Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 20:05 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 31,695 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 52' Fabian Ruiz

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC — Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Willy Delajod
  • Assistant 1 Erwan Finjean
  • Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 8.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–1 L
09 Feb AJ Auxerre A 2–2 D
02 Feb OGC Nice H 1–1 D
26 Jan Montpellier HSC H 1–2 L
18 Jan Olympique Lyonnais A 0–0 D
12 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–0 W
11 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 3–0 W
07 Feb AS Monaco FC H 4–1 W
01 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 5–2 W
29 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 4–1 W
25 Jan Stade de Reims H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Toulouse FC Paris Saint-Germain FC
#13 Position #6
5 Points 8
5 Played 5
1 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 1
7 Scored 8
9 Conceded 7
-2 GD +1
1.00 PPG 1.60
20% Win % 40%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 6th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
Ferran Torres 4 G
Marquinhos 3 G
Vitinha 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Stadium de Toulouse. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Toulouse FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC.
  • 5' Toulouse FC are deployed in a 5-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Paris Saint-Germain FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Stadium de Toulouse. Paris Saint-Germain FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' Paris Saint-Germain FC come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 39' That is a card for Toulouse FC. Vincent Sierro will be fuming at that decision.
  • 42' The whistle greets Guillaume Restes as he departs to be replaced by Kjetil Haug.
  • 47' Paris Saint-Germain FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 52' Paris Saint-Germain FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Fabian Ruiz on 52.
  • 56' That is a card for Toulouse FC. Umit Akdag will be fuming at that decision.
  • 61' Paris Saint-Germain FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 62' Vitinha has so much to prove this time. He replaces Fabian Ruiz on 62 minute.
  • 63' Marquinhos gets the nod from Paris Saint-Germain FC. He replaces William Pacho and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' With 3 assists to his name this season, Vitinha is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Paris Saint-Germain FC.
  • 70' Toulouse FC make a change. Frank Magri trudges off to be replaced by Rafik Messali on 70 minutes.
  • 73' The supporters are chanting for Goncalo Ramos. He replaces Bradley Barcola on 73 minute.
  • 78' Jaydee Canvot has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 79' Djibril Sidibe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Umit Akdag on 79 minute.
  • 84' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 89' Kang-in Lee is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Paris Saint-Germain FC so far.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Senny Mayulu as he leaves the pitch. Joao Neves steps in for Paris Saint-Germain FC.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Paris Saint-Germain FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC24% Draw24% Paris Saint-Germain FC52%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
76%
Toulouse FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC18% Draw42% Paris Saint-Germain FC40%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
6.2%
0 – 0
5.7%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
5.3%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
3.8%
1 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 22% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.