Thursday , 1 October 2026

FC Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
FC Bayern München
2 – 1
Full Time
Borussia Dortmund
Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

14
3
5
FC Bayern München 22 games · Avg 4.0 goals Borussia Dortmund
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-18 FC Bayern München 2–1 Borussia Dortmund 2025-04-12 FC Bayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund 2024-11-30 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 FC Bayern München 2024-03-30 FC Bayern München 0–2 Borussia Dortmund 2023-11-04 Borussia Dortmund 0–4 FC Bayern München

Recent Form

FC Bayern München
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Borussia Dortmund H 2–1 W
04 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–0 W
30 Sep Paphos FC A 5–1 W
26 Sep SV Werder Bremen H 4–0 W
20 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 4–1 W
17 Sep Chelsea FC H 3–1 W
Borussia Dortmund
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct FC Bayern München A 1–2 L
04 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
01 Oct Athletic Club H 4–1 W
27 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–0 W
21 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
16 Sep Juventus FC A 4–4 D

Season Stats

FC Bayern München Borussia Dortmund
#2 Position #1
10 Points 12
4 Played 4
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 0
14 Scored 9
2 Conceded 2
+12 GD +7
2.50 PPG 3.00
75% Win % 100%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G
Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Bayern München launch into their encounter with Borussia Dortmund.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Robert Lewandowski 13
Serge Gnabry 5
Erling Haaland 4
Kingsley Coman 3
Marco Reus 3
Harry Kane 3
Emre Can 2
Jamal Musiala 2

Head to Head

2025-10-18 FC Bayern München 2–1 Borussia Dortmund 2025-04-12 FC Bayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund 2024-11-30 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 FC Bayern München 2024-03-30 FC Bayern München 0–2 Borussia Dortmund 2023-11-04 Borussia Dortmund 0–4 FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München Form

2025-10-18 FC Bayern München 2–1 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-10-04 Eintracht Frankfurt 0–3 FC Bayern München W 2025-09-30 Paphos FC 1–5 FC Bayern München W 2025-09-26 FC Bayern München 4–0 SV Werder Bremen W 2025-09-20 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–4 FC Bayern München W 2025-09-17 FC Bayern München 3–1 Chelsea FC W

Borussia Dortmund Form

2025-10-18 FC Bayern München 2–1 Borussia Dortmund L 2025-10-04 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2025-10-01 Borussia Dortmund 4–1 Athletic Club W 2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-09-21 Borussia Dortmund 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-09-16 Juventus FC 4–4 Borussia Dortmund D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München54% Draw26% Borussia Dortmund20%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
80%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
46%
FC Bayern München or Borussia Dortmund
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München36% Draw47% Borussia Dortmund17%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
9.8%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.