EC Juventude vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025

EC Juventude

0 – 1

Full Time

CA Mineiro

Mon 5 May 2025 · 23:00 UTC Alfredo Jaconi HT 45' · FT 45'

Gilberto 45' Y

Y 59' Everson

Jadson 85' Y

Y 90' Junior Alonso

Ewerthon 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Juventude vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Alfredo Jaconi.

EC Juventude 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
CA Mineiro 35 games · 51 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	34	76
2	SE Palmeiras	34	73
3	Cruzeiro EC	34	60
4	Fluminense FC	34	57
5	CA Paranaense	34	54
6	EC Bahia	34	53
7	CA Mineiro	35	51
8	RB Bragantino	34	47
9	Santos FC	34	47
10	Sao Paulo FC	34	44
11	Botafogo FR	34	42
12	Coritiba FBC	34	42
13	CR Vasco da Gama	33	41
14	Mirassol FC	35	41
15	SC Internacional	34	38
16	EC Vitoria	34	38
17	SC Corinthians Paulista	34	37
18	Gremio FBPA	34	37
19	Clube do Remo	34	29
20	Chapecoense AF	33	21

Head-to-Head

EC Juventude 8 games · Avg 2.1 goals CA Mineiro

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-05 EC Juventude 0–1 CA Mineiro 2024-11-27 CA Mineiro 2–3 EC Juventude 2024-07-16 EC Juventude 1–1 CA Mineiro 2022-10-27 CA Mineiro 1–0 EC Juventude 2022-07-02 EC Juventude 1–2 CA Mineiro

Recent Form

EC Juventude

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 May	CA Mineiro	H	0–1	L
26 Apr	SC Internacional	A	1–3	L
20 Apr	Mirassol FC	H	2–2	D
17 Apr	CR Flamengo	A	0–6	L
12 Apr	Ceará SC	H	2–1	W
06 Apr	Botafogo FR	A	0–2	L

CA Mineiro

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 May	EC Juventude	A	1–0	W
26 Apr	Mirassol FC	A	2–2	D
20 Apr	Botafogo FR	H	1–0	W
17 Apr	Santos FC	A	0–2	L
13 Apr	EC Vitoria	H	2–2	D
06 Apr	Sao Paulo FC	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro

0-15

3/5

16-30

8/1

31-45

5/6

46-60

2/2

61-75

8/5

76+

9/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro

Bernard	5 G	4 A
Tomas Cuello	5 G	2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes	4 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for EC Juventude to score. At the same time, CA Mineiro does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' Vitor Hugo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Mineiro tonight.
10' EC Juventude seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
30' What composure from Gustavo Scarpa! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
40' Luiz Mandaca has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 152 appearances.
45' A moment of madness from Gilberto on 45 minutes earns him a card. EC Juventude will be frustrated.
46' The supporters are chanting for Enmerson Batalla. He replaces Daniel Giraldo on 46 minute.
51' CA Mineiro is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
59' A meaty challenge results in booking for Everson on 59.
64' CA Mineiro fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
69' EC Juventude manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gabriel Taliari is hanging Gilberto on the field on 69 minute.
74' EC Juventude have won 161 goals from 152 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
79' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Mineiro is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
81' Fresh legs for CA Mineiro! Brahian Palacios comes on to replace Igor Gomes.
85' It’s a booking for EC Juventude player. Jadson gets a card.
90' CA Mineiro player sees a card in front of him.
90' EC Juventude make a change. Alan Ruschel trudges off to be replaced by Giovanny on 90 minutes.
Full Time. CA Mineiro beats EC Juventude

Lineups

EC Juventude Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

19
Gabriel Taliari ↑ 69'
93
Reginaldo
10
Nene ↑ 46'
11
Giovanny ↑ 90'
36
Nata
15
Kelvi
23
Abner
34
Rodrigo Sam
95
Caique ↑ 69'
1
Gustavo
27
Enmerson Batalla ↑ 46'
18
Galego

Coach Fábio Matias

CA Mineiro Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

16
Igor Rabello
11
Bernard ↑ 90'
14
Vitor Hugo ↑ 90'
26
Renzo Saravia
1
Gabriel Delfim
30
Brahian Palacios ↑ 81'
23
Ivan Roman
20
Patrick Silva
19
Joao Marcelo ↑ 90'

Coach Cuca

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Hulk	5
Gilberto	1
Nathan Silva	1
Lucas Barbosa	1
Erick	1
Paulinho	1
Gustavo Scarpa	1
Eduardo Sasha	1

Head to Head

EC Juventude Form

2025-05-05 EC Juventude 0–1 CA Mineiro L 2025-04-26 SC Internacional 3–1 EC Juventude L 2025-04-20 EC Juventude 2–2 Mirassol FC D 2025-04-17 CR Flamengo 6–0 EC Juventude L 2025-04-12 EC Juventude 2–1 Ceará SC W 2025-04-06 Botafogo FR 2–0 EC Juventude L

CA Mineiro Form

2025-05-05 EC Juventude 0–1 CA Mineiro W 2025-04-26 Mirassol FC 2–2 CA Mineiro D 2025-04-20 CA Mineiro 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-04-17 Santos FC 2–0 CA Mineiro L 2025-04-13 CA Mineiro 2–2 EC Vitoria D 2025-04-06 CA Mineiro 0–0 Sao Paulo FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.22 EC Juventude xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.19 CA Mineiro xG

I would bet for: EC Juventude or CA Mineiro 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

EC Juventude34% Draw30% CA Mineiro36%

Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.41

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

EC Juventude or Draw

64%

Draw or CA Mineiro

66%

EC Juventude or CA Mineiro

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

EC Juventude25% Draw50% CA Mineiro25%

Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

11.1%

1 – 0

9.8%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

7.7%

1 – 2

7.5%

2 – 0

6.4%

0 – 2

6.2%

2 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

3.2%

1 – 3

3 – 0

2.6%

Asian Handicap — EC Juventude

Handicap	EC Juventude covers	Push	CA Mineiro covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	20%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	19%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

EC Juventude keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet

30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.