Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC — Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.
- Toulouse FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 5 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Willy Delajod
- Assistant 1 Erwan Finjean
- Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio
5 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Monaco FC | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille OSC | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers SCO | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans FC | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | AJ Auxerre | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Lorient | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | OGC Nice | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club de Lens | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | ES Troyes AC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | Olympique de Marseille | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Feb | AJ Auxerre | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Feb | OGC Nice | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jan | Montpellier HSC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | Olympique Lyonnais | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Jan | RC Strasbourg Alsace | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb | Toulouse FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Stade Brestois 29 | A | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Feb | AS Monaco FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 01 Feb | Stade Brestois 29 | A | 5–2 | W |
| 29 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | Stade de Reims | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Toulouse FC | Paris Saint-Germain FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #6 |
| 5 | Points | 8 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 1 |
| 7 | Scored | 8 |
| 9 | Conceded | 7 |
| -2 | GD | +1 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.60 |
| 20% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 6th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 3 G | |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 1 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Paris Saint-Germain FC
| Ferran Torres | 4 G | |
| Marquinhos | 3 G | |
| Vitinha | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Stadium de Toulouse. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Toulouse FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC.
- 5' Toulouse FC are deployed in a 5-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Paris Saint-Germain FC's 4-3-3 shape.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Stadium de Toulouse. Paris Saint-Germain FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 35' Paris Saint-Germain FC come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 39' That is a card for Toulouse FC. Vincent Sierro will be fuming at that decision.
- 42' The whistle greets Guillaume Restes as he departs to be replaced by Kjetil Haug.
- 47' Paris Saint-Germain FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 52' Paris Saint-Germain FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Fabian Ruiz on 52.
- 56' That is a card for Toulouse FC. Umit Akdag will be fuming at that decision.
- 61' Paris Saint-Germain FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 62' Vitinha has so much to prove this time. He replaces Fabian Ruiz on 62 minute.
- 63' Marquinhos gets the nod from Paris Saint-Germain FC. He replaces William Pacho and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' With 3 assists to his name this season, Vitinha is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Paris Saint-Germain FC.
- 70' Toulouse FC make a change. Frank Magri trudges off to be replaced by Rafik Messali on 70 minutes.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Goncalo Ramos. He replaces Bradley Barcola on 73 minute.
- 78' Jaydee Canvot has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 79' Djibril Sidibe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Umit Akdag on 79 minute.
- 84' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 89' Kang-in Lee is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Paris Saint-Germain FC so far.
- 90' The crowd applauds Senny Mayulu as he leaves the pitch. Joao Neves steps in for Paris Saint-Germain FC.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Paris Saint-Germain FC players.
Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
-
8
Vincent Sierro ↓ Mark McKenzie 70'
- 23
- 7
- 4
-
9
Frank Magri ↓ Rafik Messali 70'
-
50
Guillaume Restes ↓ Kjetil Haug 42'
- 17
- 15
- 80
- 29
-
6
Umit Akdag ↓ Djibril Sidibe 79'
Bench
-
19
Djibril Sidibe ↑ 79'
- 21
-
3
Mark McKenzie ↑ 70'
-
16
Kjetil Haug ↑ 42'
- 12
- 37
-
31
Noah Edjouma ↑ 79'
-
22
Rafik Messali ↑ 70'
- 39
Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2
- 21
-
8
Fabian Ruiz ↓ Vitinha 62'
- 39
- 7
- 35
-
29
Bradley Barcola ↓ Goncalo Ramos 73'
-
51
William Pacho ↓ Marquinhos 63'
- 14
-
19
Kang-in Lee ↓ Ousmane Dembele 63'
-
24
Senny Mayulu ↓ Joao Neves 90'
Bench
-
5
Marquinhos ↑ 63'
- 3
-
10
Ousmane Dembele ↑ 63'
-
9
Goncalo Ramos ↑ 73'
- 25
- 80
-
17
Vitinha ↑ 62'
-
87
Joao Neves ↑ 90'
- 20
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 2 |
| Neymar | 2 |
| Ousmane Dembele | 2 |
| Thijs Dallinga | 1 |
| Marquinhos | 1 |
| Frank Magri | 1 |
| Lucas Beraldo | 1 |
Head to Head
Toulouse FC Form
Paris Saint-Germain FC Form
2025-02-15
Toulouse FC
0–1
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
2025-02-11
Stade Brestois 29
0–3
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
2025-02-07
Paris Saint-Germain FC
4–1
AS Monaco FC
W
2025-02-01
Stade Brestois 29
2–5
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
2025-01-29
VfB Stuttgart
1–4
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
2025-01-25
Paris Saint-Germain FC
1–1
Stade de Reims
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19
Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99
Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Toulouse FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
76%
Toulouse FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
6.2%
0 – 0
5.7%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
5.3%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
3.8%
1 – 4
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC
| Handicap | Toulouse FC covers | Push | Paris Saint-Germain FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 22% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

