Sunday , 16 August 2026

CA Mineiro vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 11 May 2025 · 20:30 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Rubens 45' Y
Tomas Cuello 52' Y
Y 67' Nonato

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Fluminense FCSerie A at Mineirao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Fluminense FC H 3–2 W
05 May EC Juventude A 1–0 W
26 Apr Mirassol FC A 2–2 D
20 Apr Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
17 Apr Santos FC A 0–2 L
13 Apr EC Vitoria H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May CA Mineiro A 2–3 L
03 May SC Recife H 2–1 W
27 Apr Botafogo FR A 0–2 L
20 Apr EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
16 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–0 W
13 Apr Santos FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

CA Mineiro Fluminense FC
#11 Position #4
29 Points 38
21 Played 23
8 / 5 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 5
27 Scored 34
27 Conceded 28
+0 GD +6
1.38 PPG 1.65
38% Win % 43%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

CA Mineiro are 11th (29 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Mineirao as CA Mineiro face off against Fluminense FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' It looks surprising CA Mineiro does not make any changes. Keno has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' Samuel Xavier needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' Fluminense FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' CA Mineiro are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
  • 33' Poor challenge from Samuel Xavier. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 38' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 43' Fluminense FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rubens on 45.
  • 50' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 52' Tomas Cuello was booked on 52.
  • 56' Agustin Canobbio has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 56 minutes.
  • 58' Bernard has so much to prove this time. He replaces Fausto Vera on 58 minute.
  • 63' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 67' Nonato is having his name booked by the referee on 67.
  • 70' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 70 minute. Natanael leaves to be changed by Junior Santos.
  • 72' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hercules is hanging Nonato on the field on 72 minute.
  • 77' A goal from the Brazil international Rubens! He fires home on 77 to make it 1-1!
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Igor Gomes. He replaces Rony on 79 minute.
  • 84' Junior Santos has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 84 minutes.
  • 85' Renato Augusto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Facundo Bernal on 85 minute.
  • 86' A tactical swap from Fluminense FCKeno on, Agustin Canobbio off on 86 minutes.
  • 88' Assisted by Martinelli with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kevin Serna makes no mistake. 2-2!
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.64 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro45% Draw25% Fluminense FC30%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
70%
Draw or Fluminense FC
55%
CA Mineiro or Fluminense FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro31% Draw44% Fluminense FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
25%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.