Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at St. James Park.
- Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
- Burton Albion FC 1 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
- Assistant 1 Kevin Morris
- Assistant 2 Jack Clench (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 4 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 5 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 6 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 7 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
| 8 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Stockport County FC | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bradford City AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Luton Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge United FC | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mansfield Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Bromley FC | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Oxford United FC | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Stevenage FC | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 1 | 1 |
| 21 | Burton Albion FC | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Leicester City FC | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | Notts County FC | 1 | 1 |
| 24 | Reading FC | 1 | 0 |
| 25 | Wigan Athletic FC | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | Leyton Orient FC | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Barnsley FC | 1 | 0 |
| 29 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 1 | 0 |
| 30 | Peterborough United FC | 1 | 0 |
| 31 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Burton Albion FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Apr | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Apr | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | Stockport County FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | Barnsley FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Wrexham AFC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Exeter City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Apr | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Wrexham AFC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Apr | Leyton Orient FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Stockport County FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Shrewsbury Town FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Exeter City FC | Burton Albion FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #21 |
| 49 | Points | 1 |
| 46 | Played | 1 |
| 12 / 13 / 21 | W / D / L | 0 / 1 / 0 |
| 52 | Scored | 1 |
| 61 | Conceded | 1 |
| -9 | GD | +0 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 26% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
Burton Albion FC this season
Exeter City FC are 4th (49 pts). Burton Albion FC are 21st (1 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Exeter City FC get us underway at St. James Park.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Exeter City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jack McMillan made 251 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 25' Burton Albion FC is showing some good football. However, Burton Albion FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Exeter City FC that had 198 games and scored 203 goals.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 40' Kgaogelo Chauke is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Exeter City FC tonight.
- 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burton Albion FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 50' Burton Albion FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
- 55' Exeter City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Burton Albion FC backline.
- 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 65' A quiet spell here at St. James Park. Exeter City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 70' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 75' It is a cagey affair so far. Exeter City FC in their trying to find a way past Burton Albion FC's compact .
- 80' Finland international Ilmari Niskanen has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 85' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gary Caldwell will be considering his options from the bench.
- 90' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kyran Lofthouse suffering a number of foals already.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Exeter City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
- 25
- 4
- 12
- 2
- 14
- 17
- 8
- 20
- 1
- 19
Bench
- 6
- 5
- 37
- 23
- 11
- 18
- 30
Coach
Gary Caldwell
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 1
- 18
- 2
- 36
- 3
- 20
- 33
- 24
- 19
- 22
Bench
- 32
- 23
- 17
- 47
- 13
- 7
- 26
Coach
Gary Bowyer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Deji Oshilaja | 1 |
| Davis Keillor-Dunn | 1 |
| Sam Winnall | 1 |
| Jasper Moon | 1 |
| Ilmari Niskanen | 1 |
| Ryan Trevitt | 1 |
| Reece Cole | 1 |
| Billy Bodin | 1 |
Head to Head
Exeter City FC Form
Burton Albion FC Form
2025-04-18
Exeter City FC
0–0
Burton Albion FC
D
2025-04-12
Burton Albion FC
3–0
Huddersfield Town AFC
W
2025-04-05
Wrexham AFC
3–0
Burton Albion FC
L
2025-04-01
Burton Albion FC
2–1
Leyton Orient FC
W
2025-03-29
Stockport County FC
2–1
Burton Albion FC
L
2025-03-15
Shrewsbury Town FC
0–2
Burton Albion FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89
Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 75% + Exeter City FC or Draw 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.71
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 1.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 2.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Exeter City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
62%
Exeter City FC or Burton Albion FC
66%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
2.5%
3 – 0
2%
3 – 1
1.8%
0 – 3
1.5%
Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC
| Handicap | Exeter City FC covers | Push | Burton Albion FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 21% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

