Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 20:05 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 31,695 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 52' Fabian Ruiz

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FCLigue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Willy Delajod
  • Assistant 1 Erwan Finjean
  • Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio
5 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–1 L
09 Feb AJ Auxerre A 2–2 D
02 Feb OGC Nice H 1–1 D
26 Jan Montpellier HSC H 1–2 L
18 Jan Olympique Lyonnais A 0–0 D
12 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–0 W
11 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 3–0 W
07 Feb AS Monaco FC H 4–1 W
01 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 5–2 W
29 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 4–1 W
25 Jan Stade de Reims H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Toulouse FC Paris Saint-Germain FC
#11 Position #3
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 3rd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Paris Saint-Germain FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Toulouse FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' named a 5-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' Achraf Hakimi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Toulouse FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' Goncalo Ramos needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 35' Toulouse FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 39' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Vincent Sierro on 39 minutes.
  • 42' The Toulouse FC manager makes a substitution. Guillaume Restes departs to be replaced by Kjetil Haug.
  • 47' Lucas Hernandez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Paris Saint-Germain FC tonight.
  • 52' What composure from Fabian Ruiz! The Spain international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 56' The referee shows Toulouse FC player a card on 56.
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 62' The whistle greets Fabian Ruiz as he departs to be replaced by Vitinha.
  • 63' It is a substitution in Paris Saint-Germain FC team. William Pacho is replaced by Marquinhos on 63 minute.
  • 68' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Rafik Messali. He replaces Frank Magri on 70 minute.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Bradley Barcola as he leaves the pitch. Goncalo Ramos steps in for Paris Saint-Germain FC.
  • 78' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 79' Djibril Sidibe gets the nod from Toulouse FC. He replaces Umit Akdag and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' Toulouse FC is showing some good football. However, Toulouse FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 89' Toulouse FC currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Paris Saint-Germain FC! Joao Neves comes on to replace Senny Mayulu.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Toulouse FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.4 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + Under — clean sheet likely 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC17% Draw35% Paris Saint-Germain FC48%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes23% 0% No77%
Avg goals/match: 1.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 42%
58%
± 2.5 18%
82%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
83%
Toulouse FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC8% Draw63% Paris Saint-Germain FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26.9%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
11.7%
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 1
1.9%
1 – 3
1.9%
2 – 0
1.7%
2 – 2
1.2%
0 – 4
1%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 10% 88%
-0.5 12% 88%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 29% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 14% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
67%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.