Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2023-24

Exeter City FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Burton Albion FC

Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC St. James Park 6,188 HT 45' · FT 45'

Reece Cole 41' 1–0

Y 2' Jake Caprice

Pierce Sweeney 30' Y

Jack Aitchison 43' Y

Zak Jules 45' R

Y 55' Rekeem Harper

Tom Carroll 65' Y

Reece Cole 83' Y

Y 83' Mustapha Carayol

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at St. James Park.

Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
Burton Albion FC 8 games · 12 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Martin Woods
Assistant 1 Justin Amey
Assistant 2 Dean Treleaven

3 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Bradford City AFC	7	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday FC	7	14
3	Stockport County FC	8	13
4	Plymouth Argyle FC	8	13
5	Cambridge United FC	8	13
6	Huddersfield Town AFC	7	12
7	Burton Albion FC	8	12
8	AFC Wimbledon	8	12
9	Reading FC	7	11
10	Oxford United FC	6	11
11	Leyton Orient FC	7	10
12	Wycombe Wanderers FC	8	10
13	Stevenage FC	7	9
14	Leicester City FC	7	9
15	Blackpool FC	7	8
16	Luton Town FC	7	8
17	Mansfield Town FC	7	8
18	Barnsley FC	7	8
19	Bromley FC	7	8
20	Notts County FC	7	7
21	Doncaster Rovers FC	7	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons FC	7	6
23	Peterborough United FC	8	5
24	Wigan Athletic FC	7	4

Head-to-Head

Exeter City FC 8 games · Avg 1.5 goals Burton Albion FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-16 Exeter City FC 1–0 Burton Albion FC 2023-09-02 Burton Albion FC 0–1 Exeter City FC 2023-02-11 Burton Albion FC 1–0 Exeter City FC 2022-09-17 Exeter City FC 0–2 Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

Exeter City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Mar	Burton Albion FC	H	1–0	W
12 Mar	Shrewsbury Town FC	A	3–0	W
09 Mar	Bolton Wanderers FC	H	2–2	D
02 Mar	Peterborough United FC	A	1–2	L
24 Feb	Fleetwood Town FC	H	1–1	D
17 Feb	Lincoln City FC	A	0–1	L

Burton Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Mar	Exeter City FC	A	0–1	L
12 Mar	Portsmouth FC	A	1–2	L
09 Mar	Peterborough United FC	H	1–3	L
02 Mar	Cheltenham Town FC	A	0–0	D
27 Feb	Carlisle United FC	H	0–1	L
24 Feb	Northampton Town FC	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

5/1

31-45

–/3

46-60

1/–

61-75

2/2

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC

Jack Armer	2 G	1 A
Finn Delap	2 G
Matthew Dennis	1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to St. James Park that hosts another battle between Exeter City FC and Burton Albion FC.
2' Burton Albion FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 2.
7' Max Crocombe has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 17 appearances.
12' Viljami Sinisalo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Exeter City FC tonight.
17' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Exeter City FC that had 198 games and scored 203 goals.
22' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ryan Woods is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Exeter City FC.
27' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 27 minutes.
30' It’s a booking for Exeter City FC player. Pierce Sweeney gets a card.
34' Fresh legs for Exeter City FC! Cheick Diabate comes on to replace Pierce Sweeney.
39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burton Albion FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
41' GOAL! Reece Cole fires home to make it 1-0!
43' Jack Aitchison picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
45' Controversy at the stadium! Zak Jules argues furiously but the card stands.
46' Another change for Exeter City FC made on 46 minute. Yanic Wildschut leaves to be changed by Ben Purrington.
51' Exeter City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
55' Rekeem Harper has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 55.
56' The Burton Albion FC manager makes a substitution. Tolaji Bola departs to be replaced by Antwoine Hackford.
61' It’s high time Gary Caldwell made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
65' Tom Carroll catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 65.
67' Ademola Ola-Adebomi is replacing Joe Hugill for the Burton Albion FC side.
68' A tactical swap from Burton Albion FC — Mustapha Carayol on, Adedeji Oshilaja off on 68 minutes.
72' Millenic Alli is replacing Sonny Cox for the Exeter City FC side.
76' Exeter City FC make a change. Jack Aitchison trudges off to be replaced by Dion Rankine on 76 minutes.
77' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Woods. He replaces Tom Carroll on 77 minute.
82' Both keepers have barely been tested. Exeter City FC and Burton Albion FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
83' The referee calls foul for Reece Cole. He receives a card.
88' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Exeter City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
Another three points for Exeter City FC.

Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

27
Mohamed Eisa
2
Ben Purrington ↑ 46'
8
Ryan Woods ↑ 77'
30
Shaun MacDonald
39
Cheick Diabate ↑ 34'
25
Millenic Alli ↑ 72'
21
Dion Rankine ↑ 76'

Coach Gary Caldwell

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

8
Rekeem Harper ↓ Bobby Kamwa 56'
7
Joe Powell
2
John Brayford
37
Tom Hamer
6
Ryan Sweeney
1
Max Crocombe
22
Jake Caprice
23
Tolaji Bola ↓ Antwoine Hackford 56'
17
Mark Helm
4
Adedeji Oshilaja ↓ Mustapha Carayol 68'
44
Joe Hugill ↓ Ademola Ola-Adebomi 67'

Bench

Coach Martin Paterson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Billy Bodin	1
Josh Magennis	1
Millenic Alli	1
Deji Oshilaja	1
Davis Keillor-Dunn	1
Sam Winnall	1
Jasper Moon	1
Ilmari Niskanen	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.13 Exeter City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.88 Burton Albion FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Exeter City FC46% Draw30% Burton Albion FC24%

Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes41% 0% No59%

Avg goals/match: 2.01

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	84%	16%
± 1.5	60%	40%
± 2.5	33%	67%
± 3.5	15%	85%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Burton Albion FC

54%

Exeter City FC or Burton Albion FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Exeter City FC27% Draw54% Burton Albion FC19%

Actual: Exeter City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

15.8%

1 – 1

14.2%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

10.4%

2 – 0

8.2%

2 – 1

7.4%

1 – 2

5.6%

0 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

3.4%

3 – 0

3.1%

3 – 1

2.8%

1 – 3

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap	Exeter City FC covers	Push	Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	12%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	23%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	17%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✗

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Exeter City FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Exeter City FC Form

Burton Albion FC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Clean Sheet