AS Saint-Etienne vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AS Saint-Etienne vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.
- AS Saint-Etienne 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 7 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thomas Leonard
- Assistant 1 Gwenael Pasqualotti
- Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lille OSC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Racing Club de Lens | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 7 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Lorient | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | OGC Nice | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Olympique de Marseille | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 9 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 7 | 9 |
| 13 | AJ Auxerre | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers SCO | 7 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans FC | 7 | 6 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Toulouse FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 May | Stade de Reims | A | 2–0 | W |
| 03 May | AS Monaco FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Apr | RC Strasbourg Alsace | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Apr | Olympique Lyonnais | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | Stade Brestois 29 | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | AS Saint-Etienne | A | 3–2 | W |
| 10 May | Racing Club de Lens | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | FC Nantes | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Apr | Stade de Reims | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Lille OSC | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
7/–
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Stade Geoffroy Guichard. AS Saint-Etienne are looking to make home advantage count against Toulouse FC.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. AS Saint-Etienne must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' What composure from Warren Kamanzi! The Norway international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 15' Joshua King is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 20' Toulouse FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 23' A tactical swap from AS Saint-Etienne — Benjamin Bouchouari on, Aimen Moueffek off on 23 minutes.
- 28' Toulouse FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' Ibrahima Wadji has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 30.
- 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Toulouse FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 38' What composure from Florian Tardieu! The France international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 43' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 46' AS Saint-Etienne ring the changes. Maxime Bernauer has done his job and it is now time for Dylan Batubinsika to step up.
- 51' Cristian Casseres Jr. has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AS Saint-Etienne side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 58' A goal from the France international Yann Gboho! He fires home on 58 to make it 1-3!
- 59' Toulouse FC ring the changes. Joshua King has done his job and it is now time for Zakaria Aboukhlal to step up.
- 63' The deadlock is broken! Dylan Batubinsika gets on the scoresheet on 63 minutes.
- 68' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 69' Ibrahima Wadji makes way for Ben Old at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from AS Saint-Etienne.
- 70' It’s a booking for AS Saint-Etienne player. Zuriko Davitashvili gets a card.
- 72' Rafik Messali gets the nod from Toulouse FC. He replaces Djibril Sidibe and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' Maxime Bernauer has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 82' Rafik Messali has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 83' Djylian N'Guessan is replacing Irvin Cardona for the AS Saint-Etienne side.
- 84' The referee calls foul for Benjamin Bouchouari. He receives a card.
- 85' A tactical swap from Toulouse FC — Umit Akdag on, Warren Kamanzi off on 85 minutes.
- 90' It’s a booking for Toulouse FC player. Guillaume Restes gets a card.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Toulouse FC players.
Lineups
AS Saint-Etienne Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 30
- 10
- 7
- 8
- 25
- 19
- 3
- 22
- 29
- 13
- 4
Bench
- 5
- 21
- 1
- 17
- 14
- 11
- 6
- 28
- 63
Coach
Eirik Horneland
Toulouse FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
13
Joshua King ↓ Zakaria Aboukhlal 59'
-
19
Djibril Sidibe ↓ Rafik Messali 72'
- 10
- 8
- 23
- 3
- 4
- 9
- 50
-
12
Warren Kamanzi ↓ Umit Akdag 85'
- 29
Bench
- 21
-
7
Zakaria Aboukhlal ↑ 59'
- 16
- 37
- 31
-
80
Shavy Warren Babicka ↑ 85'
-
22
Rafik Messali ↑ 72'
- 39
-
6
Umit Akdag ↑ 85'
Coach
Carles Martínez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Beric | 2 |
| Max-Alain Gradel | 2 |
| Romain Hamouma | 2 |
| Lois Diony | 1 |
| Yann Gboho | 1 |
| Remy Cabella | 1 |
| Warren Kamanzi | 1 |
| Yannis Salibur | 1 |
Head to Head
AS Saint-Etienne Form
2025-05-17
AS Saint-Etienne
2–3
Toulouse FC
L
2025-05-10
Stade de Reims
0–2
AS Saint-Etienne
W
2025-05-03
AS Saint-Etienne
1–3
AS Monaco FC
L
2025-04-26
RC Strasbourg Alsace
3–1
AS Saint-Etienne
L
2025-04-20
AS Saint-Etienne
2–1
Olympique Lyonnais
W
2025-04-13
AS Saint-Etienne
3–3
Stade Brestois 29
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54
AS Saint-Etienne xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for:
AS Saint-Etienne or Toulouse FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Toulouse FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
AS Saint-Etienne or Draw
64%
Draw or Toulouse FC
63%
AS Saint-Etienne or Toulouse FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Toulouse FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Etienne
| Handicap | AS Saint-Etienne covers | Push | Toulouse FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

