Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Real Madrid CF, Club World Cup 2025 SEMI FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Real Madrid CF — Club World Cup at MetLife Stadium.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 games · 6 pts (2025/25)
- Real Madrid CF 3 games · 7 pts (2025/25)
Match Details
- Referee Szymon Marciniak
15 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 3 | 5 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 3 | 2 |
| 4 | Al Ahly SC | 3 | 2 |
| 5 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Botafogo FR | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders FC | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Bayern München | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | CA Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Auckland City FC | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | CR Flamengo | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Chelsea FC | 3 | 6 |
| 15 | Esperance de Tunis | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Internazionale Milano | 3 | 7 |
| 18 | CF Monterrey | 3 | 5 |
| 19 | CA River Plate | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 7 |
| 22 | Fluminense FC | 3 | 5 |
| 23 | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | 3 | 4 |
| 24 | Ulsan HD FC | 3 | 0 |
| 25 | Manchester City FC | 3 | 9 |
| 26 | Juventus FC | 3 | 6 |
| 27 | Al Ain FC | 3 | 3 |
| 28 | Wydad AC | 3 | 0 |
| 29 | Real Madrid CF | 3 | 7 |
| 30 | Al Hilal | 3 | 5 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 4 |
| 32 | CF Pachuca | 3 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul | Real Madrid CF | H | 4–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | FC Bayern München | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Jun | Internacional CF Miami | H | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Jun | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Jun | Botafogo FR | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Jun | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 05 Jul | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–2 | W |
| 01 Jul | Juventus FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jun | FC Red Bull Salzburg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Jun | CF Pachuca | H | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Jun | Al Hilal | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Paris Saint-Germain FC | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #29 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 3 | Played | 3 |
| 2 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 0 |
| 6 | Scored | 7 |
| 1 | Conceded | 2 |
| +5 | GD | +5 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 2.33 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
71%
Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Paris Saint-Germain FC are 5th (6 pts). Real Madrid CF are 29th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
5/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Paris Saint-Germain FC
| Fabian Ruiz | 3 G | 1 A |
| Achraf Hakimi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Ousmane Dembele | 2 G | 1 A |
| Joao Neves | 2 G | 1 A |
| Vitinha | 1 G | 2 A |
Real Madrid CF
| Gonzalo Garcia | 4 G | 1 A |
| Arda Guler | 2 G | 1 A |
| Federico Valverde | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at MetLife Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 6' Paris Saint-Germain FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Fabian Ruiz on 6.
- 9' What a strike from Ousmane Dembele! The score is 2-0.
- 14' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 14 minutes.
- 19' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 24' What a strike from Fabian Ruiz! The score is 3-0.
- 28' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
- 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 38' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 545 games and scored 775 goals.
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Joao Neves.
- 50' Paris Saint-Germain FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
- 55' It’s high time Xabi Alonso made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 59' Goncalo Ramos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ousmane Dembele on 59 minute.
- 64' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Vinicius Junior by Brahim Diaz on 64 minute.
- 66' Warren Zaire-Emery is replacing Fabian Ruiz for the Paris Saint-Germain FC side.
- 71' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Gonzalo Garcia departs to be replaced by Dani Carvajal.
- 73' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
- 78' Eder Militao needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 79' Another substitution for Paris Saint-Germain FC to replace Nuno Mendes by Kang-in Lee on 79 minute.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Lucas Vazquez. He replaces Arda Guler on 83 minute.
- 87' GOAL! Goncalo Ramos scores on 87. Assisted by Bradley Barcola
- The final score is 4-0.
Lineups
Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 2
-
10
Ousmane Dembele ↓ Goncalo Ramos 59'
- 8
- 1
- 7
-
25
Nuno Mendes ↓ Kang-in Lee 79'
- 4
- 17
-
14
Desire Doue ↓ Senny Mayulu 66'
- 87
Bench
- 39
-
9
Goncalo Ramos ↑ 59'
- 80
-
29
Bradley Barcola ↑ 59'
-
33
Warren Zaire-Emery ↑ 66'
-
19
Kang-in Lee ↑ 79'
-
24
Senny Mayulu ↑ 66'
- 49
- 43
Coach
Luis Enrique
Real Madrid CF Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 9
- 14
- 8
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Brahim Diaz 64'
- 1
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ Luka Modric 64'
-
15
Arda Guler ↓ Lucas Vazquez 83'
- 20
-
30
Gonzalo Garcia ↓ Dani Carvajal 71'
-
35
Raul ↓ Eder Militao 64'
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 64'
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 64'
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 83'
- 19
-
2
Dani Carvajal ↑ 71'
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 64'
- 11
- 6
- 50
- 31
- 36
- 29
- 44
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 5 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 3 |
| Fabian Ruiz | 2 |
| Angel di Maria | 2 |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 |
| Thomas Meunier | 1 |
| Gareth Bale | 1 |
| Pablo Sarabia | 1 |
Head to Head
Paris Saint-Germain FC Form
2025-07-09
Paris Saint-Germain FC
4–0
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-07-05
Paris Saint-Germain FC
2–0
FC Bayern München
W
2025-06-29
Paris Saint-Germain FC
4–0
Internacional CF Miami
W
2025-06-23
Seattle Sounders FC
0–2
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
2025-06-20
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0–1
Botafogo FR
L
2025-06-15
Paris Saint-Germain FC
4–0
Club Atletico de Madrid
W
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.81
Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Paris Saint-Germain FC to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
39%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Real Madrid CF
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.6%
2 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
10.8%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 0
8%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
4.7%
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
3%
4 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC
| Handicap | Paris Saint-Germain FC covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 20% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
52%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

