Watford FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Southampton FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Southampton FC 8 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Geoff Eltringham
- Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
- Assistant 2 Matt McGrath
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec | Southampton FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Dec | Hull City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Nov | Norwich City FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Nov | Leicester City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Nov | Rotherham United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 04 Nov | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec | Watford FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Dec | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Nov | Bristol City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Nov | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Southampton FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #13 |
| 8 | Points | 10 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 2 |
| 7 | Scored | 19 |
| 10 | Conceded | 10 |
| -3 | GD | +9 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.25 |
| 25% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
77%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
Southampton FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Southampton FC are 13th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Southampton FC
| Cyle Larin | 7 G | |
| Finn Azaz | 3 G | 4 A |
| Leo Scienza | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Vicarage Road will turn into a battlefield for Watford FC and Southampton FC.
- 5' Ryan Fraser has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yaser Asprilla, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Southampton FC that had 353 games and scored 428 goals.
- 25' Watford FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Iker Bravo scoring 1 goals.
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 34' The referee calls foul for Shea Charles. He receives a Yellow card.
- 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 44' The energy levels are beginning to show. Russell Martin might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Adam Armstrong on 45.
- 46' The Southampton FC bench stirs into life. Carlos Alcaraz is withdrawn and Ryan Fraser gets his opportunity.
- 49' Southampton FC ring the changes. Carlos Alcaraz has done his job and it is now time for Ryan Fraser to step up.
- 54' Southampton FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' Che Adams puts Southampton FC on the lead.
- 59' Controversy at the stadium! Ryan Porteous argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 61' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ismael Kone on 61 minutes.
- 66' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 70' A tactical swap from Watford FC — Tom Ince on, Yaser Asprilla off on 70 minutes.
- 75' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Southampton FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 80' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Jamal Lewis departs to be replaced by Matheus Martins.
- 81' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Che Adams is replaced by Sekou Mara on 81 minute.
- 86' Watford FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Southampton FC's 4-3-2-1 shape.
- 87' Stuart Armstrong has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 87.
- 88' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Stuart Armstrong by James Bree on 88 minute.
- 90' It’s a booking for Southampton FC player. Ryan Fraser gets a Yellow card.
- 90' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Edo Kayembe exits the field as Rhys Healey enters on 90.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 12
- 26
- 4
-
6
Jamal Lewis ↓ Matheus Martins 80'
- 3
- 5
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↓ Rhys Healey 90'
- 11
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↓ Tom Ince 70'
- 45
- 9
Bench
-
14
Rhys Healey ↑ 90'
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 70'
- 1
-
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↑ 80'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 70'
- 15
- 10
- 24
-
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 80'
Coach
Valerien Ismael
Southampton FC Lineups
4-3-2-1Starting XI
- 35
-
17
Stuart Armstrong ↓ James Bree 88'
- 2
-
10
Che Adams ↓ Sekou Mara 81'
-
7
Joe Aribo ↓ William Smallbone 88'
- 9
- 3
- 31
- 21
-
22
Carlos Alcaraz ↓ Ryan Fraser 49'
- 24
Bench
-
26
Ryan Fraser ↑ 49'
- 6
- 5
- 13
-
14
James Bree ↑ 88'
-
16
William Smallbone ↑ 88'
-
18
Sekou Mara ↑ 81'
- 23
Coach
Russell Martin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Che Adams | 5 |
| Danny Ings | 3 |
| James Ward-Prowse | 2 |
| Sekou Mara | 2 |
| Juan Hernandez | 2 |
| William Smallbone | 1 |
| Matheus Martins | 1 |
| Stuart Armstrong | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Southampton FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63
Southampton FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Southampton FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Southampton FC
70%
Watford FC or Southampton FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
9%
0 – 0
7.9%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
5%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Southampton FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 22% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

