Vitoria SC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Vitoria SC vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.
- Vitoria SC 10 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- CD Nacional 10 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 30 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico de Viseu FC | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente FC | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Famalicao | 11 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 10 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitoria SC | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | CS Maritimo | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | Rio Ave FC | 10 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 10 | 7 |
| 17 | CD Nacional | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec | CD Nacional | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Dec | Rio Ave FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Dec | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Dec | Gil Vicente FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | CD Santa Clara | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Nov | Moreirense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec | Vitoria SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Dec | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | Moreirense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | Gil Vicente FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Boavista FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Nov | CF Estrela da Amadora | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Vitoria SC | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #17 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 2 / 3 / 5 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 7 |
| 10 | Scored | 10 |
| 10 | Conceded | 19 |
| +0 | GD | -9 |
| 0.90 | PPG | 0.70 |
| 20% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Vitoria SC this season
Vitoria SC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
Vitoria SC are 13th (9 pts). CD Nacional are 17th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Vitoria SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Vitoria SC
| Arnel Jakupovic | 2 G | |
| Samu | 1 G | 1 A |
| Gustavo Silva | 1 G | |
| Alioune Ndoye | 1 G |
CD Nacional
| Miguel Baeza | 2 G | |
| Abdel Kader Njoya | 2 G | |
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G | |
| Ze Vitor | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Vitoria SC welcome CD Nacional for this crunch clash at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.
- 5' CD Nacional are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 9' Assisted by Dudu with the perfectly-timed delivery and Isaac Aguiar makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 14' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Vitoria SC and CD Nacional are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 18' The referee has no hesitation. Ze Vitor is booked for CD Nacional — card on 18.
- 23' Nuno Santos has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 24' Tiago Silva is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 29' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 34' With 0 assists to his name this season, Arvin Appiah is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CD Nacional.
- 39' The travelling CD Nacional supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 44' CD Nacional is showing some good football. However, CD Nacional are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' CD Nacional ring the changes. Isaac Aguiar has done his job and it is now time for Dyego Sousa to step up.
- 49' The deadlock is broken! Nuno Santos gets on the scoresheet on 49 minutes.
- 54' Over 54 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 59' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 64' Vitoria SC make a change. Samu trudges off to be replaced by Joao Mendes on 64 minutes.
- 69' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 74' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Vitoria SC and CD Nacional are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 77' Joao Aurelio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Arvin Appiah at the 77 minute mark.
- 78' Vitoria SC ring the changes. Kaio Cesar has done his job and it is now time for Dieu Michel to step up.
- 83' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rui Borges will be considering his options from the bench.
- 87' Ze Carlos gets the nod from Vitoria SC. He replaces Tiago Silva and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' It is a substitution in Vitoria SC team. Gustavo Silva is replaced by Telmo Arcanjo on 88 minute.
- 90' Tomas Handel is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 90' Leo Santos gets the nod from CD Nacional. He replaces Luis Esteves and will look to change the dynamic.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Vitoria SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 20
- 3
- 14
- 10
- 77
- 13
- 11
- 6
- 22
- 15
- 71
Bench
- 44
- 17
- 18
- 79
- 8
- 2
- 28
- 91
- 86
Coach
Rui Borges
CD Nacional Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
99
Dudu ↓ Daniel Penha 88'
-
70
Arvin Appiah ↓ Joao Aurelio 77'
- 37
-
8
Bruno Costa ↓ Chiheb Labidi 77'
-
10
Luis Esteves ↓ Leo Santos 90'
- 22
- 38
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↓ Dyego Sousa 46'
- 27
- 4
- 5
Bench
-
34
Leo Santos ↑ 90'
-
2
Joao Aurelio ↑ 77'
- 18
-
89
Dyego Sousa ↑ 46'
-
17
Daniel Penha ↑ 88'
- 1
- 88
- 33
-
15
Chiheb Labidi ↑ 77'
Coach
Tiago Margarido
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chuchu | 2 |
| Tiago Silva | 2 |
| Joao Camacho | 1 |
| Nuno Santos | 1 |
| Toze | 1 |
| Joao Aurelio | 1 |
| Florent Hanin | 1 |
| Isaac Aguiar | 1 |
Head to Head
Vitoria SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8
Vitoria SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Vitoria SC or Draw
78%
Draw or CD Nacional
48%
Vitoria SC or CD Nacional
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Vitoria SC
| Handicap | Vitoria SC covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 23% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Vitoria SC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

