Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Ceará SC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Ceará SC
1 – 0
Full Time
EC Vitoria
Sat 3 May 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 37' Lucas Braga
Y 53' Matheuzinho
Y 90' Claudinho

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

2
2
Ceará SC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals EC Vitoria
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-03 Ceará SC 1–0 EC Vitoria 2018-09-15 Ceará SC 2–0 EC Vitoria 2018-05-20 EC Vitoria 2–1 Ceará SC

Recent Form

Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May EC Vitoria H 1–0 W
26 Apr Sao Paulo FC H 1–1 D
21 Apr EC Bahia A 0–1 L
16 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
12 Apr EC Juventude A 1–2 L
05 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–0 W
EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Ceará SC A 0–1 L
27 Apr Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
20 Apr Fluminense FC A 1–1 D
17 Apr Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
13 Apr CA Mineiro A 2–2 D
06 Apr CR Flamengo H 1–2 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 4 G 2 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Ceará SC is hosting EC Vitoria for another epic battle.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Thiago Carpini will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Brazil international Fabiano Silva has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' Lucas Halter has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 383 appearances.
  • 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Ceará SC and EC Vitoria are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 25' EC Vitoria are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 37' The referee has no hesitation. Lucas Braga is booked for EC Vitoria — card on 37.
  • 42' EC Vitoria fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 46' Fabiano Silva makes way for Rafael Ramos at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Ceara SC.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Ceará SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 53' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Matheuzinho on 53 minutes.
  • 56' What composure from Marllon! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 58' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Lucas Braga has done his job and it is now time for Erick to step up.
  • 59' Carlinhos makes way for Leo Augusto at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Vitoria.
  • 64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
  • 69' Leo Augusto needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 73' Lucas Mugni makes way for Romulo at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Ceara SC.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Ceara SC. Antonio Galeano is replaced by Bruno Tubarao.
  • 83' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 85' It is a substitution in EC Vitoria team. Matheuzinho is replaced by Fabricio on 85 minute.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Claudinho.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Ceara SC! Nicolas Vichiatto comes on to replace Pedro Henrique.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Ceará SC take all three points.

Lineups

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

EC Vitoria Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Thiago Carpini

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.33 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC49% Draw29% EC Vitoria22%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Vitoria
51%
Ceará SC or EC Vitoria
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC31% Draw52% EC Vitoria17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.