OGC Nice vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2026

OGC Nice

0 – 1

Full Time

Toulouse FC

Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 19:05 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

OGC Nice vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .

OGC Nice 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Toulouse FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Thomas Leonard

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Nantes	34	24
2	FC Metz	34	17
3	Paris Saint-Germain FC	0	0
4	Racing Club de Lens	0	0
5	Lille OSC	0	0
6	Olympique Lyonnais	0	0
7	Olympique de Marseille	0	0
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	0	0
9	AS Monaco FC	0	0
10	RC Strasbourg Alsace	0	0
11	Toulouse FC	0	0
12	FC Lorient	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0
14	Stade Brestois 29	0	0
15	ES Troyes AC	0	0
16	Angers SCO	0	0
17	Le Mans FC	0	0
18	Le Havre AC	0	0
19	AJ Auxerre	0	0
20	OGC Nice	0	0

Head-to-Head

OGC Nice 20 games · Avg 2.7 goals Toulouse FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-16 OGC Nice 0–1 Toulouse FC 2025-02-02 Toulouse FC 1–1 OGC Nice 2024-08-25 OGC Nice 1–1 Toulouse FC 2024-03-03 Toulouse FC 2–1 OGC Nice 2023-11-26 OGC Nice 1–0 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

OGC Nice

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Aug	Toulouse FC	H	0–1	L
12 Aug	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	A	0–2	L
06 Aug	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	H	0–2	L
17 May	Stade Brestois 29	H	6–0	W
10 May	Stade Rennais FC 1901	A	0–2	L
02 May	Stade de Reims	H	1–0	W

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Aug	OGC Nice	A	1–0	W
17 May	AS Saint-Étienne	A	3–2	W
10 May	Racing Club de Lens	H	1–1	D
03 May	Stade Rennais FC 1901	H	2–1	W
27 Apr	FC Nantes	A	0–0	D
20 Apr	Stade de Reims	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

OGC Nice		Toulouse FC
#20	Position	#11
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

OGC Nice are 20th (0 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. OGC Nice get us underway at .
It finishes all square. OGC Nice and Toulouse FC share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

OGC Nice Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Thijs Dallinga	3
Pierre Lees Melou	2
Terem Moffi	2
Firmin Mubele	1
Jonathan Clauss	1
Wylan Cyprien	1
Mark McKenzie	1
Issiaga Sylla	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.52 OGC Nice xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.54 Toulouse FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 90% + Under — clean sheet likely 81%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

OGC Nice27% Draw43% Toulouse FC30%

Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes19% 0% No81%

Avg goals/match: 1.06

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	63%	37%
± 1.5	30%	70%
± 2.5	10%	90%
± 3.5	3%	97%
± 4.5	1%	99%

Double Chance

OGC Nice or Draw

70%

Draw or Toulouse FC

73%

OGC Nice or Toulouse FC

57%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

OGC Nice14% Draw72% Toulouse FC14%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

37.5%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

16.2%

1 – 1

11%

0 – 2

4.4%

2 – 0

4.2%

1 – 2

2.9%

2 – 1

2.8%

2 – 2

0.9%

0 – 3

0.8%

3 – 0

0.7%

1 – 3

0.5%

Asian Handicap — OGC Nice

Handicap	OGC Nice covers	Push	Toulouse FC covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	5%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	19%	75%
-0.5	25%	—	75%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	20%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

OGC Nice keeps clean sheet

59% ✗

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

59% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.