CD Nacional vs Vitoria SC, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs Vitoria SC — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 10 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- Vitoria SC 10 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 30 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico de Viseu FC | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente FC | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Famalicao | 11 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 10 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitoria SC | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | CS Maritimo | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | Rio Ave FC | 10 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 10 | 7 |
| 17 | CD Nacional | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Vitoria SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | Moreirense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | Gil Vicente FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | Boavista FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Mar | CD Santa Clara | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | CD Nacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Rio Ave FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Gil Vicente FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | CD Santa Clara | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | Moreirense FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | Vitoria SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #13 |
| 7 | Points | 9 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 2 / 1 / 7 | W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 5 |
| 10 | Scored | 10 |
| 19 | Conceded | 10 |
| -9 | GD | +0 |
| 0.70 | PPG | 0.90 |
| 20% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Vitoria SC this season
Vitoria SC this season
CD Nacional are 17th (7 pts). Vitoria SC are 13th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Vitoria SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CD Nacional
| Miguel Baeza | 2 G | |
| Abdel Kader Njoya | 2 G | |
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G | |
| Ze Vitor | 1 G |
Vitoria SC
| Arnel Jakupovic | 2 G | |
| Samu | 1 G | 1 A |
| Gustavo Silva | 1 G | |
| Alioune Ndoye | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. CD Nacional is hosting Vitoria SC for another epic battle.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CD Nacional side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CD Nacional and Vitoria SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 13' Against the run of play, Tiago Silva has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 18' Vitoria SC is showing some good football. However, Vitoria SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 23' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 28' Vitoria SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 33' Both keepers have barely been tested. CD Nacional and Vitoria SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 34' It’s a booking for Vitoria SC player. Chuchu gets a card.
- 39' It looks surprising Vitoria SC does not make any changes. Gustavo Silva has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 44' A quiet spell here at Estadio da Madeira. Vitoria SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Tiago Silva is booked for Vitoria SC — card on 45.
- 50' The home supporters are growing impatient. CD Nacional must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 55' Tomas Handel is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Vitoria SC tonight.
- 57' The Vitoria SC bench stirs into life. Gustavo Silva is withdrawn and Vando Felix gets his opportunity.
- 59' It’s gonna be a card for Ze Vitor.
- 61' Vitoria SC player sees a card in front of him.
- 64' GOAL! Chuchu scores on 64. Assisted by Nuno Santos
- 66' CD Nacional make a change. Joao Aurelio trudges off to be replaced by Gustavo Garcia on 66 minutes.
- 71' Vitoria SC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 72' Time for substitution for CD Nacional. El Hadji Soumare is replaced by Chiheb Labidi.
- 73' What a strike from Fuki Yamada! The score is 1-2.
- 73' Another substitution for Vitoria SC to replace Chuchu by Nelson Oliveira on 73 minute.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Arvin Appiah. He replaces Jose Gomes on 75 minute.
- 80' The 31-year-old Bruno Varela has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 83' Another substitution for Vitoria SC to replace Telmo Arcanjo by Mikel Villanueva on 83 minute.
- 88' Mikel Villanueva has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- It finishes all square. CD Nacional and Vitoria SC share the spoils 1-2.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
-
2
Joao Aurelio ↓ Gustavo Garcia 66'
- 95
- 37
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↓ Fuki Yamada 72'
-
10
Luis Esteves ↓ Daniel Penha 66'
- 98
- 38
- 88
- 27
- 4
-
5
Jose Gomes ↓ Arvin Appiah 75'
Bench
- 34
-
70
Arvin Appiah ↑ 75'
- 18
-
17
Daniel Penha ↑ 66'
- 1
-
22
Gustavo Garcia ↑ 66'
- 23
-
71
Fuki Yamada ↑ 72'
-
15
Chiheb Labidi ↑ 72'
Coach
Tiago Margarido
Vitoria SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Joao Mendes ↓ Nuno Santos 57'
- 24
- 14
- 10
- 18
- 4
-
8
Tomas Handel ↓ Beni 83'
- 2
- 13
-
9
Chuchu ↓ Nelson Oliveira 73'
-
71
Gustavo Silva ↓ Vando Felix 57'
Bench
-
7
Nelson Oliveira ↑ 73'
- 76
-
3
Mikel Villanueva ↑ 83'
- 27
-
77
Nuno Santos ↑ 57'
-
16
Beni ↑ 83'
- 22
- 5
-
21
Vando Felix ↑ 57'
Coach
Luis Freire
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chuchu | 2 |
| Tiago Silva | 2 |
| Alhassan Ibrahim | 1 |
| Diogo Coelho | 1 |
| Chuchu | 1 |
| Ricardo Quaresma | 1 |
| Fuki Yamada | 1 |
| Oscar Estupinan | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.93
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65
Vitoria SC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Vitoria SC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
51%
Draw or Vitoria SC
76%
CD Nacional or Vitoria SC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Vitoria SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 1
11.6%
0 – 2
10.1%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.2%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | Vitoria SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Vitoria SC keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

