OGC Nice vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
OGC Nice vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .
- OGC Nice 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thomas Leonard
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Monaco FC | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille OSC | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers SCO | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans FC | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | AJ Auxerre | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Lorient | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | OGC Nice | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club de Lens | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | ES Troyes AC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | Olympique de Marseille | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | Toulouse FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Aug | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Aug | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 May | Stade Brestois 29 | H | 6–0 | W |
| 10 May | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 May | Stade de Reims | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | OGC Nice | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 May | AS Saint-Étienne | A | 3–2 | W |
| 10 May | Racing Club de Lens | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | FC Nantes | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Apr | Stade de Reims | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| OGC Nice | Toulouse FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #13 |
| 5 | Points | 5 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 2 |
| 3 | Scored | 7 |
| 6 | Conceded | 9 |
| -3 | GD | -2 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 20% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season
OGC Nice this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
OGC Nice are 14th (5 pts). Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
OGC Nice
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 3 G | |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 1 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: OGC Nice gets underway.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Toulouse FC players.
Lineups
OGC Nice Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Thijs Dallinga | 3 |
| Pierre Lees Melou | 2 |
| Terem Moffi | 2 |
| Jonathan Clauss | 1 |
| Wylan Cyprien | 1 |
| Mark McKenzie | 1 |
| Issiaga Sylla | 1 |
| Gaetan Laborde | 1 |
Head to Head
OGC Nice Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.96
OGC Nice xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for:
Toulouse FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toulouse FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
OGC Nice or Draw
62%
Draw or Toulouse FC
70%
OGC Nice or Toulouse FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.1%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 2
7.4%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
2.7%
0 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
2%
Asian Handicap — OGC Nice
| Handicap | OGC Nice covers | Push | Toulouse FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 18% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 22% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

