Tuesday , 11 August 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Bayern München, Club World Cup 2025 QUARTER FINALS

Sat 5 Jul 2025 · 16:00 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

Season Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC FC Bayern München
#5 Position #10
6 Points 6
3 Played 3
2 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 1
6 Scored 12
1 Conceded 2
+5 GD +10
2.00 PPG 2.00
67% Win % 67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
71% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Paris Saint-Germain FC are 5th (6 pts). FC Bayern München are 10th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
3/
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
5/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/
31-45
3/1
46-60
/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
Fabian Ruiz 3 G 1 A
Achraf Hakimi 2 G 1 A
Ousmane Dembele 2 G 1 A
Joao Neves 2 G 1 A
Vitinha 1 G 2 A
FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 3 G 2 A
Harry Kane 3 G 1 A
Jamal Musiala 3 G
Kingsley Coman 2 G 2 A
Thomas Muller 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Paris Saint-Germain FC and FC Bayern München is underway.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Paris Saint-Germain FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern München's shape.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Paris Saint-Germain FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 5 goals to his name this season.
  • 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 34' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Josip Stanisic is withdrawn and Sacha Boey gets his opportunity.
  • 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 44' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 46' FC Bayern Munchen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Serge Gnabry is hanging Jamal Musiala on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' Paris Saint-Germain FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 61' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Paris Saint-Germain FC and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 66' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kingsley Coman suffering a number of foals already.
  • 68' That looks like a foul for a card for Konrad Laimer.
  • 70' Ousmane Dembele gets the nod from Paris Saint-Germain FC. He replaces Bradley Barcola and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' The home supporters are growing impatient. Paris Saint-Germain FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 76' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Vincent Kompany.
  • 78' Magnificent from Desire Doue! That is 25 goals in 422 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Leon Goretzka. He replaces Aleksandar Pavlovic on 80 minute.
  • 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for William Pacho on 82.
  • 84' Another substitution for Paris Saint-Germain FC to replace Khvicha Kvaratskhelia by Lucas Beraldo on 84 minute.
  • 88' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Sacha Boey is withdrawn and Raphael Guerreiro gets his opportunity.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lucas Hernandez on 90 minutes.
  • FC Bayern München will have plenty to reflect on. Paris Saint-Germain FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.28 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC44% Draw30% FC Bayern Munchen26%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
74%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
56%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or FC Bayern Munchen
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC29% Draw52% FC Bayern Munchen19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
40%
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.