Burton Albion FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2024-25

Burton Albion FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Exeter City FC

Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 2,690 HT 45' · FT 45'

Billy Bodin 8' 1–0

1–1 45+2' Josh Magennis

1–2 71' Millenic Alli

Y 13' Ryan Woods

Kgaogelo Chauke 21' Y

Y 43' Kevin McDonald

Jason Sraha 59' Y

Ciaran Gilligan 69' Y

Terence Vancooten 78' Y

Y 81' Millenic Alli

Y 85' Jake Richards

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Exeter City FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Burton Albion FC 8 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sebastian Stockbridge (England)
Assistant 1 Ollie Williams
Assistant 2 Christopher Husband (England)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Bradford City AFC	7	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday FC	7	14
3	Stockport County FC	8	13
4	Plymouth Argyle FC	8	13
5	Cambridge United FC	8	13
6	Huddersfield Town AFC	7	12
7	Burton Albion FC	8	12
8	AFC Wimbledon	8	12
9	Reading FC	7	11
10	Oxford United FC	6	11
11	Leyton Orient FC	7	10
12	Wycombe Wanderers FC	8	10
13	Stevenage FC	7	9
14	Leicester City FC	7	9
15	Blackpool FC	7	8
16	Luton Town FC	7	8
17	Mansfield Town FC	7	8
18	Barnsley FC	7	8
19	Bromley FC	7	8
20	Notts County FC	7	7
21	Doncaster Rovers FC	7	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons FC	7	6
23	Peterborough United FC	8	5
24	Wigan Athletic FC	7	4

Head-to-Head

Burton Albion FC 8 games · Avg 1.5 goals Exeter City FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-21 Burton Albion FC 1–2 Exeter City FC 2024-03-16 Exeter City FC 1–0 Burton Albion FC 2023-09-02 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Exeter City FC 2023-02-11 Burton Albion FC 1–0 Exeter City FC 2022-09-17 Exeter City FC 0–2 Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

Burton Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Dec	Exeter City FC	H	1–2	L
14 Dec	Leyton Orient FC	A	0–0	D
07 Dec	Wrexham AFC	H	0–1	L
04 Dec	Peterborough United FC	A	1–0	W
01 Dec	Tamworth FC	H	3–4	L
26 Nov	Charlton Athletic FC	H	0–1	L

Exeter City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Dec	Burton Albion FC	A	2–1	W
14 Dec	Barnsley FC	H	1–2	L
07 Dec	Stockport County FC	A	0–2	L
03 Dec	Wycombe Wanderers FC	H	2–2	D
30 Nov	Chesterfield FC	H	2–0	W
26 Nov	Birmingham City FC	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

5/1

31-45

–/3

46-60

1/–

61-75

2/2

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC

Jack Armer	2 G	1 A
Finn Delap	2 G
Matthew Dennis	1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Burton Albion FC to score. At the same time, Exeter City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' Burton Albion FC currently sit 23 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
8' GOAL! Billy Bodin fires home to make it 1-0!
13' It’s gonna be a card for Ryan Woods.
18' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
21' Kgaogelo Chauke catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 21.
26' Tristan Crama makes way for Jack Fitzwater at the 26 minute mark. A tactical switch from Exeter City FC.
31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
36' Jason Sraha, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
41' Ed Francis has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
43' Kevin McDonald catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
46' Exeter City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Reece Cole is hanging Jack Aitchison on the field on 46 minute.
47' Josh Magennis does the damage! The net is bulging and Exeter City FC surge ahead!
52' It looks surprising Exeter City FC does not make any changes. Caleb Watts has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
57' A quiet spell here at Pirelli Stadium. Exeter City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
59' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jason Sraha on 59 minutes.
64' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burton Albion FC and Exeter City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
67' Exeter City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kami Doyle is hanging Kevin McDonald on the field on 67 minute.
69' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ciaran Gilligan on 69 minutes.
71' What a strike from Millenic Alli! The score is 1-2.
73' It is a substitution in Burton Albion FC team. Mason Bennett is replaced by Danilo Orsi-Dadomo on 73 minute.
78' The referee has no hesitation. Terence Vancooten is booked for Burton Albion FC — card on 78.
81' Millenic Alli picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
84' Ciaran Gilligan makes way for Charlie Webster at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burton Albion FC.
85' Poor challenge from Jake Richards. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
90' Elliot Watt makes way for Jack Cooper Love at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burton Albion FC.
The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

32
Mason Bennett ↓ Danilo Orsi-Dadomo 73'
11
Billy Bodin
4
Elliot Watt ↓ Jack Cooper Love 90'
6
Ryan Sweeney
15
Terence Vancooten
1
Max Crocombe
2
Udoka Malife
25
Ciaran Gilligan ↓ Charlie Webster 84'
20
Jason Sraha
7
Tomas Kalinauskas
33
Kgaogelo Chauke

Bench

Coach Tom Hounsell

Exeter City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

5
Jack Fitzwater ↑ 26'
12
Reece Cole ↑ 46'
37
Shaun MacDonald
17
Caleb Watts ↑ 90'
20
Kami Doyle ↑ 67'
18
Vincent Harper
47
Jake Richards ↑ 67'

Coach Gary Caldwell

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Reece Cole	1
Billy Bodin	1
Josh Magennis	1
Millenic Alli	1
Deji Oshilaja	1
Davis Keillor-Dunn	1
Sam Winnall	1
Jasper Moon	1

Head to Head

Burton Albion FC Form

2024-12-21 Burton Albion FC 1–2 Exeter City FC L 2024-12-14 Leyton Orient FC 0–0 Burton Albion FC D 2024-12-07 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Wrexham AFC L 2024-12-04 Peterborough United FC 0–1 Burton Albion FC W 2024-12-01 Burton Albion FC 3–4 Tamworth FC L 2024-11-26 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Charlton Athletic FC L

Exeter City FC Form

2024-12-21 Burton Albion FC 1–2 Exeter City FC W 2024-12-14 Exeter City FC 1–2 Barnsley FC L 2024-12-07 Stockport County FC 2–0 Exeter City FC L 2024-12-03 Exeter City FC 2–2 Wycombe Wanderers FC D 2024-11-30 Exeter City FC 2–0 Chesterfield FC W 2024-11-26 Exeter City FC 0–2 Birmingham City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.19 Burton Albion FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.19 Exeter City FC xG

I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Exeter City FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Burton Albion FC34% Draw31% Exeter City FC35%

Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.38

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw

65%

Draw or Exeter City FC

66%

Burton Albion FC or Exeter City FC

69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Burton Albion FC25% Draw50% Exeter City FC25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.1%

0 – 0

11.5%

1 – 0

9.9%

0 – 1

9.9%

2 – 1

7.5%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

6.4%

0 – 2

6.3%

2 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

1 – 3

3 – 0

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap	Burton Albion FC covers	Push	Exeter City FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	20%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	20%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.