Thursday , 2 July 2026

Ceará SC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 1
Full Time
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Sao Paulo FCSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Sao Paulo FC H 1–1 D
21 Apr EC Bahia A 0–1 L
16 Apr CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
12 Apr EC Juventude A 1–2 L
05 Apr Grêmio FBPA H 2–0 W
31 Mar RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Ceará SC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Santos FC H 2–1 W
16 Apr Botafogo FR A 2–2 D
13 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
06 Apr CA Mineiro A 0–0 D
29 Mar SC Recife H 0–0 D

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
8% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Ceará SC and Sao Paulo FC has kicked off!
  • 4' GOAL! Pedro Henrique scores on 4. Assisted by Matheus Bahia
  • 9' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jose Sabino suffering a number of foals already.
  • 14' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 19' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 19 minutes.
  • 24' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 29' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 31' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 31.
  • 36' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 41' Ceará SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
  • 44' Goal! Ryan Rodrigues scores his 2 goal in 371 matches.
  • 46' Willian Machado is having his name booked by the referee on 46.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Ferreira is replaced by Cedric.
  • 51' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 53' Pedro Henrique is having his name booked by the referee on 53.
  • 58' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 60' Matheus Araujo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Mugni on 60 minute.
  • 61' It is a substitution in Ceara SC team. Pedro Henrique is replaced by Guilherme Luiz on 61 minute.
  • 66' It looks like no one’s ball. Ceará SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 68' Igor Vinicius is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
  • 73' It’s high time Leo Condé made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 75' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 75 minute. Alisson leaves to be changed by Marcos Antonio.
  • 76' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 76.
  • 80' The whistle greets Matheus Bahia as he departs to be replaced by Nicolas Vichiatto.
  • 84' That looks like a foul for a card for Cedric.
  • 86' The whistle greets Fernando Sobral as he departs to be replaced by Lourenco.
  • 88' Damian Bobadilla is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
  • 90' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alan Franco is hanging Luciano on the field on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Ceará SC or Sao Paulo FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC39% Draw30% Sao Paulo FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
69%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
61%
Ceará SC or Sao Paulo FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC27% Draw50% Sao Paulo FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
34%
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.