Vitoria SC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Vitoria SC vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga .
- Vitoria SC 10 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- CD Nacional 10 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Andre Narciso
3 games this season
🟨 5.7/game
⚽ 14.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 30 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico de Viseu FC | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente FC | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Famalicao | 11 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 10 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitoria SC | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | CS Maritimo | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | Rio Ave FC | 10 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 10 | 7 |
| 17 | CD Nacional | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan | CD Nacional | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Dec | Casa Pia AC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Dec | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Dec | Rio Ave FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | Gil Vicente FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Nov | AVS | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan | Vitoria SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Dec | AVS | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Dec | CD Tondela | H | 3–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | FC Alverca | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Nov | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | CF Estrela da Amadora | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Vitoria SC | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #17 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 2 / 3 / 5 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 7 |
| 10 | Scored | 10 |
| 10 | Conceded | 19 |
| +0 | GD | -9 |
| 0.90 | PPG | 0.70 |
| 20% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Vitoria SC this season
Vitoria SC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
Vitoria SC are 13th (9 pts). CD Nacional are 17th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Vitoria SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Vitoria SC
| Arnel Jakupovic | 2 G | |
| Samu | 1 G | 1 A |
| Gustavo Silva | 1 G | |
| Alioune Ndoye | 1 G |
CD Nacional
| Miguel Baeza | 2 G | |
| Abdel Kader Njoya | 2 G | |
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G | |
| Ze Vitor | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at as Vitoria SC face off against CD Nacional in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for CD Nacional.
Lineups
Vitoria SC Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chuchu | 2 |
| Tiago Silva | 2 |
| Joao Camacho | 1 |
| Nuno Santos | 1 |
| Toze | 1 |
| Joao Aurelio | 1 |
| Florent Hanin | 1 |
| Isaac Aguiar | 1 |
Head to Head
Vitoria SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.71
Vitoria SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Vitoria SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Vitoria SC or Draw
80%
Draw or CD Nacional
45%
Vitoria SC or CD Nacional
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Vitoria SC
| Handicap | Vitoria SC covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Vitoria SC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

