Saturday , 14 November 2026

Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2023-24
Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 19:00 UTC Stadium Municipal 27,332 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 62' Kylian Mbappe pen
Zakaria Aboukhlal pen 87' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC — Ligue 1 at Stadium Municipal.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard
  • Assistant 1 Francois Boudikian
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–1 D
13 Aug FC Nantes A 2–1 W
03 Jun AS Monaco FC A 2–1 W
27 May AJ Auxerre H 1–1 D
21 May OGC Nice A 0–0 D
14 May FC Nantes H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
12 Aug FC Lorient H 0–0 D
03 Jun Clermont Foot 63 H 2–3 L
27 May RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–1 D
21 May AJ Auxerre A 2–1 W
13 May AC Ajaccio H 5–0 W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC Paris Saint-Germain FC
#12 Position #1
13 Points 23
10 Played 10
3 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 2 / 1
15 Scored 22
14 Conceded 10
+1 GD +12
1.30 PPG 2.30
30% Win % 70%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
30% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 1st (23 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/2
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 3 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Ferran Torres 4 G 1 A
Achraf Hakimi 3 G 2 A
Marquinhos 3 G
Mika Godts 2 G 1 A
Senny Mayulu 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.95 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC25% Draw27% Paris Saint-Germain FC48%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
75%
Toulouse FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC16% Draw45% Paris Saint-Germain FC39%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
10.9%
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 3
5.8%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
2.9%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 24% 32%
+1.5 68% — 32%
+2 68% 17% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.