Stoke City FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Geoff Eltringham
- Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
- Assistant 2 Graham Kane
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec | Millwall FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Dec | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Dec | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Dec | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Dec | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Dec | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Dec | Leicester City FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 09 Dec | Cardiff City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Dec | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Nov | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #3 |
| 55 | Points | 83 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 15 / 10 / 21 | W / D / L | 24 / 11 / 11 |
| 51 | Scored | 64 |
| 56 | Conceded | 49 |
| -5 | GD | +15 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.80 |
| 33% | Win % | 52% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Stoke City FC to score. At the same time, Millwall FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' It looks surprising Stoke City FC does not make any changes. Daniel Johnson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' Stoke City FC have won 400 goals from 380 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 19' Billy Mitchell has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 19.
- 24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lynden Gooch made 363 appearances and scored 28 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Billy Mitchell, as he is very good at scoring at Bet365 Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 380 games and scored 400 goals.
- 47' A meaty challenge results in booking for Michael Rose on 47.
- 52' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joe Bryan suffering a number of foals already.
- 54' A change in the Stoke City FC ranks — Daniel Johnson exits the field as Joon-ho Bae enters on 54.
- 59' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 59 minutes.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Tom Bradshaw. He replaces Kevin Nisbet on 62 minute.
- 66' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Jake Cooper.
- 70' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Brooke Norton-Cuffy is withdrawn and Dan McNamara gets his opportunity.
- 75' Jordan Thompson is replacing Wouter Burger for the Stoke City FC side.
- 80' Wes Harding picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 83' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Josh Laurent is replaced by Lewis Baker.
- 88' Zian Flemming is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Millwall FC so far.
- 90' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace George Honeyman by Aidomo Emakhu on 90 minute.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2
-
12
Daniel Johnson ↓ Joon-ho Bae 54'
- 13
-
6
Wouter Burger ↓ Jordan Thompson 75'
-
27
Mehdi Leris ↓ Junior Tchamadeu 54'
- 7
- 17
- 5
- 19
- 23
-
28
Josh Laurent ↓ Lewis Baker 83'
Bench
- 11
- 26
-
8
Lewis Baker ↑ 83'
-
15
Jordan Thompson ↑ 75'
-
20
Sead Haksabanovic ↑ 75'
-
24
Junior Tchamadeu ↑ 54'
- 18
- 45
-
22
Joon-ho Bae ↑ 54'
Coach
Paul Gallagher
Millwall FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 18
- 5
-
3
Murray Wallace ↓ Joe Bryan 62'
-
39
George Honeyman ↓ Aidomo Emakhu 90'
- 45
- 23
- 20
-
10
Zian Flemming ↓ Duncan Watmore 70'
- 8
-
7
Kevin Nisbet ↓ Tom Bradshaw 62'
- 17
Bench
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↑ 62'
- 4
-
19
Duncan Watmore ↑ 70'
-
15
Joe Bryan ↑ 62'
- 33
-
2
Dan McNamara ↑ 70'
- 11
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↑ 90'
- 25
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Jacob Brown | 2 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 2 |
| Charlie Cresswell | 2 |
| Saido Berahino | 1 |
| Kevin Nisbet | 1 |
| Ben Thompson | 1 |
| Jed Wallace | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
2023-12-23
Stoke City FC
0–0
Millwall FC
D
2023-12-17
West Bromwich Albion FC
1–1
Stoke City FC
D
2023-12-12
Stoke City FC
1–1
Swansea City AFC
D
2023-12-09
Stoke City FC
0–1
Sheffield Wednesday FC
L
2023-12-02
Plymouth Argyle FC
2–1
Stoke City FC
L
2023-11-28
Queens Park Rangers FC
4–2
Stoke City FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 71% + Millwall FC or Draw 67%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.88
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Millwall FC
67%
Stoke City FC or Millwall FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
12.2%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
3.1%
0 – 3
2.3%
1 – 3
2.2%
3 – 1
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 19% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 21% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

