Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2025-26

Toulouse FC

3 – 6

Full Time

Paris Saint-Germain FC

Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 19:05 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC — Ligue 1 .

Toulouse FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 games · 5 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Eric Wattellier

4 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Monaco FC	5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	11
3	Paris FC	5	11
4	Lille OSC	4	10
5	Stade Rennais FC 1901	5	10
6	Angers SCO	5	7
7	RC Strasbourg Alsace	5	7
8	Le Mans FC	5	6
9	Stade Brestois 29	5	6
10	Paris Saint-Germain FC	4	5
11	FC Lorient	5	5
12	Toulouse FC	5	5
13	Racing Club de Lens	5	4
14	AJ Auxerre	5	4
15	ES Troyes AC	5	4
16	Olympique de Marseille	4	3
17	Le Havre AC	5	2
18	OGC Nice	4	2

Head-to-Head

Toulouse FC 11 games · Avg 3.2 goals Paris Saint-Germain FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-30 Toulouse FC 3–6 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2025-02-15 Toulouse FC 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2024-11-22 Paris Saint-Germain FC 3–0 Toulouse FC 2024-05-12 Paris Saint-Germain FC 1–3 Toulouse FC 2023-08-19 Toulouse FC 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	Paris Saint-Germain FC	H	3–6	L
24 Aug	Stade Brestois 29	H	2–0	W
16 Aug	OGC Nice	A	1–0	W
17 May	AS Saint-Etienne	A	3–2	W
10 May	Racing Club de Lens	H	1–1	D
03 May	Stade Rennais FC 1901	H	2–1	W

Paris Saint-Germain FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	Toulouse FC	A	6–3	W
22 Aug	Angers SCO	H	1–0	W
17 Aug	FC Nantes	A	1–0	W
13 Jul	Chelsea FC	A	0–3	L
09 Jul	Real Madrid CF	H	4–0	W
05 Jul	FC Bayern Munchen	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC		Paris Saint-Germain FC
#12	Position	#10
5	Points	5
5	Played	4
1 / 2 / 2	W / D / L	1 / 2 / 1
7	Scored	6
9	Conceded	6
-2	GD	+0
1.00	PPG	1.25
20%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

25% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Toulouse FC are 12th (5 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 10th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/2

46-60

3/–

61-75

2/3

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Paris Saint-Germain FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

1/1

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC

Casper Tengstedt	3 G
Thomas Jorgensen	2 G	1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe	1 G
Christ Tape	1 G

Paris Saint-Germain FC

Ferran Torres	3 G
Marquinhos	2 G
Vitinha	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Toulouse FC host Paris Saint-Germain FC — let the battle begin!
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Paris Saint-Germain FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kylian Mbappe	4
Maxim Choupo-Moting	2
Neymar	2
Ousmane Dembele	2
Goncalo Ramos	1
Branco van den Boomen	1
Rasmus Nicolaisen	1
Zakaria Aboukhlal	1

Head to Head

Toulouse FC Form

2025-08-30 Toulouse FC 3–6 Paris Saint-Germain FC L 2025-08-24 Toulouse FC 2–0 Stade Brestois 29 W 2025-08-16 OGC Nice 0–1 Toulouse FC W 2025-05-17 AS Saint-Etienne 2–3 Toulouse FC W 2025-05-10 Toulouse FC 1–1 Racing Club de Lens D 2025-05-03 Toulouse FC 2–1 Stade Rennais FC 1901 W

Paris Saint-Germain FC Form

2025-08-30 Toulouse FC 3–6 Paris Saint-Germain FC W 2025-08-22 Paris Saint-Germain FC 1–0 Angers SCO W 2025-08-17 FC Nantes 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC W 2025-07-13 Chelsea FC 3–0 Paris Saint-Germain FC L 2025-07-09 Paris Saint-Germain FC 4–0 Real Madrid CF W 2025-07-05 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2–0 FC Bayern Munchen W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.82 Toulouse FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.24 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG

I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC32% Draw24% Paris Saint-Germain FC44%

Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 4.06

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	57%	43%
± 4.5	38%	62%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw

56%

Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC

68%

Toulouse FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toulouse FC26% Draw37% Paris Saint-Germain FC37%

Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–6 not predicted

3 – 6

Actual

1 – 1

7.8%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 1

6.3%

1 – 3

5.7%

2 – 3

5.1%

0 – 2

4.5%

3 – 2

4.1%

3 – 1

3.7%

0 – 1

3.5%

0 – 3

3.3%

1 – 4

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap	Toulouse FC covers	Push	Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	9%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	15%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	19%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	14%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.