Thursday , 2 July 2026

Ceará SC vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 0
Full Time
Sat 17 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs SC RecifeSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May SC Recife H 2–0 W
12 May Santos FC A 0–0 D
03 May EC Vitoria H 1–0 W
26 Apr Sao Paulo FC H 1–1 D
21 Apr EC Bahia A 0–1 L
16 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Ceará SC A 0–2 L
11 May Cruzeiro EC H 0–4 L
03 May Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
26 Apr Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
19 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–2 L
16 Apr RB Bragantino H 0–1 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Ceará SC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Ceará SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 9' GOAL! Lucas Mugni scores on 9.
  • 11' The referee calls foul for Fabiano Silva. He receives a card.
  • 16' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 16 minutes.
  • 21' It’s a booking for SC Recife player. Christian Rivera gets a card.
  • 26' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Recife that had 240 games and scored 123 goals.
  • 31' The travelling SC Recife supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 36' SC Recife started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
  • 41' Matheus Bahia has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 45' It’s a booking for SC Recife player. Igor Carius gets a card.
  • 46' Another change for Ceara SC made on 46 minute. Pedro Raul leaves to be changed by Lele.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 61' What an equalizer from Antonio Galeano!
  • 63' Du Queiroz has so much to prove this time. He replaces ze Lucas on 63 minute.
  • 68' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 71' It is a substitution in Ceara SC team. Pedro Henrique is replaced by Guilherme Luiz on 71 minute.
  • 76' Ceará SC is showing some good football. However, Ceará SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 77' The Ceara SC manager makes a substitution. Lucas Mugni departs to be replaced by Romulo.
  • 78' The referee calls foul for Dalbert Henrique. He receives a card.
  • 83' The referee calls foul for Sergio Oliveira. He receives a card.
  • 85' The supporters are chanting for Matheus Araujo. He replaces Antonio Galeano on 85 minute.
  • 90' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Recife needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • The final score is 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC54% Draw27% SC Recife19%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
81%
Draw or SC Recife
46%
Ceará SC or SC Recife
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC34% Draw50% SC Recife16%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
44%
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.