CD Tondela vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Tondela vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio Joao Cardoso.
- CD Tondela 34 games · 28 pts (2025/26)
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Helder Malheiro
5 games this season
🟨 2.2/game
⚽ 11.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | CD Nacional | H | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | FC Porto | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | Gil Vicente FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Apr | Vitória SC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 21 Mar | AVS | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Mar | Rio Ave FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | CD Tondela | A | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | FC Alverca | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | FC Famalicão | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | GD Estoril Praia | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| CD Tondela | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #14 |
| 28 | Points | 34 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 6 / 10 / 18 | W / D / L | 9 / 7 / 18 |
| 27 | Scored | 37 |
| 55 | Conceded | 45 |
| -28 | GD | -8 |
| 0.82 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 18% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
CD Tondela this season
CD Tondela this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
CD Tondela are 17th (28 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Tondela
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for CD Tondela to score. At the same time, CD Nacional does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' It’s high time Gonçalo Feio made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Joel Silva needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 14' The CD Nacional manager makes a substitution. Gabriel Veron departs to be replaced by Pablo Ruan.
- 19' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 22' CD Nacional is taking the lead after the goal scored by Chuchu on 22.
- 27' The travelling CD Nacional supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 31' Goal! Brayan Medina scores his 1 goal in 172 matches.
- 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
- 38' Tiago Manso has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rodrigo Conceicao on 38 minute.
- 43' CD Tondela is showing some good football. However, CD Tondela are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 48' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with CD Nacional winning 100% of all matches.
- 53' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alan Nunez suffering a number of foals already.
- 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tiago Manso on 58.
- 61' Makan Aiko has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hugo Felix on 61 minute.
- 64' That looks like a foul for a card for Chuchu.
- 69' CD Nacional started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
- 74' Rony Lopes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 76' Another substitution for CD Tondela to replace Joe Hodge by Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka on 76 minute.
- 78' Time for substitution for CD Nacional. Daniel Jr. is replaced by Andre Sousa.
- 83' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CD Tondela that had 172 games and scored 179 goals.
- 88' CD Tondela is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 90' CD Tondela player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Joel Silva. He replaces Filipe Soares on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-2.
Lineups
CD Tondela Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 2
- 26
-
27
Rodrigo Conceicao ↓ Tiago Manso 38'
- 44
- 10
-
79
Hugo Felix ↓ Makan Aiko 61'
- 31
- 70
- 32
- 20
Bench
-
23
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka ↑ 76'
- 29
- 5
-
15
Sphephelo Sithole ↑ 61'
- 21
- 30
-
48
Tiago Manso ↑ 38'
-
90
Makan Aiko ↑ 61'
- 8
Coach
Gonçalo Feio
CD Nacional Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
-
22
Filipe Soares ↓ Joel Silva 90'
-
27
Gabriel Veron ↓ Pablo Ruan 14'
- 11
- 38
- 1
- 9
- 6
-
10
Daniel Jr. ↓ Andre Sousa 78'
- 16
-
5
Jose Gomes ↓ Joao Aurelio 90'
Bench
- 19
-
2
Joao Aurelio ↑ 90'
-
18
Andre Sousa ↑ 78'
- 7
-
26
Joel Silva ↑ 90'
- 33
- 30
- 50
-
99
Pablo Ruan ↑ 14'
Coach
Tiago Margarido
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brayan Riascos | 2 |
| Brayan Medina | 1 |
| Kalindi de Souza | 1 |
| Chuchu | 1 |
| Fahd Moufi | 1 |
| Tomane | 1 |
| Fernando Tissone | 1 |
| Vitor Goncalves | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Tondela Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.88
CD Tondela xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CD Nacional win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
CD Tondela or Draw
53%
Draw or CD Nacional
76%
CD Tondela or CD Nacional
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CD Nacional win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
12%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.2%
2 – 2
3.9%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — CD Tondela
| Handicap | CD Tondela covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
CD Tondela keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

