Thursday , 2 July 2026

Ceará SC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Ceará SC
1 – 0
Full Time
EC Vitoria
Sat 3 May 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 37' Lucas Braga
Y 53' Matheuzinho
Y 90' Claudinho

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

2
2
Ceará SC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals EC Vitoria
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-03 Ceará SC 1–0 EC Vitoria 2018-09-15 Ceará SC 2–0 EC Vitoria 2018-05-20 EC Vitoria 2–1 Ceará SC

Recent Form

Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May EC Vitoria H 1–0 W
26 Apr Sao Paulo FC H 1–1 D
21 Apr EC Bahia A 0–1 L
16 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
12 Apr EC Juventude A 1–2 L
05 Apr Grêmio FBPA H 2–0 W
EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Ceará SC A 0–1 L
27 Apr Grêmio FBPA H 1–1 D
20 Apr Fluminense FC A 1–1 D
17 Apr Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
13 Apr CA Mineiro A 2–2 D
06 Apr CR Flamengo H 1–2 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 3 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: EC Vitoria gets underway.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Mugni, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' EC Vitoria is showing some good football. However, EC Vitoria are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Matheuzinho has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 25' It’s high time Leo Condé made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Vitoria is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 37' EC Vitoria player sees a card in front of him.
  • 42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' Another change for Ceara SC made on 46 minute. Fabiano Silva leaves to be changed by Rafael Ramos.
  • 51' It looks surprising Ceará SC does not make any changes. Fabricio has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 53' The referee calls foul for Matheuzinho. He receives a card.
  • 56' Marllon puts Ceara SC on the lead.
  • 58' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 58 minute. Lucas Braga leaves to be changed by Erick.
  • 59' Leo Augusto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Carlinhos on 59 minute.
  • 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ceará SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 69' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 73' Time for substitution for Ceara SC. Lucas Mugni is replaced by Romulo.
  • 78' Ceara SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bruno Tubarao is hanging Antonio Galeano on the field on 78 minute.
  • 83' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 85' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Matheuzinho by Fabricio on 85 minute.
  • 90' EC Vitoria player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' Nicolas Vichiatto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pedro Henrique on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. Ceará SC beats EC Vitoria

Lineups

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

EC Vitoria Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Thiago Carpini

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.33 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC49% Draw29% EC Vitoria22%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Vitoria
51%
Ceará SC or EC Vitoria
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC31% Draw52% EC Vitoria17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.