Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC — Ligue 1 at Stadium Municipal.
- Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 10 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thomas Leonard
- Assistant 1 Francois Boudikian
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | OGC Nice | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Lorient | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club de Lens | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Aug | FC Nantes | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Jun | AS Monaco FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 May | AJ Auxerre | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 May | OGC Nice | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 May | FC Nantes | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Toulouse FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Aug | FC Lorient | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Jun | Clermont Foot 63 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 27 May | RC Strasbourg Alsace | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 May | AJ Auxerre | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 May | AC Ajaccio | H | 5–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Toulouse FC | Paris Saint-Germain FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #1 |
| 13 | Points | 23 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 3 / 4 / 3 | W / D / L | 7 / 2 / 1 |
| 15 | Scored | 22 |
| 14 | Conceded | 10 |
| +1 | GD | +12 |
| 1.30 | PPG | 2.30 |
| 30% | Win % | 70% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
30%
Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 1st (23 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/2
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Paris Saint-Germain FC
| Ferran Torres | 4 G | 1 A |
| Achraf Hakimi | 3 G | 2 A |
| Marquinhos | 3 G | |
| Mika Godts | 2 G | 1 A |
| Senny Mayulu | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadium Municipal!
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Toulouse FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Paris Saint-Germain FC's 4-3-3 shape.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Stadium Municipal. Paris Saint-Germain FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
- 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Marquinhos is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toulouse FC.
- 30' It’s high time Carles Martínez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 35' Toulouse FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Paris Saint-Germain FC that had 534 games and scored 886 goals.
- 45' That is a Yellow card for Paris Saint-Germain FC. Kang-in Lee will be fuming at that decision.
- 50' Paris Saint-Germain FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Warren Zaire-Emery on 50.
- 51' Time for substitution for Paris Saint-Germain FC. Kang-in Lee is replaced by Kylian Mbappe.
- 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toulouse FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 57' Time for substitution for Toulouse FC. Frank Magri is replaced by Denis Genreau.
- 62' The France Kylian Mbappe breaks the deadlock on 62 minutes. 0-2!
- 67' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 70' Toulouse FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yanis Begraoui is hanging Thijs Dallinga on the field on 70 minute.
- 71' Niklas Schmidt has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cristian Casseres Jr. on 71 minute.
- 76' Mikkel Desler is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toulouse FC so far.
- 78' A tactical swap from Paris Saint-Germain FC — Danilo Pereira on, Lucas Hernandez off on 78 minutes.
- 81' A meaty challenge results in booking for Manuel Ugarte on 81.
- 85' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Achraf Hakimi on 85 minutes.
- 86' Controversy at the stadium! Gianluigi Donnarumma argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 87' GOAL! Zakaria Aboukhlal fires home to make it 1-2!
- 90' Warren Kamanzi gets the nod from Toulouse FC. He replaces Zakaria Aboukhlal and will look to change the dynamic.
- It finishes all square. Toulouse FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC share the spoils 1-1.
Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 8
- 24
-
9
Thijs Dallinga ↓ Yanis Begraoui 70'
- 2
- 7
- 23
-
3
Mikkel Desler ↓ Mamady Bangre 90'
- 6
-
19
Frank Magri ↓ Denis Genreau 57'
- 50
- 17
Bench
-
5
Denis Genreau ↑ 57'
-
14
Yanis Begraoui ↑ 70'
-
20
Niklas Schmidt ↑ 71'
- 30
- 4
-
21
Mamady Bangre ↑ 90'
- 13
-
12
Warren Kamanzi ↑ 90'
- 11
Coach
Carles Martínez
Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5
- 2
- 21
-
8
Fabian Ruiz ↓ Ousmane Dembele 51'
- 99
- 37
- 9
- 4
-
17
Vitinha ↓ Carlos Soler 78'
- 33
-
19
Kang-in Lee ↓ Kylian Mbappe 51'
Bench
-
7
Kylian Mbappe ↑ 51'
- 32
-
28
Carlos Soler ↑ 78'
-
10
Ousmane Dembele ↑ 51'
- 1
- 11
-
15
Danilo Pereira ↑ 78'
- 44
- 27
Coach
Luis Enrique
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 2 |
| Neymar | 2 |
| Ousmane Dembele | 2 |
| Thijs Dallinga | 1 |
| Marquinhos | 1 |
| Frank Magri | 1 |
| Lucas Beraldo | 1 |
Head to Head
Toulouse FC Form
Paris Saint-Germain FC Form
2023-08-19
Toulouse FC
1–1
Paris Saint-Germain FC
D
2023-08-12
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0–0
FC Lorient
D
2023-06-03
Paris Saint-Germain FC
2–3
Clermont Foot 63
L
2023-05-27
RC Strasbourg Alsace
1–1
Paris Saint-Germain FC
D
2023-05-21
AJ Auxerre
1–2
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
2023-05-13
Paris Saint-Germain FC
5–0
AC Ajaccio
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.95
Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Toulouse FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
75%
Toulouse FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
10.9%
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 3
5.8%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
2.9%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC
| Handicap | Toulouse FC covers | Push | Paris Saint-Germain FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 24% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 17% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

