Saturday , 7 November 2026

Vitoria SC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
2 – 1
Full Time
Fri 2 Jan 2026 · 20:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Vitoria SC vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Andre Narciso
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 14.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jan CD Nacional H 2–1 W
28 Dec Casa Pia AC A 0–0 D
23 Dec Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–4 L
13 Dec Rio Ave FC A 1–0 W
08 Dec Gil Vicente FC H 0–0 D
28 Nov AVS H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jan Vitoria SC A 1–2 L
21 Dec AVS A 2–2 D
15 Dec CD Tondela H 3–1 W
07 Dec FC Alverca A 0–1 L
29 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L
09 Nov CF Estrela da Amadora A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Vitoria SC CD Nacional
#13 Position #17
9 Points 7
10 Played 10
2 / 3 / 5 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 7
10 Scored 10
10 Conceded 19
+0 GD -9
0.90 PPG 0.70
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Vitoria SC this season
20% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Vitoria SC are 13th (9 pts). CD Nacional are 17th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vitoria SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Vitoria SC
Arnel Jakupovic 2 G
Samu 1 G 1 A
Gustavo Silva 1 G
Alioune Ndoye 1 G
CD Nacional
Miguel Baeza 2 G
Abdel Kader Njoya 2 G
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at as Vitoria SC face off against CD Nacional in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for CD Nacional.

Lineups

Vitoria SC Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.71 Vitoria SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Vitoria SC55% Draw25% CD Nacional20%
Actual: Vitoria SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Vitoria SC or Draw
80%
Draw or CD Nacional
45%
Vitoria SC or CD Nacional
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Vitoria SC37% Draw46% CD Nacional17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Vitoria SC

Handicap Vitoria SC covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 23% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Vitoria SC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.