Saturday , 14 November 2026

CA Mineiro vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
CA Mineiro
3 – 2
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sun 11 May 2025 · 20:30 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 33' Samuel Xavier
Rubens 45' Y
Tomas Cuello 52' Y
Y 67' Nonato

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Mineirao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 34 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 São Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 34 40
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

9
6
8
CA Mineiro 23 games · Avg 3.0 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-11 CA Mineiro 3–2 Fluminense FC 2024-09-25 CA Mineiro 2–0 Fluminense FC 2024-09-18 Fluminense FC 1–0 CA Mineiro 2024-08-25 CA Mineiro 0–2 Fluminense FC 2024-05-04 Fluminense FC 2–2 CA Mineiro

Recent Form

CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Fluminense FC H 3–2 W
05 May EC Juventude A 1–0 W
26 Apr Mirassol FC A 2–2 D
20 Apr Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
17 Apr Santos FC A 0–2 L
13 Apr EC Vitoria H 2–2 D
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May CA Mineiro A 2–3 L
03 May SC Recife H 2–1 W
27 Apr Botafogo FR A 0–2 L
20 Apr EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
16 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–0 W
13 Apr Santos FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

CA Mineiro Fluminense FC
#7 Position #4
50 Points 57
34 Played 34
14 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 16 / 9 / 9
44 Scored 55
40 Conceded 42
+4 GD +13
1.47 PPG 1.68
41% Win % 47%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
24% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

CA Mineiro are 7th (50 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Bernard 5 G 4 A
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 2 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 6 A
Jefferson Savarino 7 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 6 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 6 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! CA Mineiro welcome Fluminense FC for this crunch clash at Mineirao.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Mineiro and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' The 26-year-old Juan Freytes has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Mineiro and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' CA Mineiro seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 33' It’s gonna be a card for Samuel Xavier.
  • 38' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Rodrigo Castillo scoring 1 goals.
  • 43' The energy levels are beginning to show. Renato Gaucho might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 45' Rubens was booked on 45.
  • 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 52' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tomas Cuello on 52 minutes.
  • 56' GOAL! Agustin Canobbio fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 58' The supporters are chanting for Bernard. He replaces Fausto Vera on 58 minute.
  • 63' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Mineiro side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 67' That is a card for Fluminense FC. Nonato will be fuming at that decision.
  • 70' The whistle greets Natanael as he departs to be replaced by Junior Santos.
  • 72' Fluminense FC make a change. Nonato trudges off to be replaced by Hercules on 72 minutes.
  • 77' A stunning finish from Rubens — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 79' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Rony has done his job and it is now time for Igor Gomes to step up.
  • 84' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Junior Santos makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 85' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Renato Augusto comes on to replace Facundo Bernal.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Keno. He replaces Agustin Canobbio on 86 minute.
  • 88' Against the run of play, Kevin Serna has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • With this win, CA Mineiro is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Cuca

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Hulk 6
Jhon Arias 3
Kevin Serna 3
Samuel Xavier 3
German Cano 3
Paulinho 2
Eduardo Sasha 2
Eduardo Vargas 2

Head to Head

2025-05-11 CA Mineiro 3–2 Fluminense FC 2024-09-25 CA Mineiro 2–0 Fluminense FC 2024-09-18 Fluminense FC 1–0 CA Mineiro 2024-08-25 CA Mineiro 0–2 Fluminense FC 2024-05-04 Fluminense FC 2–2 CA Mineiro

CA Mineiro Form

2025-05-11 CA Mineiro 3–2 Fluminense FC W 2025-05-05 EC Juventude 0–1 CA Mineiro W 2025-04-26 Mirassol FC 2–2 CA Mineiro D 2025-04-20 CA Mineiro 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-04-17 Santos FC 2–0 CA Mineiro L 2025-04-13 CA Mineiro 2–2 EC Vitoria D

Fluminense FC Form

2025-05-11 CA Mineiro 3–2 Fluminense FC L 2025-05-03 Fluminense FC 2–1 SC Recife W 2025-04-27 Botafogo FR 2–0 Fluminense FC L 2025-04-20 Fluminense FC 1–1 EC Vitoria D 2025-04-16 SC Corinthians Paulista 0–2 Fluminense FC W 2025-04-13 Fluminense FC 1–0 Santos FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.63 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro45% Draw25% Fluminense FC30%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
71%
Draw or Fluminense FC
55%
CA Mineiro or Fluminense FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro31% Draw44% Fluminense FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
7%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.9%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 20% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.