CD Nacional vs Vitoria SC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs Vitoria SC — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- Vitoria SC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico de Viseu FC | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente FC | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | CS Maritimo | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Alverca | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | FC Famalicao | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria SC | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | CD Nacional | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave FC | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia AC | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Vitoria SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 May | CD Santa Clara | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 May | AVS | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | CD Tondela | A | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | FC Alverca | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | CD Nacional | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 May | Casa Pia AC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 1–5 | L |
| 25 Apr | Rio Ave FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Gil Vicente FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | AVS | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | Vitoria SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #14 |
| 4 | Points | 5 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 1 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| 7 | Scored | 5 |
| 15 | Conceded | 8 |
| -8 | GD | -3 |
| 0.57 | PPG | 0.71 |
| 14% | Win % | 14% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Vitoria SC this season
Vitoria SC this season
CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts). Vitoria SC are 14th (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Vitoria SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/3
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CD Nacional
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G | |
| Miguel Baeza | 1 G | |
| Ze Vitor | 1 G |
Vitoria SC
| Samu | 1 G |
| Gustavo Silva | 1 G |
| Alioune Ndoye | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between CD Nacional and Vitória SC is underway.
- 5' Brazil international Kaique has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' CD Nacional are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Vitória SC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 14' It’s gonna be a card for Ricardo Rocha.
- 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 24' Over 24 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' CD Nacional player sees a card in front of him.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rodrigo Abascal made 365 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 32' A meaty challenge results in booking for Filipe Soares on 32.
- 33' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Witi.
- 38' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 43' It’s high time Tiago Margarido made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 48' CD Nacional is showing some good football. However, CD Nacional are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
- 54' Matheus Dias catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 54.
- 59' Matheus Dias has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 340 appearances.
- 64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CD Nacional that had 273 games and scored 113 goals.
- 69' GOAL! Chuchu fires home to make it 1-0!
- 74' Ricardo Rocha is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Vitória SC so far.
- 79' Oumar Camara has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 84' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CD Nacional side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 85' That looks like a foul for a card for Zeega.
- 86' Chuchu makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and CD Nacional are in front.
- Full Time. CD Nacional beats Vitória SC
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 34
- 22
- 7
- 11
- 38
- 1
- 9
- 6
- 16
- 5
- 15
Bench
- 19
- 2
- 18
- 27
- 10
- 33
- 30
- 50
- 99
Coach
Tiago Margarido
Vitoria SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 20
- 27
- 18
- 26
- 2
- 30
- 11
- 28
- 19
- 80
- 82
Bench
- 13
- 66
- 4
- 88
- 48
- 25
- 50
- 33
- 46
Coach
Joao Costa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chuchu | 2 |
| Tiago Silva | 2 |
| Nuno Santos | 1 |
| Toze | 1 |
| Joao Aurelio | 1 |
| Florent Hanin | 1 |
| Isaac Aguiar | 1 |
| Alhassan Ibrahim | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Vitoria SC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CD Nacional win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
75%
Draw or Vitoria SC
54%
CD Nacional or Vitoria SC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
12%
0 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | Vitoria SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 23% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Vitoria SC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

