Burton Albion FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burton Albion FC vs Exeter City FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.
- Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)
- Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Geoff Eltringham
- Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
- Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | Exeter City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Aug | Bolton Wanderers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | Shrewsbury Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | Derby County FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Aug | Blackpool FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | Burton Albion FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | Reading FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | Carlisle United FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Aug | Blackpool FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Burton Albion FC | Exeter City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #21 |
| 54 | Points | 49 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 13 / 15 / 18 | W / D / L | 12 / 13 / 21 |
| 50 | Scored | 52 |
| 60 | Conceded | 61 |
| -10 | GD | -9 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 28% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts). Exeter City FC are 21st (49 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Burton Albion FC welcome Exeter City FC for this crunch clash at Pirelli Stadium.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Pierce Sweeney suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' Tom Hamer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 14 appearances.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kwadwo Baah made 140 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Burton Albion FC in their trying to find a way past Exeter City FC's compact .
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Max Crocombe, as he is very good at scoring at Pirelli Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 26' Burton Albion FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 31' A quiet spell here at Pirelli Stadium. Burton Albion FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 35' The Exeter City FC bench stirs into life. Dion Rankine is withdrawn and Vincent Harper gets his opportunity.
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 45' The referee shows Exeter City FC player a card on 45.
- 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 55' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gary Caldwell will be considering his options from the bench.
- 59' Burton Albion FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 60' It is a substitution in Burton Albion FC team. Josh Gordon is replaced by Bez Lubala on 60 minute.
- 61' Steve Seddon is replacing Jake Caprice for the Burton Albion FC side.
- 66' Exeter City FC have won 203 goals from 198 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 68' Zak Jules makes way for Admiral Muskwe at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Exeter City FC.
- 69' A tactical swap from Burton Albion FC — Josh Walker on, Mark Helm off on 69 minutes.
- 74' Burton Albion FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Exeter City FC backline.
- 75' Magnificent from Ryan Trevitt! That is 4 goals in 344 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 79' Time for substitution for Burton Albion FC. Kgaogelo Chauke is replaced by Kwadwo Baah.
- 82' Another substitution for Exeter City FC to replace Vincent Harper by Kyle Taylor on 82 minute.
- 87' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Exeter City FC that had 198 games and scored 203 goals.
- 90' Burton Albion FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- It finishes all square. Burton Albion FC and Exeter City FC share the spoils 0-1.
Lineups
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 12
- 2
-
10
Josh Gordon ↓ Bez Lubala 60'
- 37
- 1
-
22
Jake Caprice ↓ Steve Seddon 61'
- 5
-
17
Mark Helm ↓ Josh Walker 69'
-
16
Kgaogelo Chauke ↓ Kwadwo Baah 79'
- 4
Bench
- 8
- 30
- 6
-
14
Josh Walker ↑ 69'
-
3
Steve Seddon ↑ 61'
-
24
Kwadwo Baah ↑ 79'
-
15
Bez Lubala ↑ 60'
Coach
Dino Maamria
Exeter City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 4
- 26
- 5
-
3
Zak Jules ↓ Admiral Muskwe 68'
- 12
- 7
- 14
- 1
- 8
-
21
Dion Rankine ↓ Vincent Harper 35'
Bench
- 33
- 23
-
–
Admiral Muskwe ↑ 68'
-
31
Vincent Harper ↑ 35'
- 47
- 19
- 36
Coach
Gary Caldwell
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ryan Trevitt | 1 |
| Reece Cole | 1 |
| Billy Bodin | 1 |
| Josh Magennis | 1 |
| Millenic Alli | 1 |
| Deji Oshilaja | 1 |
| Davis Keillor-Dunn | 1 |
| Sam Winnall | 1 |
Head to Head
Burton Albion FC Form
2023-09-02
Burton Albion FC
0–1
Exeter City FC
L
2023-08-26
Burton Albion FC
1–1
Bolton Wanderers FC
D
2023-08-19
Wycombe Wanderers FC
0–0
Burton Albion FC
D
2023-08-15
Shrewsbury Town FC
2–1
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-08-12
Burton Albion FC
0–3
Derby County FC
L
2023-08-05
Blackpool FC
2–0
Burton Albion FC
L
Exeter City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.92
Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for:
Exeter City FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Exeter City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Burton Albion FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Exeter City FC
70%
Burton Albion FC or Exeter City FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.2%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 3
2.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC
| Handicap | Burton Albion FC covers | Push | Exeter City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 19% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 22% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.