Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Toulouse FC
3 – 6
Full Time
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 19:05 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Eric Wattellier

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Nantes 34 24
2 FC Metz 34 17
3 Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 0
4 Racing Club de Lens 0 0
5 Lille OSC 0 0
6 Olympique Lyonnais 0 0
7 Olympique de Marseille 0 0
8 Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 0
9 AS Monaco FC 0 0
10 RC Strasbourg Alsace 0 0
11 Toulouse FC 0 0
12 FC Lorient 0 0
13 Paris FC 0 0
14 Stade Brestois 29 0 0
15 ES Troyes AC 0 0
16 Angers SCO 0 0
17 Le Mans FC 0 0
18 Le Havre AC 0 0
19 AJ Auxerre 0 0
20 OGC Nice 0 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
9
Toulouse FC 11 games · Avg 3.2 goals Paris Saint-Germain FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-30 Toulouse FC 3–6 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2025-02-15 Toulouse FC 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2024-11-22 Paris Saint-Germain FC 3–0 Toulouse FC 2024-05-12 Paris Saint-Germain FC 1–3 Toulouse FC 2023-08-19 Toulouse FC 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Paris Saint-Germain FC H 3–6 L
24 Aug Stade Brestois 29 H 2–0 W
16 Aug OGC Nice A 1–0 W
17 May AS Saint-Étienne A 3–2 W
10 May Racing Club de Lens H 1–1 D
03 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 2–1 W
Paris Saint-Germain FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Toulouse FC A 6–3 W
22 Aug Angers SCO H 1–0 W
17 Aug FC Nantes A 1–0 W
13 Jul Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
09 Jul Real Madrid CF H 4–0 W
05 Jul FC Bayern München H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC Paris Saint-Germain FC
#11 Position #3
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
– PPG –
– Win % –

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 3rd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kylian Mbappe 4
Maxim Choupo-Moting 2
Neymar 2
Ousmane Dembele 2
Zakaria Aboukhlal 1
Edinson Cavani 1
Yann Gboho 1
Thijs Dallinga 1

Head to Head

2025-08-30 Toulouse FC 3–6 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2025-02-15 Toulouse FC 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2024-11-22 Paris Saint-Germain FC 3–0 Toulouse FC 2024-05-12 Paris Saint-Germain FC 1–3 Toulouse FC 2023-08-19 Toulouse FC 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC

Toulouse FC Form

2025-08-30 Toulouse FC 3–6 Paris Saint-Germain FC L 2025-08-24 Toulouse FC 2–0 Stade Brestois 29 W 2025-08-16 OGC Nice 0–1 Toulouse FC W 2025-05-17 AS Saint-Étienne 2–3 Toulouse FC W 2025-05-10 Toulouse FC 1–1 Racing Club de Lens D 2025-05-03 Toulouse FC 2–1 Stade Rennais FC 1901 W

Paris Saint-Germain FC Form

2025-08-30 Toulouse FC 3–6 Paris Saint-Germain FC W 2025-08-22 Paris Saint-Germain FC 1–0 Angers SCO W 2025-08-17 FC Nantes 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC W 2025-07-13 Chelsea FC 3–0 Paris Saint-Germain FC L 2025-07-09 Paris Saint-Germain FC 4–0 Real Madrid CF W 2025-07-05 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2–0 FC Bayern München W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.96 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC28% Draw30% Paris Saint-Germain FC42%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
72%
Toulouse FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC19% Draw51% Paris Saint-Germain FC30%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–6 not predicted
3 – 6
Actual
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
12.4%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 3
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 23% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.