CD Nacional vs Vitoria SC, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs Vitoria SC — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- Vitoria SC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico de Viseu FC | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente FC | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | CS Maritimo | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Alverca | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | FC Famalicao | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria SC | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | CD Nacional | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave FC | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia AC | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Vitoria SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | Moreirense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | Gil Vicente FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | Boavista FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Mar | CD Santa Clara | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | CD Nacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Rio Ave FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Gil Vicente FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | CD Santa Clara | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | Moreirense FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | Vitoria SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #14 |
| 4 | Points | 5 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 1 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| 7 | Scored | 5 |
| 15 | Conceded | 8 |
| -8 | GD | -3 |
| 0.57 | PPG | 0.71 |
| 14% | Win % | 14% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Vitoria SC this season
Vitoria SC this season
CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts). Vitoria SC are 14th (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Vitoria SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/3
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CD Nacional
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G | |
| Miguel Baeza | 1 G | |
| Ze Vitor | 1 G |
Vitoria SC
| Samu | 1 G |
| Gustavo Silva | 1 G |
| Alioune Ndoye | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Estadio da Madeira as CD Nacional face off against Vitoria SC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' The 25-year-old Telmo Arcanjo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 13' Vitoria SC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tiago Silva on 13.
- 18' It looks surprising Vitoria SC does not make any changes. Paulinho Boia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 28' Beni needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 33' CD Nacional is showing some good football. However, CD Nacional are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 34' Chuchu catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 34.
- 39' It looks like no one’s ball. CD Nacional is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 44' The travelling Vitoria SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 45' That is a card for Vitoria SC. Tiago Silva will be fuming at that decision.
- 50' Vitoria SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 55' Miguel Magalhaes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 57' The crowd applauds Gustavo Silva as he leaves the pitch. Vando Felix steps in for Vitoria SC.
- 59' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ze Vitor on 59 minutes.
- 61' Controversy at the stadium! Telmo Arcanjo argues furiously but the card stands.
- 64' Chuchu adds to his 0 season tally! Vitoria SC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 66' Gustavo Garcia is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joao Aurelio at the 66 minute mark.
- 71' Luis Esteves has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 72' CD Nacional ring the changes. El Hadji Soumare has done his job and it is now time for Chiheb Labidi to step up.
- 73' Fuki Yamada is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 73' Nelson Oliveira is ready to make an impact after coming on for Chuchu at the 73 minute mark.
- 75' CD Nacional make a change. Jose Gomes trudges off to be replaced by Arvin Appiah on 75 minutes.
- 80' Joao Aurelio has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 83' Vitoria SC make a change. Telmo Arcanjo trudges off to be replaced by Mikel Villanueva on 83 minutes.
- 88' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Vitoria SC winning 100% of all matches.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Vitoria SC players.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
-
2
Joao Aurelio ↓ Gustavo Garcia 66'
- 95
- 37
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↓ Fuki Yamada 72'
-
10
Luis Esteves ↓ Daniel Penha 66'
- 98
- 38
- 88
- 27
- 4
-
5
Jose Gomes ↓ Arvin Appiah 75'
Bench
- 34
-
70
Arvin Appiah ↑ 75'
- 18
-
17
Daniel Penha ↑ 66'
- 1
-
22
Gustavo Garcia ↑ 66'
- 23
-
71
Fuki Yamada ↑ 72'
-
15
Chiheb Labidi ↑ 72'
Coach
Tiago Margarido
Vitoria SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Joao Mendes ↓ Nuno Santos 57'
- 24
- 14
- 10
- 18
- 4
-
8
Tomas Handel ↓ Beni 83'
- 2
- 13
-
9
Chuchu ↓ Nelson Oliveira 73'
-
71
Gustavo Silva ↓ Vando Felix 57'
Bench
-
7
Nelson Oliveira ↑ 73'
- 76
-
3
Mikel Villanueva ↑ 83'
- 27
-
77
Nuno Santos ↑ 57'
-
16
Beni ↑ 83'
- 22
- 5
-
21
Vando Felix ↑ 57'
Coach
Luis Freire
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tiago Silva | 2 |
| Chuchu | 2 |
| Pedro Mendes | 1 |
| Joao Camacho | 1 |
| Nuno Santos | 1 |
| Toze | 1 |
| Joao Aurelio | 1 |
| Florent Hanin | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.98
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5
Vitoria SC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Vitoria SC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
55%
Draw or Vitoria SC
74%
CD Nacional or Vitoria SC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Vitoria SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
11.6%
0 – 0
10.5%
0 – 2
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | Vitoria SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 15% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Vitoria SC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

