Thursday , 2 July 2026

Exeter City FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–5 L
21 Feb Peterborough United FC A 3–3 D
17 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Northampton Town FC H 0–0 D
07 Feb Mansfield Town FC A 0–0 D
31 Jan Rotherham United FC H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Exeter City FC A 5–1 W
21 Feb Blackpool FC H 2–2 D
17 Feb Reading FC A 1–1 D
14 Feb Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
07 Feb Barnsley FC H 3–2 W
31 Jan AFC Wimbledon A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Exeter City FC Bolton Wanderers FC
#21 Position #5
49 Points 75
46 Played 46
12 / 13 / 21 W / D / L 19 / 18 / 9
52 Scored 70
61 Conceded 52
-9 GD +18
1.07 PPG 1.63
26% Win % 41%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Exeter City FC are 21st (49 pts). Bolton Wanderers FC are 5th (75 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC22% Draw25% Bolton Wanderers FC53%
Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
47%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
78%
Exeter City FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Exeter City FC16% Draw42% Bolton Wanderers FC42%
Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 3
6.3%
0 – 0
6.3%
0 – 3
5.9%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
3.5%
1 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 43% 57%
+1 43% 22% 35%
+1.5 65% 35%
+2 65% 18% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
15%
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.