Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Real Madrid CF, Club World Cup 2025 SEMI FINALS

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FIFA Club World Cup · 2025

Paris Saint-Germain FC

4 – 0

Full Time

Real Madrid CF

Wed 9 Jul 2025 · 19:10 UTC MetLife Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 28' Aurelien Tchouameni

Joao Neves 45' Y

Y 73' Dani Carvajal

Overview

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Real Madrid CF — Club World Cup at MetLife Stadium.

Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 games · 6 pts (2025/25)
Real Madrid CF 3 games · 7 pts (2025/25)

Match Details

Referee Szymon Marciniak

9 games this season 🟨 2.9/game ⚽ 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	3	5
2	Internacional CF Miami	3	5
3	FC Porto	3	2
4	Al Ahly SC	3	2
5	Paris Saint-Germain FC	3	6
6	Botafogo FR	3	6
7	Club Atlético de Madrid	3	6
8	Seattle Sounders FC	3	0
9	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	3	7
10	FC Bayern München	3	6
11	CA Boca Juniors	3	2
12	Auckland City FC	3	1
13	CR Flamengo	3	7
14	Chelsea FC	3	6
15	Esperance de Tunis	3	3
16	Los Angeles FC	3	1
17	FC Internazionale Milano	3	7
18	CF Monterrey	3	5
19	CA River Plate	3	4
20	Urawa Red Diamonds	3	0
21	Borussia Dortmund	3	7
22	Fluminense FC	3	5
23	Mamelodi Sundowns FC	3	4
24	Ulsan HD FC	3	0
25	Manchester City FC	3	9
26	Juventus FC	3	6
27	Al Ain FC	3	3
28	Wydad AC	3	0
29	Real Madrid CF	3	7
30	Al Hilal	3	5
31	FC Red Bull Salzburg	3	4
32	CF Pachuca	3	0

Head-to-Head

Paris Saint-Germain FC 9 games · Avg 2.6 goals Real Madrid CF

Last 5 meetings

2025-07-09 Paris Saint-Germain FC 4–0 Real Madrid CF 2022-03-09 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2022-02-15 Paris Saint-Germain FC 1–0 Real Madrid CF 2019-11-26 Real Madrid CF 2–2 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2019-09-18 Paris Saint-Germain FC 3–0 Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

Paris Saint-Germain FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Jul	Real Madrid CF	H	4–0	W
05 Jul	FC Bayern München	H	2–0	W
29 Jun	Internacional CF Miami	H	4–0	W
23 Jun	Seattle Sounders FC	A	2–0	W
20 Jun	Botafogo FR	H	0–1	L
15 Jun	Club Atlético de Madrid	H	4–0	W

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Jul	Paris Saint-Germain FC	A	0–4	L
05 Jul	Borussia Dortmund	H	3–2	W
01 Jul	Juventus FC	H	1–0	W
27 Jun	FC Red Bull Salzburg	A	3–0	W
22 Jun	CF Pachuca	H	3–1	W
18 Jun	Al Hilal	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC		Real Madrid CF
#5	Position	#29
6	Points	7
3	Played	3
2 / 0 / 1	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 0
6	Scored	7
1	Conceded	2
+5	GD	+5
2.00	PPG	2.33
67%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

71% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

33% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Paris Saint-Germain FC are 5th (6 pts). Real Madrid CF are 29th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC

0-15

3/–

16-30

2/2

31-45

4/3

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

5/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Real Madrid CF

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/1

31-45

5/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC

Fabian Ruiz	3 G	1 A
Achraf Hakimi	2 G	1 A
Ousmane Dembele	2 G	1 A
Joao Neves	2 G	1 A
Vitinha	1 G	2 A

Real Madrid CF

Gonzalo Garcia	4 G	1 A
Arda Guler	2 G	1 A
Federico Valverde	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Paris Saint-Germain FC host Real Madrid CF — let the battle begin!
5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Paris Saint-Germain FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
6' Goal! Fabian Ruiz scores his 36 goal in 514 matches.
9' What a strike from Ousmane Dembele! The score is 2-0.
14' Both keepers have barely been tested. Paris Saint-Germain FC and Real Madrid CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
19' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Paris Saint-Germain FC winning 100% of all matches.
24' GOAL! Fabian Ruiz scores on 24. Assisted by Achraf Hakimi
28' Aurelien Tchouameni was booked on 28.
33' With 6 assists to his name this season, Vinicius Junior is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Paris Saint-Germain FC.
38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
43' Achraf Hakimi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
45' Paris Saint-Germain FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
55' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
59' Goncalo Ramos is replacing Ousmane Dembele for the Paris Saint-Germain FC side.
64' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Vinicius Junior has done his job and it is now time for Brahim Diaz to step up.
66' A change in the Paris Saint-Germain FC ranks — Fabian Ruiz exits the field as Warren Zaire-Emery enters on 66.
71' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Gonzalo Garcia is replaced by Dani Carvajal on 71 minute.
73' The referee shows Real Madrid CF player a card on 73.
78' Paris Saint-Germain FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
79' Kang-in Lee is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nuno Mendes at the 79 minute mark.
83' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Arda Guler is replaced by Lucas Vazquez on 83 minute.
87' A stunning finish from Goncalo Ramos — that came from absolutely nowhere!
With this win, Paris Saint-Germain FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Marquinhos
2
Achraf Hakimi
10
Ousmane Dembele ↓ Goncalo Ramos 59'
8
Fabian Ruiz ↓ Warren Zaire-Emery 66'
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
7
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ↓ Bradley Barcola 59'
25
Nuno Mendes ↓ Kang-in Lee 79'
4
Lucas Beraldo
17
Vitinha
14
Desire Doue ↓ Senny Mayulu 66'
87
Joao Neves

Bench

39
Matvei Safonov
9
Goncalo Ramos ↑ 59'
80
Arnau Tenas
29
Bradley Barcola ↑ 59'
33
Warren Zaire-Emery ↑ 66'
19
Kang-in Lee ↑ 79'
24
Senny Mayulu ↑ 66'
49
Ibrahim M'Baye
43
Noham Kamara

Coach Luis Enrique

Real Madrid CF Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Xabi Alonso

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Karim Benzema	5
Kylian Mbappe	3
Fabian Ruiz	2
Angel di Maria	2
Ousmane Dembele	1
Goncalo Ramos	1
Thomas Meunier	1
Gareth Bale	1

Head to Head

Paris Saint-Germain FC Form

2025-07-09 Paris Saint-Germain FC 4–0 Real Madrid CF W 2025-07-05 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2–0 FC Bayern München W 2025-06-29 Paris Saint-Germain FC 4–0 Internacional CF Miami W 2025-06-23 Seattle Sounders FC 0–2 Paris Saint-Germain FC W 2025-06-20 Paris Saint-Germain FC 0–1 Botafogo FR L 2025-06-15 Paris Saint-Germain FC 4–0 Club Atlético de Madrid W

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-07-09 Paris Saint-Germain FC 4–0 Real Madrid CF L 2025-07-05 Real Madrid CF 3–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-07-01 Real Madrid CF 1–0 Juventus FC W 2025-06-27 FC Red Bull Salzburg 0–3 Real Madrid CF W 2025-06-22 Real Madrid CF 3–1 CF Pachuca W 2025-06-18 Real Madrid CF 1–1 Al Hilal D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.81 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.66 Real Madrid CF xG

I would bet for: Paris Saint-Germain FC to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Paris Saint-Germain FC61% Draw24% Real Madrid CF15%

Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes41% 0% No59%

Avg goals/match: 2.47

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw

85%

Draw or Real Madrid CF

39%

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Real Madrid CF

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Paris Saint-Germain FC44% Draw46% Real Madrid CF10%

Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

14.6%

2 – 0

13.5%

1 – 1

10.8%

0 – 0

10.4%

2 – 1

8.8%

3 – 0

3 – 1

5.4%

0 – 1

4.7%

4 – 0

Actual

1 – 2

3.2%

2 – 2

4 – 1

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap	Paris Saint-Germain FC covers	Push	Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	20%	62%
-1.5	38%	—	62%
-1	38%	26%	36%
-0.5	64%	—	36%
+0.5	88%	—	12%
+1	88%	9%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet

52% ✓

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.