Saturday , 14 November 2026

Ceará SC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Ceará SC
1 – 0
Full Time
EC Vitoria
Sat 3 May 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 37' Lucas Braga
Y 53' Matheuzinho
Y 90' Claudinho

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 34 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 São Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 34 40
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

2
2
Ceará SC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals EC Vitoria
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-03 Ceará SC 1–0 EC Vitoria 2018-09-15 Ceará SC 2–0 EC Vitoria 2018-05-20 EC Vitoria 2–1 Ceará SC

Recent Form

Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May EC Vitoria H 1–0 W
26 Apr São Paulo FC H 1–1 D
21 Apr EC Bahia A 0–1 L
16 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
12 Apr EC Juventude A 1–2 L
05 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–0 W
EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Ceará SC A 0–1 L
27 Apr Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
20 Apr Fluminense FC A 1–1 D
17 Apr Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
13 Apr CA Mineiro A 2–2 D
06 Apr CR Flamengo H 1–2 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 9 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 6 G 4 A
Erick 5 G 6 A
Renato Kayzer 5 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Ceará SC is hosting EC Vitoria for another epic battle.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Ceará SC and EC Vitoria are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Ceará SC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' Lucas Halter has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 386 appearances.
  • 30' Lucas Mugni, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 37' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Lucas Braga will be fuming at that decision.
  • 42' EC Vitoria are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Rafael Ramos. He replaces Fabiano Silva on 46 minute.
  • 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 53' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 53.
  • 56' Marllon makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Ceara SC are in front.
  • 58' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Lucas Braga is withdrawn and Erick gets his opportunity.
  • 59' Leo Augusto gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Carlinhos and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 64' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 69' It looks surprising EC Vitoria does not make any changes. Pedro Henrique has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 73' Romulo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lucas Mugni at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' The whistle greets Antonio Galeano as he departs to be replaced by Bruno Tubarao.
  • 83' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 85' Time for substitution for EC Vitoria. Matheuzinho is replaced by Fabricio.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Claudinho.
  • 90' Ceara SC make a change. Pedro Henrique trudges off to be replaced by Nicolas Vichiatto on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Ceará SC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

EC Vitoria Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Thiago Carpini

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.33 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC49% Draw29% EC Vitoria22%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Vitoria
51%
Ceará SC or EC Vitoria
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC31% Draw52% EC Vitoria17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.