CD Nacional vs FC Alverca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs FC Alverca — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
- FC Alverca 34 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Miguel Nogueira
- Assistant 1 Paulo Bras (Portugal)
- Assistant 2 Nuno Pires (Portugal)
7 games this season
🟨 1.7/game
⚽ 3.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | FC Alverca | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | FC Famalicão | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | GD Estoril Praia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Mar | Moreirense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | CD Nacional | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Casa Pia AC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | Rio Ave FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Mar | Gil Vicente FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Mar | AVS | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | FC Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #11 |
| 34 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 7 / 18 | W / D / L | 10 / 9 / 15 |
| 37 | Scored | 35 |
| 45 | Conceded | 52 |
| -8 | GD | -17 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 26% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Alverca this season
FC Alverca this season
CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). FC Alverca are 11th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Alverca
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio da Madeira will turn into a battlefield for CD Nacional and FC Alverca.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' CD Nacional is showing some good football. However, CD Nacional are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Alverca winning 50% of all matches.
- 20' The travelling FC Alverca supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. CD Nacional is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Zakaria Kassary made 34 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rhaldney on 38.
- 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Alverca that had 34 games and scored 8 goals.
- 46' Time for substitution for FC Alverca. Rhaldney is replaced by Davy Gui.
- 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 56' Matheus Mendes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 61' FC Alverca seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 63' Filipe Soares has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daniel Jr. on 63 minute.
- 67' GOAL! Chuchu scores on 67. Assisted by Jose Gomes
- 72' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Chiquinho suffering a number of foals already.
- 75' Vasco Moreira has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lincoln on 75 minute.
- 78' CD Nacional player sees a card in front of him.
- 83' FC Alverca is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 87' CD Nacional player sees a card in front of him.
- 87' CD Nacional manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matheus Dias is hanging Gabriel Veron on the field on 87 minute.
- 88' Another substitution for FC Alverca to replace Chiquinho by Zakaria Kassary on 88 minute.
- 90' It is a substitution in CD Nacional team. Liziero is replaced by Joao Aurelio on 90 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for CD Nacional players.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
28
Liziero ↓ Joao Aurelio 90'
-
27
Gabriel Veron ↓ Matheus Dias 87'
- 11
- 38
- 1
-
9
Chuchu ↓ Pablo Ruan 90'
-
10
Daniel Jr. ↓ Filipe Soares 63'
- 16
- 33
- 5
- 15
Bench
- 19
-
2
Joao Aurelio ↑ 90'
-
22
Filipe Soares ↑ 63'
- 7
- 26
-
6
Matheus Dias ↑ 87'
- 30
- 50
-
99
Pablo Ruan ↑ 90'
Coach
Tiago Margarido
FC Alverca Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 31
- 12
- 4
-
18
Lincoln ↓ Vasco Moreira 75'
- 26
- 20
- 2
-
91
Sandro Lima ↓ Marko Milovanovic 75'
-
10
Chiquinho ↓ Zakaria Kassary 88'
- 5
- 33
Bench
- 1
- 82
-
6
Davy Gui ↑ 46'
-
35
Zakaria Kassary ↑ 88'
-
17
Vasco Moreira ↑ 75'
-
19
Mathis Clairicia ↑ 75'
-
9
Marko Milovanovic ↑ 75'
- 11
- 14
Coach
Custódio
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chuchu | 1 |
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.19
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
FC Alverca xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CD Nacional win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
76%
Draw or FC Alverca
55%
CD Nacional or FC Alverca
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.6%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
1.4%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | FC Alverca covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 13% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 16% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
FC Alverca keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

