Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CA Mineiro vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
CA Mineiro
3 – 2
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sun 11 May 2025 · 20:30 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 33' Samuel Xavier
Rubens 45' Y
Tomas Cuello 52' Y
Y 67' Nonato

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Mineirao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

9
6
8
CA Mineiro 23 games · Avg 3.0 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-11 CA Mineiro 3–2 Fluminense FC 2024-09-25 CA Mineiro 2–0 Fluminense FC 2024-09-18 Fluminense FC 1–0 CA Mineiro 2024-08-25 CA Mineiro 0–2 Fluminense FC 2024-05-04 Fluminense FC 2–2 CA Mineiro

Recent Form

CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Fluminense FC H 3–2 W
05 May EC Juventude A 1–0 W
26 Apr Mirassol FC A 2–2 D
20 Apr Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
17 Apr Santos FC A 0–2 L
13 Apr EC Vitoria H 2–2 D
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May CA Mineiro A 2–3 L
03 May SC Recife H 2–1 W
27 Apr Botafogo FR A 0–2 L
20 Apr EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
16 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–0 W
13 Apr Santos FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

CA Mineiro Fluminense FC
#7 Position #4
40 Points 48
27 Played 28
11 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 13 / 9 / 6
36 Scored 44
32 Conceded 36
+4 GD +8
1.48 PPG 1.71
41% Win % 46%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and CA Mineiro launch into their encounter with Fluminense FC.
  • 5' Junior Alonso has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 36 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' Fluminense FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 30' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. Fluminense FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 33' Samuel Xavier has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 33.
  • 38' Jhon Arias, a Colombia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Fluminense FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 45' CA Mineiro player sees a card in front of him.
  • 50' Rubens has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 52' Tomas Cuello has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 52.
  • 56' Agustin Canobbio makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Fluminense FC are in front.
  • 58' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 58 minute. Fausto Vera leaves to be changed by Bernard.
  • 63' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 67' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Nonato on 67 minutes.
  • 70' Junior Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Natanael on 70 minute.
  • 72' Hercules is replacing Nonato for the Fluminense FC side.
  • 77' Goal! Rubens scores his 4 goal in 479 matches.
  • 79' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 79 minute. Rony leaves to be changed by Igor Gomes.
  • 84' Brilliant from the ! Junior Santos makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 84.
  • 85' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Facundo Bernal is replaced by Renato Augusto.
  • 86' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Keno is hanging Agustin Canobbio on the field on 86 minute.
  • 88' What a strike from Kevin Serna! The score is 2-2.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for CA Mineiro players.

Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Cuca

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Hulk 6
Samuel Xavier 3
German Cano 3
Jhon Arias 3
Kevin Serna 3
Roger Guedes 2
Paulinho 2
Eduardo Sasha 2

Head to Head

2025-05-11 CA Mineiro 3–2 Fluminense FC 2024-09-25 CA Mineiro 2–0 Fluminense FC 2024-09-18 Fluminense FC 1–0 CA Mineiro 2024-08-25 CA Mineiro 0–2 Fluminense FC 2024-05-04 Fluminense FC 2–2 CA Mineiro

CA Mineiro Form

2025-05-11 CA Mineiro 3–2 Fluminense FC W 2025-05-05 EC Juventude 0–1 CA Mineiro W 2025-04-26 Mirassol FC 2–2 CA Mineiro D 2025-04-20 CA Mineiro 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-04-17 Santos FC 2–0 CA Mineiro L 2025-04-13 CA Mineiro 2–2 EC Vitoria D

Fluminense FC Form

2025-05-11 CA Mineiro 3–2 Fluminense FC L 2025-05-03 Fluminense FC 2–1 SC Recife W 2025-04-27 Botafogo FR 2–0 Fluminense FC L 2025-04-20 Fluminense FC 1–1 EC Vitoria D 2025-04-16 SC Corinthians Paulista 0–2 Fluminense FC W 2025-04-13 Fluminense FC 1–0 Santos FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.68 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro46% Draw25% Fluminense FC29%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
72%
Draw or Fluminense FC
54%
CA Mineiro or Fluminense FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro32% Draw44% Fluminense FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.2%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 20% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.