Ceará SC vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Ceará SC vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Castelao.
- Ceará SC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 21 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun | CA Mineiro | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 May | SC Recife | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 May | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | EC Vitoria | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun | Ceará SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 May | Fluminense FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 05 May | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
19%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Castelao!
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' With 1 assists to his name this season, Willian Machado is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Ceará SC.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' Antonio Galeano has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' The referee has no hesitation. Dieguinho is booked for Ceara SC — card on 35.
- 40' Ceará SC have won 233 goals from 238 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 44' The referee calls foul for Alan Franco. He receives a card.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Hulk. He replaces Vitor Hugo on 46 minute.
- 49' Controversy at the stadium! Lyanco argues furiously but the card stands.
- 54' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 59' Rubens needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 64' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Junior Santos. He replaces Igor Gomes on 66 minute.
- 71' Ceará SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
- 73' It is a substitution in Ceara SC team. Pedro Henrique is replaced by Romulo on 73 minute.
- 78' Rony adds to his 0 season tally! CA Mineiro lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 82' The Ceara SC manager makes a substitution. Fernando Sobral departs to be replaced by Bruno Tubarao.
- 83' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Gustavo Scarpa has done his job and it is now time for Gabriel Menino to step up.
- 86' Lourenco gets the nod from Ceara SC. He replaces Lucas Mugni and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' Ceara SC ring the changes. Antonio Galeano has done his job and it is now time for Aylon to step up.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lyanco on 90 minutes.
- 90' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Patrick Silva is replaced by Igor Rabello on 90 minute.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. CA Mineiro take all three points.
Lineups
Ceará SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 3
- 30
- 10
- 7
- 88
- 9
- 70
- 20
- 27
- 23
Bench
- 40
- 11
- 33
- 97
- 2
- 94
- 8
- 29
- 31
- 99
- 19
- 80
Coach
Leo Condé
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 33
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Junior Santos 66'
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Gabriel Menino 83'
- 6
- 4
-
14
Vitor Hugo ↓ Hulk 46'
- 21
-
2
Natanael ↓ Renzo Saravia 66'
- 44
-
20
Patrick Silva ↓ Igor Rabello 90'
Bench
-
16
Igor Rabello ↑ 90'
-
37
Junior Santos ↑ 66'
- 38
- 11
-
26
Renzo Saravia ↑ 66'
- 8
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 83'
-
7
Hulk ↑ 46'
- 1
- 47
- 23
- 19
Coach
Cuca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luan | 2 |
| Hulk | 2 |
| Marrony | 2 |
| Eduardo Sasha | 1 |
| Juninho Quixada | 1 |
| Keno | 1 |
| Juan Cazares | 1 |
| Vinicius Lima | 1 |
Head to Head
Ceará SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.98
Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 70% + CA Mineiro or Draw 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.93
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 2.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Ceará SC or Draw
66%
Draw or CA Mineiro
67%
Ceará SC or CA Mineiro
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
2.1%
3 – 0
2.1%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Ceará SC
| Handicap | Ceará SC covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 20% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 20% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.