Wednesday , 30 September 2026

OGC Nice vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2026
0 – 1
Full Time
Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 19:05 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

OGC Nice vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Toulouse FC H 0–1 L
12 Aug Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–2 L
06 Aug Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
17 May Stade Brestois 29 H 6–0 W
10 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–2 L
02 May Stade de Reims H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug OGC Nice A 1–0 W
17 May AS Saint-Étienne A 3–2 W
10 May Racing Club de Lens H 1–1 D
03 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 2–1 W
27 Apr FC Nantes A 0–0 D
20 Apr Stade de Reims A 0–1 L

Season Stats

OGC Nice Toulouse FC
#14 Position #13
5 Points 5
5 Played 5
1 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 2
3 Scored 7
6 Conceded 9
-3 GD -2
1.00 PPG 1.00
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

OGC Nice are 14th (5 pts). Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

OGC Nice
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: OGC Nice gets underway.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Toulouse FC players.

Lineups

OGC Nice Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.96 OGC Nice xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
OGC Nice30% Draw32% Toulouse FC38%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

OGC Nice or Draw
62%
Draw or Toulouse FC
70%
OGC Nice or Toulouse FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
OGC Nice21% Draw54% Toulouse FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.1%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 2
7.4%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
2.7%
0 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — OGC Nice

Handicap OGC Nice covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 18% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 22% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.