Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 20:05 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 31,695 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 52' Fabian Ruiz

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FCLigue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Willy Delajod
  • Assistant 1 Erwan Finjean
  • Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–1 L
09 Feb AJ Auxerre A 2–2 D
02 Feb OGC Nice H 1–1 D
26 Jan Montpellier HSC H 1–2 L
18 Jan Olympique Lyonnais A 0–0 D
12 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–0 W
11 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 3–0 W
07 Feb AS Monaco FC H 4–1 W
01 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 5–2 W
29 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 4–1 W
25 Jan Stade de Reims H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Toulouse FC Paris Saint-Germain FC
#11 Position #3
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 3rd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Toulouse FC get us underway at Stadium de Toulouse.
  • 5' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Toulouse FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Paris Saint-Germain FC backline.
  • 15' Toulouse FC are deployed in a 5-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Paris Saint-Germain FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toulouse FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toulouse FC that had 420 games and scored 404 goals.
  • 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 39' The referee shows Toulouse FC player a card on 39.
  • 42' The Toulouse FC manager makes a substitution. Guillaume Restes departs to be replaced by Kjetil Haug.
  • 47' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Achraf Hakimi made 521 appearances and scored 47 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 52' What composure from Fabian Ruiz! The Spain international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 56' It’s gonna be a card for Umit Akdag.
  • 61' The travelling Paris Saint-Germain FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 62' The crowd applauds Fabian Ruiz as he leaves the pitch. Vitinha steps in for Paris Saint-Germain FC.
  • 63' Another change for Paris Saint-Germain FC made on 63 minute. William Pacho leaves to be changed by Marquinhos.
  • 68' Paris Saint-Germain FC have won 844 goals from 520 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 70' Another change for Toulouse FC made on 70 minute. Frank Magri leaves to be changed by Rafik Messali.
  • 73' Goncalo Ramos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bradley Barcola on 73 minute.
  • 78' The 26-year-old Vitinha has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 79' Toulouse FC make a change. Umit Akdag trudges off to be replaced by Djibril Sidibe on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 84 minutes.
  • 89' It looks surprising Toulouse FC does not make any changes. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' Joao Neves has so much to prove this time. He replaces Senny Mayulu on 90 minute.
  • It finishes all square. Toulouse FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.4 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + Under — clean sheet likely 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC17% Draw35% Paris Saint-Germain FC48%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes23% 0% No77%
Avg goals/match: 1.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 42%
58%
± 2.5 18%
82%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
83%
Toulouse FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC8% Draw63% Paris Saint-Germain FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26.9%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
11.7%
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 1
1.9%
1 – 3
1.9%
2 – 0
1.7%
2 – 2
1.2%
0 – 4
1%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 10% 88%
-0.5 12% 88%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 29% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 14% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
67%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.