Saturday , 14 November 2026

Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Toulouse FC
0 – 1
Full Time
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 20:05 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 31,695 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 52' Fabian Ruiz
Vincent Sierro 39' Y
Umit Akdag 56' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC — Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Willy Delajod
  • Assistant 1 Erwan Finjean
  • Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio
10 games this season 🟨 2.9/game ⚽ 9.2 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 10 23
2 Lille OSC 10 21
3 Paris FC 10 20
4 Olympique de Marseille 10 18
5 Olympique Lyonnais 10 17
6 OGC Nice 10 17
7 AS Monaco FC 10 16
8 Stade Rennais FC 1901 10 16
9 Stade Brestois 29 10 15
10 FC Lorient 10 15
11 Racing Club de Lens 10 13
12 Toulouse FC 10 13
13 RC Strasbourg Alsace 10 10
14 AJ Auxerre 10 10
15 Le Mans FC 10 8
16 Angers SCO 10 8
17 ES Troyes AC 10 8
18 Le Havre AC 10 2

Head-to-Head

1
1
9
Toulouse FC 11 games · Avg 3.2 goals Paris Saint-Germain FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-02-15 Toulouse FC 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2024-11-22 Paris Saint-Germain FC 3–0 Toulouse FC 2024-05-12 Paris Saint-Germain FC 1–3 Toulouse FC 2023-08-19 Toulouse FC 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2023-02-04 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2–1 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–1 L
09 Feb AJ Auxerre A 2–2 D
02 Feb OGC Nice H 1–1 D
26 Jan Montpellier HSC H 1–2 L
18 Jan Olympique Lyonnais A 0–0 D
12 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–2 L
Paris Saint-Germain FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–0 W
11 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 3–0 W
07 Feb AS Monaco FC H 4–1 W
01 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 5–2 W
29 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 4–1 W
25 Jan Stade de Reims H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Toulouse FC Paris Saint-Germain FC
#12 Position #1
13 Points 23
10 Played 10
3 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 2 / 1
15 Scored 22
14 Conceded 10
+1 GD +12
1.30 PPG 2.30
30% Win % 70%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
30% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 1st (23 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/2
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 3 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Ferran Torres 4 G 1 A
Achraf Hakimi 3 G 2 A
Marquinhos 3 G
Mika Godts 2 G 1 A
Senny Mayulu 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Paris Saint-Germain FC get us underway at Stadium de Toulouse.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Goncalo Ramos made 482 appearances and scored 79 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Kang-in Lee has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Paris Saint-Germain FC that had 534 games and scored 886 goals.
  • 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Umit Akdag is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Paris Saint-Germain FC.
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joao Neves suffering a number of foals already.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 39' That looks like a foul for a card for Vincent Sierro.
  • 42' Time for substitution for Toulouse FC. Guillaume Restes is replaced by Kjetil Haug.
  • 47' The 31-year-old Vincent Sierro has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 52' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Fabian Ruiz makes it 0-1.
  • 56' Toulouse FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 61' It is a cagey affair so far. Toulouse FC in their 5-4-1 trying to find a way past Paris Saint-Germain FC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Paris Saint-Germain FC. Fabian Ruiz is replaced by Vitinha.
  • 63' Marquinhos has so much to prove this time. He replaces William Pacho on 63 minute.
  • 68' Lucas Hernandez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 70' Rafik Messali has so much to prove this time. He replaces Frank Magri on 70 minute.
  • 73' Paris Saint-Germain FC make a change. Bradley Barcola trudges off to be replaced by Goncalo Ramos on 73 minutes.
  • 78' Charlie Cresswell is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toulouse FC tonight.
  • 79' Toulouse FC ring the changes. Umit Akdag has done his job and it is now time for Djibril Sidibe to step up.
  • 84' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toulouse FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 89' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toulouse FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 90' Joao Neves has so much to prove this time. He replaces Senny Mayulu on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Paris Saint-Germain FC players.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kylian Mbappe 4
Ousmane Dembele 2
Maxim Choupo-Moting 2
Neymar 2
Achraf Hakimi 1
Lionel Messi 1
Goncalo Ramos 1
Branco van den Boomen 1

Head to Head

2025-02-15 Toulouse FC 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2024-11-22 Paris Saint-Germain FC 3–0 Toulouse FC 2024-05-12 Paris Saint-Germain FC 1–3 Toulouse FC 2023-08-19 Toulouse FC 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2023-02-04 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2–1 Toulouse FC

Toulouse FC Form

2025-02-15 Toulouse FC 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC L 2025-02-09 AJ Auxerre 2–2 Toulouse FC D 2025-02-02 Toulouse FC 1–1 OGC Nice D 2025-01-26 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC L 2025-01-18 Olympique Lyonnais 0–0 Toulouse FC D 2025-01-12 Toulouse FC 1–2 RC Strasbourg Alsace L

Paris Saint-Germain FC Form

2025-02-15 Toulouse FC 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC W 2025-02-11 Stade Brestois 29 0–3 Paris Saint-Germain FC W 2025-02-07 Paris Saint-Germain FC 4–1 AS Monaco FC W 2025-02-01 Stade Brestois 29 2–5 Paris Saint-Germain FC W 2025-01-29 VfB Stuttgart 1–4 Paris Saint-Germain FC W 2025-01-25 Paris Saint-Germain FC 1–1 Stade de Reims D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.98 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.01 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 57% + Paris Saint-Germain FC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC20% Draw24% Paris Saint-Germain FC56%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
44%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
80%
Toulouse FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC15% Draw42% Paris Saint-Germain FC43%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
0 – 2
10%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 3
6.5%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 1
4.7%
1 – 0
4.2%
1 – 4
3.3%
0 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 40% — 60%
+1 40% 23% 37%
+1.5 63% — 37%
+2 63% 18% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.