Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2023-24

Exeter City FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Burton Albion FC

Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC St. James Park 6,188 HT 45' · FT 45'

Reece Cole 41' 1–0

Y 2' Jake Caprice

Pierce Sweeney 30' Y

Jack Aitchison 43' Y

Zak Jules 45' R

Y 55' Rekeem Harper

Tom Carroll 65' Y

Reece Cole 83' Y

Y 83' Mustapha Carayol

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at St. James Park.

Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Martin Woods
Assistant 1 Justin Amey
Assistant 2 Dean Treleaven

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Stockport County FC	46	77
4	Bradford City AFC	46	77
5	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
6	Stevenage FC	46	75
7	Luton Town FC	46	74
8	Plymouth Argyle FC	46	73
9	Huddersfield Town AFC	46	67
10	Mansfield Town FC	46	65
11	Wycombe Wanderers FC	46	63
12	Reading FC	46	63
13	Blackpool FC	46	60
14	Doncaster Rovers FC	46	60
15	Barnsley FC	46	59
16	Wigan Athletic FC	46	56
17	Burton Albion FC	46	54
18	Peterborough United FC	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient FC	46	52
21	Exeter City FC	46	49
22	Port Vale FC	46	42
23	Rotherham United FC	46	41
24	Northampton Town FC	46	35

Head-to-Head

Exeter City FC 8 games · Avg 1.5 goals Burton Albion FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-16 Exeter City FC 1–0 Burton Albion FC 2023-09-02 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Exeter City FC 2023-02-11 Burton Albion FC 1–0 Exeter City FC 2022-09-17 Exeter City FC 0–2 Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

Exeter City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Mar	Burton Albion FC	H	1–0	W
12 Mar	Shrewsbury Town FC	A	3–0	W
09 Mar	Bolton Wanderers FC	H	2–2	D
02 Mar	Peterborough United FC	A	1–2	L
24 Feb	Fleetwood Town FC	H	1–1	D
17 Feb	Lincoln City FC	A	0–1	L

Burton Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Mar	Exeter City FC	A	0–1	L
12 Mar	Portsmouth FC	A	1–2	L
09 Mar	Peterborough United FC	H	1–3	L
02 Mar	Cheltenham Town FC	A	0–0	D
27 Feb	Carlisle United FC	H	0–1	L
24 Feb	Northampton Town FC	H	0–2	L

Season Stats

Exeter City FC		Burton Albion FC
#21	Position	#17
49	Points	54
46	Played	46
12 / 13 / 21	W / D / L	13 / 15 / 18
52	Scored	50
61	Conceded	60
-9	GD	-10
1.07	PPG	1.17
26%	Win %	28%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Exeter City FC are 21st (49 pts). Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Exeter City FC to score. At the same time, Burton Albion FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
2' The referee has no hesitation. Jake Caprice is booked for Burton Albion FC — card on 2.
7' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rekeem Harper, as he is very good at scoring at St. James Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
12' Burton Albion FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
17' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
22' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tom Hamer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Exeter City FC.
27' Suriname international Yanic Wildschut has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
30' Pierce Sweeney was booked on 30.
34' Cheick Diabate gets the nod from Exeter City FC. He replaces Pierce Sweeney and will look to change the dynamic.
39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
41' What a moment for Reece Cole! That strike on 41 puts his side firmly in control.
43' The referee has no hesitation. Jack Aitchison is booked for Exeter City FC — card on 43.
45' Poor challenge from Zak Jules. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
46' The supporters are chanting for Ben Purrington. He replaces Yanic Wildschut on 46 minute.
51' It is a cagey affair so far. Exeter City FC in their trying to find a way past Burton Albion FC's compact .
55' The referee has no hesitation. Rekeem Harper is booked for Burton Albion FC — card on 55.
56' Antwoine Hackford is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tolaji Bola at the 56 minute mark.
61' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Exeter City FC and Burton Albion FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
65' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tom Carroll on 65 minutes.
67' The whistle greets Joe Hugill as he departs to be replaced by Ademola Ola-Adebomi.
68' Mustapha Carayol gets the nod from Burton Albion FC. He replaces Adedeji Oshilaja and will look to change the dynamic.
72' Sonny Cox makes way for Millenic Alli at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Exeter City FC.
76' Time for substitution for Exeter City FC. Jack Aitchison is replaced by Dion Rankine.
77' The Exeter City FC bench stirs into life. Tom Carroll is withdrawn and Ryan Woods gets his opportunity.
82' Exeter City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
83' The referee has no hesitation. Reece Cole is booked for Exeter City FC — card on 83.
88' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

27
Mohamed Eisa
2
Ben Purrington ↑ 46'
8
Ryan Woods ↑ 77'
30
Shaun MacDonald
39
Cheick Diabate ↑ 34'
25
Millenic Alli ↑ 72'
21
Dion Rankine ↑ 76'

Coach Gary Caldwell

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

8
Rekeem Harper ↓ Bobby Kamwa 56'
7
Joe Powell
2
John Brayford
37
Tom Hamer
6
Ryan Sweeney
1
Max Crocombe
22
Jake Caprice
23
Tolaji Bola ↓ Antwoine Hackford 56'
17
Mark Helm
4
Adedeji Oshilaja ↓ Mustapha Carayol 68'
44
Joe Hugill ↓ Ademola Ola-Adebomi 67'

Bench

Coach Martin Paterson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Millenic Alli	1
Deji Oshilaja	1
Davis Keillor-Dunn	1
Sam Winnall	1
Jasper Moon	1
Ilmari Niskanen	1
Ryan Trevitt	1
Reece Cole	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.13 Exeter City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.87 Burton Albion FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Exeter City FC46% Draw30% Burton Albion FC24%

Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes41% 0% No59%

Avg goals/match: 2

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	84%	16%
± 1.5	60%	40%
± 2.5	32%	68%
± 3.5	15%	85%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Burton Albion FC

54%

Exeter City FC or Burton Albion FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Exeter City FC27% Draw55% Burton Albion FC18%

Actual: Exeter City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

15.9%

1 – 1

14.2%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

10.4%

2 – 0

8.2%

2 – 1

7.3%

1 – 2

5.6%

0 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

3.3%

3 – 0

3.1%

3 – 1

2.8%

1 – 3

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap	Exeter City FC covers	Push	Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	12%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	23%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	17%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✗

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Exeter City FC Form

Burton Albion FC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Clean Sheet