Monday , 27 July 2026

AS Saint-Étienne vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 17 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade Geoffroy Guichard 38,725 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Warren Kamanzi
0–2 15' Joshua King
Florian Tardieu 38' 1–2
1–3 58' Yann Gboho
Dylan Batubinsika 63' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

AS Saint-Etienne vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard
  • Assistant 1 Gwenael Pasqualotti
  • Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Toulouse FC H 2–3 L
10 May Stade de Reims A 2–0 W
03 May AS Monaco FC H 1–3 L
26 Apr RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–3 L
20 Apr Olympique Lyonnais H 2–1 W
13 Apr Stade Brestois 29 H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May AS Saint-Étienne A 3–2 W
10 May Racing Club de Lens H 1–1 D
03 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 2–1 W
27 Apr FC Nantes A 0–0 D
20 Apr Stade de Reims A 0–1 L
12 Apr Lille OSC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AS Saint-Étienne launch into their encounter with Toulouse FC.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' GOAL! Warren Kamanzi scores on 10. Assisted by Yann Gboho
  • 15' Brilliant from the ! Joshua King makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 15.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 23' Aimen Moueffek makes way for Benjamin Bouchouari at the 23 minute mark. A tactical switch from AS Saint-Etienne.
  • 28' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Eirik Horneland will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' Controversy at the stadium! Ibrahima Wadji argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 35' Toulouse FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 38' GOAL! Florian Tardieu fires home to make it 0-3!
  • 43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gautier Larsonneur, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Geoffroy Guichard with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 46' A tactical swap from AS Saint-Etienne — Dylan Batubinsika on, Maxime Bernauer off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carles Martínez might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' Toulouse FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 58' Yann Gboho is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 59' A change in the Toulouse FC ranks — Joshua King exits the field as Zakaria Aboukhlal enters on 59.
  • 63' Magnificent from Dylan Batubinsika! That is 9 goals in 303 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 68' AS Saint-Étienne are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toulouse FC backline.
  • 69' A tactical swap from AS Saint-Etienne — Ben Old on, Ibrahima Wadji off on 69 minutes.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Zuriko Davitashvili is booked for AS Saint-Etienne — card on 70.
  • 72' Toulouse FC make a change. Djibril Sidibe trudges off to be replaced by Rafik Messali on 72 minutes.
  • 77' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 77 minutes.
  • 82' AS Saint-Étienne is showing some good football. However, AS Saint-Étienne are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 83' It is a substitution in AS Saint-Etienne team. Irvin Cardona is replaced by Djylian N'Guessan on 83 minute.
  • 84' Benjamin Bouchouari picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 85' Fresh legs for Toulouse FC! Umit Akdag comes on to replace Warren Kamanzi.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Guillaume Restes argues furiously but the card stands.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Toulouse FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 AS Saint-Etienne xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: AS Saint-Etienne or Toulouse FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Etienne37% Draw27% Toulouse FC36%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

AS Saint-Etienne or Draw
64%
Draw or Toulouse FC
63%
AS Saint-Etienne or Toulouse FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Etienne28% Draw44% Toulouse FC28%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Etienne

Handicap AS Saint-Etienne covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet
23%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.