Burton Albion FC 1–0 Rotherham United FC W 2026-02-14 Burton Albion FC 0–1 West Ham United FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.25 Exeter City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.02 Burton Albion FC xG

I would bet for: Exeter City FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Exeter City FC43% Draw30% Burton Albion FC27%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.27

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	66%	34%
± 2.5	39%	61%
± 3.5	20%	80%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw

72%

Draw or Burton Albion FC

57%

Exeter City FC or Burton Albion FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Exeter City FC28% Draw51% Burton Albion FC21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

12.6%

1 – 0

11.7%

0 – 1

9.3%

2 – 1

7.9%

2 – 0

7.7%

1 – 2

6.5%

0 – 2

5.2%

2 – 2

4.2%

3 – 1

3.4%

3 – 0

3.2%

1 – 3

2.2%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap	Exeter City FC covers	Push	Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	22%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	18%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.