Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2025-26

Toulouse FC

3 – 6

Full Time

Paris Saint-Germain FC

Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 19:05 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC — Ligue 1 .

Toulouse FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Paris Saint-Germain FC 5 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Eric Wattellier

4 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Monaco FC	5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	11
3	Paris FC	5	11
4	Lille OSC	5	10
5	Stade Rennais FC 1901	5	10
6	Paris Saint-Germain FC	5	8
7	Angers SCO	5	7
8	RC Strasbourg Alsace	5	7
9	Le Mans FC	5	6
10	AJ Auxerre	5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	5
12	FC Lorient	5	5
13	Toulouse FC	5	5
14	OGC Nice	5	5
15	Racing Club de Lens	5	4
16	ES Troyes AC	5	4
17	Olympique de Marseille	5	3
18	Le Havre AC	5	2

Head-to-Head

Toulouse FC 11 games · Avg 3.2 goals Paris Saint-Germain FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-30 Toulouse FC 3–6 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2025-02-15 Toulouse FC 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2024-11-22 Paris Saint-Germain FC 3–0 Toulouse FC 2024-05-12 Paris Saint-Germain FC 1–3 Toulouse FC 2023-08-19 Toulouse FC 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	Paris Saint-Germain FC	H	3–6	L
24 Aug	Stade Brestois 29	H	2–0	W
16 Aug	OGC Nice	A	1–0	W
17 May	AS Saint-Étienne	A	3–2	W
10 May	Racing Club de Lens	H	1–1	D
03 May	Stade Rennais FC 1901	H	2–1	W

Paris Saint-Germain FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	Toulouse FC	A	6–3	W
22 Aug	Angers SCO	H	1–0	W
17 Aug	FC Nantes	A	1–0	W
13 Jul	Chelsea FC	A	0–3	L
09 Jul	Real Madrid CF	H	4–0	W
05 Jul	FC Bayern München	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC		Paris Saint-Germain FC
#13	Position	#6
5	Points	8
5	Played	5
1 / 2 / 2	W / D / L	2 / 2 / 1
7	Scored	8
9	Conceded	7
-2	GD	+1
1.00	PPG	1.60
20%	Win %	40%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 6th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/2

46-60

3/–

61-75

2/3

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Paris Saint-Germain FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/2

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC

Casper Tengstedt	3 G
Thomas Jorgensen	2 G	1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe	1 G
Christ Tape	1 G

Paris Saint-Germain FC

Ferran Torres	4 G
Marquinhos	3 G
Vitinha	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Toulouse FC is hosting Paris Saint-Germain FC for another epic battle.
Another three points for Paris Saint-Germain FC.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kylian Mbappe	4
Maxim Choupo-Moting	2
Neymar	2
Ousmane Dembele	2
Marquinhos	1
Frank Magri	1
Lucas Beraldo	1
Mathieu Goncalves	1

Head to Head

Toulouse FC Form

2025-08-30 Toulouse FC 3–6 Paris Saint-Germain FC L 2025-08-24 Toulouse FC 2–0 Stade Brestois 29 W 2025-08-16 OGC Nice 0–1 Toulouse FC W 2025-05-17 AS Saint-Étienne 2–3 Toulouse FC W 2025-05-10 Toulouse FC 1–1 Racing Club de Lens D 2025-05-03 Toulouse FC 2–1 Stade Rennais FC 1901 W

Paris Saint-Germain FC Form

2025-08-30 Toulouse FC 3–6 Paris Saint-Germain FC W 2025-08-22 Paris Saint-Germain FC 1–0 Angers SCO W 2025-08-17 FC Nantes 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC W 2025-07-13 Chelsea FC 3–0 Paris Saint-Germain FC L 2025-07-09 Paris Saint-Germain FC 4–0 Real Madrid CF W 2025-07-05 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2–0 FC Bayern München W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.75 Toulouse FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.3 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC30% Draw24% Paris Saint-Germain FC46%

Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 4.05

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	57%	43%
± 4.5	38%	62%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw

54%

Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC

70%

Toulouse FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC25% Draw37% Paris Saint-Germain FC38%

Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–6 not predicted

3 – 6

Actual

1 – 2

7.9%

1 – 1

7.8%

2 – 2

6.7%

2 – 1

1 – 3

5.9%

2 – 3

5.1%

0 – 2

4.7%

3 – 2

3.9%

0 – 1

3.6%

0 – 3

3.5%

3 – 1

3.5%

1 – 4

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap	Toulouse FC covers	Push	Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	14%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	19%	30%
+1.5	70%	—	30%
+2	70%	15%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.