Saturday , 14 November 2026

Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC St. James Park 6,188 HT 45' · FT 45'
Reece Cole 41' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at St. James Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Woods
  • Assistant 1 Justin Amey
  • Assistant 2 Dean Treleaven
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Burton Albion FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar Shrewsbury Town FC A 3–0 W
09 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–2 D
02 Mar Peterborough United FC A 1–2 L
24 Feb Fleetwood Town FC H 1–1 D
17 Feb Lincoln City FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Exeter City FC A 0–1 L
12 Mar Portsmouth FC A 1–2 L
09 Mar Peterborough United FC H 1–3 L
02 Mar Cheltenham Town FC A 0–0 D
27 Feb Carlisle United FC H 0–1 L
24 Feb Northampton Town FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 3 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Exeter City FC and Burton Albion FC is underway.
  • 2' It’s gonna be a card for Jake Caprice.
  • 7' Exeter City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 12' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 12 minutes.
  • 17' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 22' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gary Caldwell will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 27' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' Pierce Sweeney catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 30.
  • 34' Cheick Diabate is ready to make an impact after coming on for Pierce Sweeney at the 34 minute mark.
  • 39' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Exeter City FC and Burton Albion FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 41' A goal from the England international Reece Cole! He fires home on 41 to make it 1-0!
  • 43' Jack Aitchison picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Zak Jules. He receives a card.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Ben Purrington. He replaces Yanic Wildschut on 46 minute.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Exeter City FC in their trying to find a way past Burton Albion FC's compact .
  • 55' That is a card for Burton Albion FC. Rekeem Harper will be fuming at that decision.
  • 56' A tactical swap from Burton Albion FC — Antwoine Hackford on, Tolaji Bola off on 56 minutes.
  • 61' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Exeter City FC and Burton Albion FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 65' Exeter City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 67' The Burton Albion FC manager makes a substitution. Joe Hugill departs to be replaced by Ademola Ola-Adebomi.
  • 68' Adedeji Oshilaja makes way for Mustapha Carayol at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burton Albion FC.
  • 72' Exeter City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Millenic Alli is hanging Sonny Cox on the field on 72 minute.
  • 76' Dion Rankine is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jack Aitchison at the 76 minute mark.
  • 77' The whistle greets Tom Carroll as he departs to be replaced by Ryan Woods.
  • 82' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 83' That looks like a foul for a card for Reece Cole.
  • 88' It looks like no one’s ball. Burton Albion FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC46% Draw30% Burton Albion FC24%
Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
54%
Exeter City FC or Burton Albion FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Exeter City FC27% Draw54% Burton Albion FC19%
Actual: Exeter City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 0
3.1%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 23% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.