Saturday , 14 November 2026

Ceará SC vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 – 0
Full Time
Sat 17 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs SC Recife — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May SC Recife H 2–0 W
12 May Santos FC A 0–0 D
03 May EC Vitoria H 1–0 W
26 Apr São Paulo FC H 1–1 D
21 Apr EC Bahia A 0–1 L
16 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Ceará SC A 0–2 L
11 May Cruzeiro EC H 0–4 L
03 May Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
26 Apr Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
19 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–2 L
16 Apr RB Bragantino H 0–1 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Ceará SC is hosting SC Recife for another epic battle.
  • 5' Ceará SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 9' GOAL! Lucas Mugni scores on 9.
  • 11' Fabiano Silva picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 16' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 21' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Christian Rivera.
  • 26' The energy levels are beginning to show. Leo Condé might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 31' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 36' The 34-year-old Christian Ortiz has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 41' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Igor Carius. He receives a card.
  • 46' Lele is ready to make an impact after coming on for Pedro Raul at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 56' A quiet spell here at Castelao. SC Recife seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 61' Goal! Antonio Galeano scores his 7 goal in 12 matches.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Du Queiroz. He replaces ze Lucas on 63 minute.
  • 68' With 0 assists to his name this season, Christian Rivera is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Recife.
  • 71' Ceara SC make a change. Pedro Henrique trudges off to be replaced by Guilherme Luiz on 71 minutes.
  • 76' Fernando Miguel has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 77' Fresh legs for Ceara SC! Romulo comes on to replace Lucas Mugni.
  • 78' The referee has no hesitation. Dalbert Henrique is booked for SC Recife — card on 78.
  • 83' Controversy at the stadium! Sergio Oliveira argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 85' Ceara SC ring the changes. Antonio Galeano has done his job and it is now time for Matheus Araujo to step up.
  • 90' It looks surprising SC Recife does not make any changes. Lourenco has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • Full Time. Ceará SC beats SC Recife

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC54% Draw27% SC Recife19%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
81%
Draw or SC Recife
46%
Ceará SC or SC Recife
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC34% Draw50% SC Recife16%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.