Burton Albion FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2024-25

Burton Albion FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Exeter City FC

Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 2,690 HT 45' · FT 45'

Billy Bodin 8' 1–0

1–1 45+2' Josh Magennis

1–2 71' Millenic Alli

Y 13' Ryan Woods

Kgaogelo Chauke 21' Y

Y 43' Kevin McDonald

Jason Sraha 59' Y

Ciaran Gilligan 69' Y

Terence Vancooten 78' Y

Y 81' Millenic Alli

Y 85' Jake Richards

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Exeter City FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)
Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sebastian Stockbridge (England)
Assistant 1 Ollie Williams
Assistant 2 Christopher Husband (England)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Stockport County FC	46	77
4	Bradford City AFC	46	77
5	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
6	Stevenage FC	46	75
7	Luton Town FC	46	74
8	Plymouth Argyle FC	46	73
9	Huddersfield Town AFC	46	67
10	Mansfield Town FC	46	65
11	Wycombe Wanderers FC	46	63
12	Reading FC	46	63
13	Blackpool FC	46	60
14	Doncaster Rovers FC	46	60
15	Barnsley FC	46	59
16	Wigan Athletic FC	46	56
17	Burton Albion FC	46	54
18	Peterborough United FC	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient FC	46	52
21	Exeter City FC	46	49
22	Port Vale FC	46	42
23	Rotherham United FC	46	41
24	Northampton Town FC	46	35

Head-to-Head

Burton Albion FC 8 games · Avg 1.5 goals Exeter City FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-21 Burton Albion FC 1–2 Exeter City FC 2024-03-16 Exeter City FC 1–0 Burton Albion FC 2023-09-02 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Exeter City FC 2023-02-11 Burton Albion FC 1–0 Exeter City FC 2022-09-17 Exeter City FC 0–2 Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

Burton Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Dec	Exeter City FC	H	1–2	L
14 Dec	Leyton Orient FC	A	0–0	D
07 Dec	Wrexham AFC	H	0–1	L
04 Dec	Peterborough United FC	A	1–0	W
01 Dec	Tamworth FC	H	3–4	L
26 Nov	Charlton Athletic FC	H	0–1	L

Exeter City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Dec	Burton Albion FC	A	2–1	W
14 Dec	Barnsley FC	H	1–2	L
07 Dec	Stockport County FC	A	0–2	L
03 Dec	Wycombe Wanderers FC	H	2–2	D
30 Nov	Chesterfield FC	H	2–0	W
26 Nov	Birmingham City FC	H	0–2	L

Season Stats

Burton Albion FC		Exeter City FC
#17	Position	#21
54	Points	49
46	Played	46
13 / 15 / 18	W / D / L	12 / 13 / 21
50	Scored	52
60	Conceded	61
-10	GD	-9
1.17	PPG	1.07
28%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts). Exeter City FC are 21st (49 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Burton Albion FC and Exeter City FC get this one started.
5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tom Hounsell might look to freshen things up shortly.
8' What composure from Billy Bodin! The Wales international strokes it home. 1-0.
13' Ryan Woods has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 13.
18' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
21' The referee shows Burton Albion FC player a card on 21.
26' Another substitution for Exeter City FC to replace Tristan Crama by Jack Fitzwater on 26 minute.
31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kami Doyle, as he is very good at scoring at Pirelli Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
36' The travelling Exeter City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
41' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gary Caldwell will be considering his options from the bench.
43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kevin McDonald on 43 minutes.
46' The Exeter City FC bench stirs into life. Jack Aitchison is withdrawn and Reece Cole gets his opportunity.
47' What composure from Josh Magennis! The Northern Ireland international strokes it home. 1-1.
52' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
57' Exeter City FC come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
59' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jason Sraha.
64' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burton Albion FC and Exeter City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
67' Another substitution for Exeter City FC to replace Kevin McDonald by Kami Doyle on 67 minute.
69' Ciaran Gilligan is having his name booked by the referee on 69.
71' Millenic Alli does the damage! The net is bulging and Exeter City FC surge ahead!
73' Another change for Burton Albion FC made on 73 minute. Mason Bennett leaves to be changed by Danilo Orsi-Dadomo.
78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Terence Vancooten.
81' Millenic Alli catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 81.
84' A tactical swap from Burton Albion FC — Charlie Webster on, Ciaran Gilligan off on 84 minutes.
85' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jake Richards.
90' Fresh legs for Burton Albion FC! Jack Cooper Love comes on to replace Elliot Watt.
Burton Albion FC will have plenty to reflect on. Exeter City FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

32
Mason Bennett ↓ Danilo Orsi-Dadomo 73'
11
Billy Bodin
4
Elliot Watt ↓ Jack Cooper Love 90'
6
Ryan Sweeney
15
Terence Vancooten
1
Max Crocombe
2
Udoka Malife
25
Ciaran Gilligan ↓ Charlie Webster 84'
20
Jason Sraha
7
Tomas Kalinauskas
33
Kgaogelo Chauke

Bench

Coach Tom Hounsell

Exeter City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

5
Jack Fitzwater ↑ 26'
12
Reece Cole ↑ 46'
37
Shaun MacDonald
17
Caleb Watts ↑ 90'
20
Kami Doyle ↑ 67'
18
Vincent Harper
47
Jake Richards ↑ 67'

Coach Gary Caldwell

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jasper Moon	1
Ilmari Niskanen	1
Ryan Trevitt	1
Reece Cole	1
Billy Bodin	1
Josh Magennis	1
Millenic Alli	1
Deji Oshilaja	1

Head to Head

Burton Albion FC Form

2024-12-21 Burton Albion FC 1–2 Exeter City FC L 2024-12-14 Leyton Orient FC 0–0 Burton Albion FC D 2024-12-07 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Wrexham AFC L 2024-12-04 Peterborough United FC 0–1 Burton Albion FC W 2024-12-01 Burton Albion FC 3–4 Tamworth FC L 2024-11-26 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Charlton Athletic FC L

Exeter City FC Form

2024-12-21 Burton Albion FC 1–2 Exeter City FC W 2024-12-14 Exeter City FC 1–2 Barnsley FC L 2024-12-07 Stockport County FC 2–0 Exeter City FC L 2024-12-03 Exeter City FC 2–2 Wycombe Wanderers FC D 2024-11-30 Exeter City FC 2–0 Chesterfield FC W 2024-11-26 Exeter City FC 0–2 Birmingham City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.17 Burton Albion FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.2 Exeter City FC xG

I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Exeter City FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Burton Albion FC34% Draw31% Exeter City FC35%

Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.37

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw

65%

Draw or Exeter City FC

66%

Burton Albion FC or Exeter City FC

69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Burton Albion FC25% Draw50% Exeter City FC25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.1%

0 – 0

11.6%

0 – 1

10%

1 – 0

9.8%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.4%

0 – 2

6.5%

2 – 0

6.2%

2 – 2

4.5%

1 – 3

3.1%

3 – 1

2.9%

0 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap	Burton Albion FC covers	Push	Exeter City FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	19%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	20%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.