Saturday , 8 August 2026

CD Nacional vs Vitoria SC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
2 0
Full Time
Sat 16 May 2026 · 17:00 UTC Estadio da Madeira HT 45' · FT 45'
Chuchu 69' 1–0
Chuchu pen 86' 2–0
Jose Gomes 25' Y
Witi 33' Y
Matheus Dias 54' Y
Y 85' Zeega

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Vitoria SC H 2–0 W
11 May CD Santa Clara A 0–2 L
02 May AVS H 1–2 L
25 Apr CD Tondela A 2–0 W
18 Apr FC Alverca H 1–0 W
12 Apr Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May CD Nacional A 0–2 L
11 May Casa Pia AC H 0–1 L
04 May Sporting Clube de Portugal A 1–5 L
25 Apr Rio Ave FC H 2–0 W
18 Apr Gil Vicente FC A 1–0 W
11 Apr AVS A 1–1 D

Season Stats

CD Nacional Vitoria SC
#18 Position #6
0 Points 1
0 Played 1
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 1 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG 1.00
Win % 0%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

CD Nacional are 18th (0 pts). Vitoria SC are 6th (1 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and CD Nacional launch into their encounter with Vitoria SC.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' CD Nacional are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 14' Ricardo Rocha was booked on 14.
  • 19' Vitoria SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jose Gomes.
  • 30' Paulinho Boia is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CD Nacional tonight.
  • 32' The referee has no hesitation. Filipe Soares is booked for CD Nacional — card on 32.
  • 33' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Witi.
  • 38' Vitoria SC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 43' It is a cagey affair so far. CD Nacional in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Vitoria SC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 48' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Joao Costa will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 53' CD Nacional have won 106 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 54' Matheus Dias has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 54.
  • 59' The 23-year-old Thiago Balieiro has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 64' CD Nacional are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Vitoria SC backline.
  • 69' Against the run of play, Chuchu has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 74' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 79' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 79 minutes.
  • 84' Kaique is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Vitoria SC so far.
  • 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Zeega on 85.
  • 86' Against the run of play, Chuchu has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.87 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.45 Vitoria SC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + CD Nacional or Draw 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional45% Draw37% Vitoria SC18%
Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes23% 0% No77%
Avg goals/match: 1.32
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 70%
30%
± 1.5 38%
62%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
82%
Draw or Vitoria SC
55%
CD Nacional or Vitoria SC
63%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional25% Draw66% Vitoria SC9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
29.6%
1 – 0
21.8%
1 – 1
11.4%
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 2
2.3%
0 – 2
2.3%
3 – 1
1.5%
2 – 2
1.2%
4 – 0
0.6%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push Vitoria SC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 27% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 13% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
64%
Vitoria SC keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.