CA Mineiro vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 21 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Fluminense FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 05 May | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Apr | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Apr | Santos FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | CA Mineiro | A | 2–3 | L |
| 03 May | SC Recife | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Botafogo FR | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Santos FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #4 |
| 29 | Points | 38 |
| 21 | Played | 23 |
| 8 / 5 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 5 |
| 27 | Scored | 34 |
| 27 | Conceded | 28 |
| +0 | GD | +6 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 38% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
19%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
CA Mineiro are 11th (29 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Mineirao as CA Mineiro face off against Fluminense FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' It looks surprising CA Mineiro does not make any changes. Keno has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 20' Samuel Xavier needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 25' Fluminense FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 30' CA Mineiro are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
- 33' Poor challenge from Samuel Xavier. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 38' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 43' Fluminense FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rubens on 45.
- 50' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 52' Tomas Cuello was booked on 52.
- 56' Agustin Canobbio has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 56 minutes.
- 58' Bernard has so much to prove this time. He replaces Fausto Vera on 58 minute.
- 63' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 67' Nonato is having his name booked by the referee on 67.
- 70' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 70 minute. Natanael leaves to be changed by Junior Santos.
- 72' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hercules is hanging Nonato on the field on 72 minute.
- 77' A goal from the Brazil international Rubens! He fires home on 77 to make it 1-1!
- 79' The supporters are chanting for Igor Gomes. He replaces Rony on 79 minute.
- 84' Junior Santos has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 84 minutes.
- 85' Renato Augusto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Facundo Bernal on 85 minute.
- 86' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Keno on, Agustin Canobbio off on 86 minutes.
- 88' Assisted by Martinelli with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kevin Serna makes no mistake. 2-2!
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
33
Rony ↓ Igor Gomes 79'
- 10
- 6
- 4
- 28
-
8
Fausto Vera ↓ Bernard 58'
- 21
-
2
Natanael ↓ Junior Santos 70'
- 7
- 44
Bench
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 79'
- 16
-
37
Junior Santos ↑ 70'
- 38
-
11
Bernard ↑ 58'
- 14
- 26
- 1
- 30
- 47
- 20
- 19
Coach
Cuca
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 16
- 22
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Kevin Serna 72'
- 21
- 8
-
17
Agustin Canobbio ↓ Keno 86'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↓ Renato Augusto 85'
- 12
Bench
- 26
- 98
- 6
- 29
- 23
- 10
-
11
Keno ↑ 86'
-
7
Renato Augusto ↑ 85'
- 4
-
35
Hercules ↑ 72'
- 18
-
90
Kevin Serna ↑ 72'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Samuel Xavier | 3 |
| German Cano | 3 |
| Jhon Arias | 3 |
| Kevin Serna | 3 |
| Roger Guedes | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Eduardo Sasha | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.64
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
70%
Draw or Fluminense FC
55%
CA Mineiro or Fluminense FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

