Burton Albion FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2024-25

Burton Albion FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Exeter City FC

Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 2,690 HT 45' · FT 45'

Billy Bodin 8' 1–0

1–1 45+2' Josh Magennis

1–2 71' Millenic Alli

Y 13' Ryan Woods

Kgaogelo Chauke 21' Y

Y 43' Kevin McDonald

Jason Sraha 59' Y

Ciaran Gilligan 69' Y

Terence Vancooten 78' Y

Y 81' Millenic Alli

Y 85' Jake Richards

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Exeter City FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Burton Albion FC 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sebastian Stockbridge (England)
Assistant 1 Ollie Williams
Assistant 2 Christopher Husband (England)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Huddersfield Town AFC	14	29
2	Stockport County FC	14	26
3	Oxford United FC	13	26
4	Luton Town FC	14	24
5	Plymouth Argyle FC	14	23
6	Reading FC	14	22
7	Bradford City AFC	13	22
8	Cambridge United FC	14	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday FC	13	20
10	Leicester City FC	13	19
11	Mansfield Town FC	13	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons FC	13	18
13	Wycombe Wanderers FC	13	18
14	Leyton Orient FC	13	17
15	Burton Albion FC	14	17
16	Stevenage FC	12	16
17	Notts County FC	12	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	13
19	Blackpool FC	12	12
20	Doncaster Rovers FC	13	12
21	Wigan Athletic FC	14	11
22	Peterborough United FC	13	10
23	Barnsley FC	12	9
24	Bromley FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Burton Albion FC 8 games · Avg 1.5 goals Exeter City FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-21 Burton Albion FC 1–2 Exeter City FC 2024-03-16 Exeter City FC 1–0 Burton Albion FC 2023-09-02 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Exeter City FC 2023-02-11 Burton Albion FC 1–0 Exeter City FC 2022-09-17 Exeter City FC 0–2 Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

Burton Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Dec	Exeter City FC	H	1–2	L
14 Dec	Leyton Orient FC	A	0–0	D
07 Dec	Wrexham AFC	H	0–1	L
04 Dec	Peterborough United FC	A	1–0	W
01 Dec	Tamworth FC	H	3–4	L
26 Nov	Charlton Athletic FC	H	0–1	L

Exeter City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Dec	Burton Albion FC	A	2–1	W
14 Dec	Barnsley FC	H	1–2	L
07 Dec	Stockport County FC	A	0–2	L
03 Dec	Wycombe Wanderers FC	H	2–2	D
30 Nov	Chesterfield FC	H	2–0	W
26 Nov	Birmingham City FC	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

6/3

31-45

1/6

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/3

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC

Jack Armer	3 G	1 A
Finn Delap	3 G
Matthew Dennis	1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Burton Albion FC is hosting Exeter City FC for another epic battle.
5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
8' GOAL! Billy Bodin scores on 8. Assisted by Elliot Watt
13' Ryan Woods has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 13.
18' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burton Albion FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
21' That is a card for Burton Albion FC. Kgaogelo Chauke will be fuming at that decision.
26' Jack Fitzwater gets the nod from Exeter City FC. He replaces Tristan Crama and will look to change the dynamic.
31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
36' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
41' Burton Albion FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Exeter City FC's shape.
43' That is a card for Exeter City FC. Kevin McDonald will be fuming at that decision.
46' A change in the Exeter City FC ranks — Jack Aitchison exits the field as Reece Cole enters on 46.
47' Assisted by Millenic Alli with the perfectly-timed delivery and Josh Magennis makes no mistake. 1-1!
52' Ilmari Niskanen has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 53 appearances.
57' Burton Albion FC is showing some good football. However, Burton Albion FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
59' It’s a booking for Burton Albion FC player. Jason Sraha gets a card.
64' Ryan Sweeney needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 23 Yellow cards this season.
67' Kami Doyle has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kevin McDonald on 67 minute.
69' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ciaran Gilligan on 69 minutes.
71' Millenic Alli adds to his 1 season tally! Exeter City FC lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
73' A change in the Burton Albion FC ranks — Mason Bennett exits the field as Danilo Orsi-Dadomo enters on 73.
78' Terence Vancooten catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 78.
81' Millenic Alli picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
84' It is a substitution in Burton Albion FC team. Ciaran Gilligan is replaced by Charlie Webster on 84 minute.
85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jake Richards on 85.
90' Jack Cooper Love gets the nod from Burton Albion FC. He replaces Elliot Watt and will look to change the dynamic.
Exeter City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

32
Mason Bennett ↓ Danilo Orsi-Dadomo 73'
11
Billy Bodin
4
Elliot Watt ↓ Jack Cooper Love 90'
6
Ryan Sweeney
15
Terence Vancooten
1
Max Crocombe
2
Udoka Malife
25
Ciaran Gilligan ↓ Charlie Webster 84'
20
Jason Sraha
7
Tomas Kalinauskas
33
Kgaogelo Chauke

Bench

Coach Tom Hounsell

Exeter City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

5
Jack Fitzwater ↑ 26'
12
Reece Cole ↑ 46'
37
Shaun MacDonald
17
Caleb Watts ↑ 90'
20
Kami Doyle ↑ 67'
18
Vincent Harper
47
Jake Richards ↑ 67'

Coach Gary Caldwell

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Billy Bodin	1
Josh Magennis	1
Millenic Alli	1
Deji Oshilaja	1
Davis Keillor-Dunn	1
Sam Winnall	1
Jasper Moon	1
Ilmari Niskanen	1

Head to Head

Burton Albion FC Form

2024-12-21 Burton Albion FC 1–2 Exeter City FC L 2024-12-14 Leyton Orient FC 0–0 Burton Albion FC D 2024-12-07 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Wrexham AFC L 2024-12-04 Peterborough United FC 0–1 Burton Albion FC W 2024-12-01 Burton Albion FC 3–4 Tamworth FC L 2024-11-26 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Charlton Athletic FC L

Exeter City FC Form

2024-12-21 Burton Albion FC 1–2 Exeter City FC W 2024-12-14 Exeter City FC 1–2 Barnsley FC L 2024-12-07 Stockport County FC 2–0 Exeter City FC L 2024-12-03 Exeter City FC 2–2 Wycombe Wanderers FC D 2024-11-30 Exeter City FC 2–0 Chesterfield FC W 2024-11-26 Exeter City FC 0–2 Birmingham City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.19 Burton Albion FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.19 Exeter City FC xG

I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Exeter City FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Burton Albion FC34% Draw31% Exeter City FC35%

Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.38

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw

65%

Draw or Exeter City FC

66%

Burton Albion FC or Exeter City FC

69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Burton Albion FC25% Draw50% Exeter City FC25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.1%

0 – 0

11.5%

1 – 0

9.9%

0 – 1

9.9%

2 – 1

7.5%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

6.4%

0 – 2

6.3%

2 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

1 – 3

3 – 0

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap	Burton Albion FC covers	Push	Exeter City FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	20%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	20%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.