CD Nacional vs Vitoria SC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs Vitoria SC — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 10 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- Vitoria SC 10 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 30 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico de Viseu FC | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente FC | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Famalicao | 11 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 10 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitoria SC | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | CS Maritimo | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | Rio Ave FC | 10 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 10 | 7 |
| 17 | CD Nacional | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Vitoria SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 May | CD Santa Clara | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 May | AVS | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | CD Tondela | A | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | FC Alverca | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | CD Nacional | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 May | Casa Pia AC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 1–5 | L |
| 25 Apr | Rio Ave FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Gil Vicente FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | AVS | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | Vitoria SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #13 |
| 7 | Points | 9 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 2 / 1 / 7 | W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 5 |
| 10 | Scored | 10 |
| 19 | Conceded | 10 |
| -9 | GD | +0 |
| 0.70 | PPG | 0.90 |
| 20% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Vitoria SC this season
Vitoria SC this season
CD Nacional are 17th (7 pts). Vitoria SC are 13th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Vitoria SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CD Nacional
| Miguel Baeza | 2 G | |
| Abdel Kader Njoya | 2 G | |
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G | |
| Ze Vitor | 1 G |
Vitoria SC
| Arnel Jakupovic | 2 G | |
| Samu | 1 G | 1 A |
| Gustavo Silva | 1 G | |
| Alioune Ndoye | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio da Madeira!
- 5' CD Nacional are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Vitória SC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CD Nacional that had 274 games and scored 115 goals.
- 14' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ricardo Rocha.
- 19' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Vitória SC winning 100% of all matches.
- 24' It is a cagey affair so far. CD Nacional in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Vitória SC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 25' It’s gonna be a card for Jose Gomes.
- 30' The travelling Vitória SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 32' A moment of madness from Filipe Soares on 32 minutes earns him a card. CD Nacional will be frustrated.
- 33' It’s a booking for CD Nacional player. Witi gets a card.
- 38' Tunisia international Chiheb Labidi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ze Vitor made 161 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 48' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 53' Alan Nunez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Vitória SC so far.
- 54' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Matheus Dias.
- 59' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 64' Over 64 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 69' The deadlock is broken! Chuchu gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
- 74' The energy levels are beginning to show. Joao Costa might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 79' CD Nacional is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 84' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jose Gomes is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Vitória SC.
- 85' The referee calls foul for Zeega. He receives a card.
- 86' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Chuchu makes no mistake. 2-0!
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 34
- 22
- 7
- 11
- 38
- 1
- 9
- 6
- 16
- 5
- 15
Bench
- 19
- 2
- 18
- 27
- 10
- 33
- 30
- 50
- 99
Coach
Tiago Margarido
Vitoria SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 20
- 27
- 18
- 26
- 2
- 30
- 11
- 28
- 19
- 80
- 82
Bench
- 13
- 66
- 4
- 88
- 48
- 25
- 50
- 33
- 46
Coach
Joao Costa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chuchu | 2 |
| Tiago Silva | 2 |
| Isaac Aguiar | 1 |
| Alhassan Ibrahim | 1 |
| Diogo Coelho | 1 |
| Chuchu | 1 |
| Ricardo Quaresma | 1 |
| Fuki Yamada | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Vitoria SC xG
I would bet for:
CD Nacional or Vitoria SC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CD Nacional win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
71%
Draw or Vitoria SC
57%
CD Nacional or Vitoria SC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.9%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | Vitoria SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Vitoria SC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

