CD Tondela vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Tondela vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio Joao Cardoso.
- CD Tondela 32 games · 27 pts (2026/27)
- CD Nacional 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Helder Malheiro
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Académico de Viseu FC | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente FC | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | CS Marítimo | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Alverca | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | FC Famalicão | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | CD Nacional | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave FC | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia AC | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | CD Nacional | H | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | FC Porto | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | Gil Vicente FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Apr | Vitória SC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 21 Mar | AVS | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Mar | Rio Ave FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | CD Tondela | A | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | FC Alverca | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | FC Famalicão | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | GD Estoril Praia | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CD Nacional
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G | |
| Miguel Baeza | 1 G | |
| Ze Vitor | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Joao Cardoso will turn into a battlefield for CD Tondela and CD Nacional.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rony Lopes, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Joao Cardoso with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 10' Joao Silva has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 14' Pablo Ruan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gabriel Veron at the 14 minute mark.
- 19' CD Tondela currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 22' Chuchu adds to his 0 season tally! CD Nacional lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 31' The Colombia Brayan Medina breaks the deadlock on 31 minutes. 1-1!
- 36' CD Tondela are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 38' Another substitution for CD Tondela to replace Rodrigo Conceicao by Tiago Manso on 38 minute.
- 43' Brazil international Gabriel Veron has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 48' It looks like no one’s ball. CD Nacional is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 53' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CD Tondela needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tiago Manso.
- 61' Makan Aiko is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hugo Felix at the 61 minute mark.
- 64' The referee shows CD Nacional player a card on 64.
- 69' The travelling CD Nacional supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 74' A quiet spell here at Estadio Joao Cardoso. CD Tondela seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 76' Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka gets the nod from CD Tondela. He replaces Joe Hodge and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' Fresh legs for CD Nacional! Andre Sousa comes on to replace Daniel Jr..
- 83' CD Tondela are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CD Nacional backline.
- 88' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 90' It’s a booking for CD Tondela player. Makan Aiko gets a card.
- 90' Joel Silva is ready to make an impact after coming on for Filipe Soares at the 90 minute mark.
- CD Nacional celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
CD Tondela Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 2
- 26
-
27
Rodrigo Conceicao ↓ Tiago Manso 38'
- 44
- 10
-
79
Hugo Felix ↓ Makan Aiko 61'
- 31
- 70
- 32
- 20
Bench
-
23
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka ↑ 76'
- 29
- 5
-
15
Sphephelo Sithole ↑ 61'
- 21
- 30
-
48
Tiago Manso ↑ 38'
-
90
Makan Aiko ↑ 61'
- 8
Coach
Gonçalo Feio
CD Nacional Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
-
22
Filipe Soares ↓ Joel Silva 90'
-
27
Gabriel Veron ↓ Pablo Ruan 14'
- 11
- 38
- 1
- 9
- 6
-
10
Daniel Jr. ↓ Andre Sousa 78'
- 16
-
5
Jose Gomes ↓ Joao Aurelio 90'
Bench
- 19
-
2
Joao Aurelio ↑ 90'
-
18
Andre Sousa ↑ 78'
- 7
-
26
Joel Silva ↑ 90'
- 33
- 30
- 50
-
99
Pablo Ruan ↑ 14'
Coach
Tiago Margarido
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brayan Riascos | 2 |
| Vitor Goncalves | 1 |
| Ruben Micael | 1 |
| Jhon Murillo | 1 |
| David Bruno | 1 |
| Ricardo Alves | 1 |
| David Bruno | 1 |
| Joao Camacho | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Tondela Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.08
CD Tondela xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
CD Nacional or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CD Nacional win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
CD Tondela or Draw
58%
Draw or CD Nacional
71%
CD Tondela or CD Nacional
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CD Nacional win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
10.9%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — CD Tondela
| Handicap | CD Tondela covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
CD Tondela keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

