Thursday , 2 July 2026

CA Mineiro vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
CA Mineiro
3 – 2
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sun 11 May 2025 · 20:30 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 33' Samuel Xavier
Rubens 45' Y
Tomas Cuello 52' Y
Y 67' Nonato

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Mineirao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

8
6
8
CA Mineiro 22 games · Avg 3.0 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-11 CA Mineiro 3–2 Fluminense FC 2024-09-25 CA Mineiro 2–0 Fluminense FC 2024-09-18 Fluminense FC 1–0 CA Mineiro 2024-08-25 CA Mineiro 0–2 Fluminense FC 2024-05-04 Fluminense FC 2–2 CA Mineiro

Recent Form

CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Fluminense FC H 3–2 W
05 May EC Juventude A 1–0 W
26 Apr Mirassol FC A 2–2 D
20 Apr Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
17 Apr Santos FC A 0–2 L
13 Apr EC Vitoria H 2–2 D
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May CA Mineiro A 2–3 L
03 May SC Recife H 2–1 W
27 Apr Botafogo FR A 0–2 L
20 Apr EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
16 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–0 W
13 Apr Santos FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

CA Mineiro Fluminense FC
#9 Position #3
24 Points 31
18 Played 18
7 / 3 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 4 / 5
22 Scored 28
23 Conceded 23
-1 GD +5
1.33 PPG 1.72
39% Win % 50%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 3 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! CA Mineiro welcome Fluminense FC for this crunch clash at Mineirao.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Mineiro in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 33' The referee has no hesitation. Samuel Xavier is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 33.
  • 38' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Mineiro and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 43' CA Mineiro currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 45' Rubens picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 52' Tomas Cuello picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 56' GOAL! Agustin Canobbio fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 58' Bernard is replacing Fausto Vera for the CA Mineiro side.
  • 63' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 67' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nonato.
  • 70' The CA Mineiro manager makes a substitution. Natanael departs to be replaced by Junior Santos.
  • 72' Fluminense FC make a change. Nonato trudges off to be replaced by Hercules on 72 minutes.
  • 77' Rubens is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 79' CA Mineiro make a change. Rony trudges off to be replaced by Igor Gomes on 79 minutes.
  • 84' The deadlock is broken! Junior Santos gets on the scoresheet on 84 minutes.
  • 85' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Facundo Bernal is replaced by Renato Augusto.
  • 86' Keno is replacing Agustin Canobbio for the Fluminense FC side.
  • 88' GOAL! Kevin Serna fires home to make it 2-2!
  • The final score is 3-2.

Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Cuca

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Hulk 6
Kevin Serna 3
Samuel Xavier 3
German Cano 3
Jhon Arias 3
Paulinho 2
Eduardo Sasha 2
Eduardo Vargas 2

Head to Head

2025-05-11 CA Mineiro 3–2 Fluminense FC 2024-09-25 CA Mineiro 2–0 Fluminense FC 2024-09-18 Fluminense FC 1–0 CA Mineiro 2024-08-25 CA Mineiro 0–2 Fluminense FC 2024-05-04 Fluminense FC 2–2 CA Mineiro

CA Mineiro Form

2025-05-11 CA Mineiro 3–2 Fluminense FC W 2025-05-05 EC Juventude 0–1 CA Mineiro W 2025-04-26 Mirassol FC 2–2 CA Mineiro D 2025-04-20 CA Mineiro 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-04-17 Santos FC 2–0 CA Mineiro L 2025-04-13 CA Mineiro 2–2 EC Vitoria D

Fluminense FC Form

2025-05-11 CA Mineiro 3–2 Fluminense FC L 2025-05-03 Fluminense FC 2–1 SC Recife W 2025-04-27 Botafogo FR 2–0 Fluminense FC L 2025-04-20 Fluminense FC 1–1 EC Vitoria D 2025-04-16 SC Corinthians Paulista 0–2 Fluminense FC W 2025-04-13 Fluminense FC 1–0 Santos FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.62 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: CA Mineiro or Fluminense FC 75% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro45% Draw25% Fluminense FC30%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
70%
Draw or Fluminense FC
55%
CA Mineiro or Fluminense FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro31% Draw44% Fluminense FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.6%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 1
6%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.