Luton Town FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2025-26

Luton Town FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Burton Albion FC

Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One .

Luton Town FC 46 games · 74 pts (2026/27)
Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sebastian Stockbridge (England)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Stockport County FC	46	77
4	Bradford City AFC	46	77
5	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
6	Stevenage FC	46	75
7	Luton Town FC	46	74
8	Plymouth Argyle FC	46	73
9	Huddersfield Town AFC	46	67
10	Mansfield Town FC	46	65
11	Wycombe Wanderers FC	46	63
12	Reading FC	46	63
13	Blackpool FC	46	60
14	Doncaster Rovers FC	46	60
15	Barnsley FC	46	59
16	Wigan Athletic FC	46	56
17	Burton Albion FC	46	54
18	Peterborough United FC	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient FC	46	52
21	Exeter City FC	46	49
22	Port Vale FC	46	42
23	Rotherham United FC	46	41
24	Northampton Town FC	46	35

Head-to-Head

Luton Town FC 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Burton Albion FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-21 Luton Town FC 1–1 Burton Albion FC 2025-08-30 Burton Albion FC 0–3 Luton Town FC 2019-04-27 Burton Albion FC 2–1 Luton Town FC 2018-12-22 Luton Town FC 2–0 Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

Luton Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	Burton Albion FC	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Wigan Athletic FC	A	0–1	L
14 Feb	Cardiff City FC	A	1–3	L
07 Feb	Bradford City AFC	H	2–1	W
31 Jan	Blackpool FC	H	1–0	W
27 Jan	Huddersfield Town AFC	A	0–1	L

Burton Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	Luton Town FC	A	1–1	D
17 Feb	Rotherham United FC	H	1–0	W
14 Feb	West Ham United FC	H	0–1	L
07 Feb	Port Vale FC	A	2–2	D
03 Feb	Doncaster Rovers FC	H	1–2	L
31 Jan	Cardiff City FC	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

Luton Town FC		Burton Albion FC
#7	Position	#17
74	Points	54
46	Played	46
21 / 11 / 14	W / D / L	13 / 15 / 18
68	Scored	50
56	Conceded	60
+12	GD	-10
1.61	PPG	1.17
46%	Win %	28%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Luton Town FC are 7th (74 pts). Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Burton Albion FC gets underway.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

Burton Albion FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
James Collins	2
Lucas Akins	2
Jack Stacey	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.62 Luton Town FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.98 Burton Albion FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Luton Town FC51% Draw27% Burton Albion FC22%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.6

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Burton Albion FC

49%

Luton Town FC or Burton Albion FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Luton Town FC36% Draw47% Burton Albion FC17%

Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

11.2%

2 – 0

9.6%

0 – 0

9.4%

2 – 1

9.2%

0 – 1

6.2%

1 – 2

5.5%

3 – 0

5.1%

3 – 1

2 – 2

4.5%

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 2

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap	Luton Town FC covers	Push	Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	23%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	14%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.