Ceará SC vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | SC Recife | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 May | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | EC Vitoria | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Ceará SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 03 May | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Ceará SC launch into their encounter with SC Recife.
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 9' GOAL! Lucas Mugni fires home to make it 0-1!
- 11' That is a card for Ceara SC. Fabiano Silva will be fuming at that decision.
- 16' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Recife needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 21' Christian Rivera has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 21.
- 26' The 41-year-old Fernando Miguel has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 36' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Igor Carius.
- 46' Fresh legs for Ceara SC! Lele comes on to replace Pedro Raul.
- 51' A quiet spell here at Castelao. Ceará SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 56' Ceará SC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Recife backline.
- 61' What composure from Antonio Galeano! The Paraguay international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 63' The SC Recife bench stirs into life. ze Lucas is withdrawn and Du Queiroz gets his opportunity.
- 68' Ceará SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 71' Time for substitution for Ceara SC. Pedro Henrique is replaced by Guilherme Luiz.
- 76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Pedro Henrique, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 77' Romulo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Mugni on 77 minute.
- 78' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dalbert Henrique on 78 minutes.
- 83' The referee calls foul for Sergio Oliveira. He receives a card.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Matheus Araujo. He replaces Antonio Galeano on 85 minute.
- 90' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. William Castro will be considering his options from the bench.
- With this win, Ceará SC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Ceará SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 3
- 97
- 100
- 7
- 9
- 79
- 70
- 20
- 27
- 23
Bench
- 40
- 11
- 33
- 30
- 2
- 18
- 8
- 29
- 99
- 19
- 80
Coach
Leo Condé
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Igor Carius ↓ Dalbert Henrique 46'
- 25
- 10
- 44
- 17
- 22
- 3
-
30
Chrystian Barletta ↓ Romarinho 71'
- 32
- 14
-
58
ze Lucas ↓ Du Queiroz 63'
Bench
- 15
- 19
-
29
Dalbert Henrique ↑ 46'
-
27
Sergio Oliveira ↑ 46'
-
91
Romarinho ↑ 71'
- 8
- 12
-
59
Christian Ortiz ↑ 63'
-
37
Du Queiroz ↑ 63'
- 6
- 20
- 38
Coach
William Castro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Elton | 2 |
| Arthur Cabral | 1 |
| Pedro Raul | 1 |
| Gabriel | 1 |
| Igor Carius | 1 |
| Cleber | 1 |
| Vitor Jacare | 1 |
| Jonathan Gomez | 1 |
Head to Head
Ceará SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45
Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84
SC Recife xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Ceará SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Ceará SC or Draw
81%
Draw or SC Recife
46%
Ceará SC or SC Recife
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Ceará SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Ceará SC
| Handicap | Ceará SC covers | Push | SC Recife covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 24% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.