Saturday , 19 September 2026

Sheffield Wednesday FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Mon 15 Dec 2025 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sheffield Wednesday FC vs Derby County FCChampionship .

Match Details

  • Referee Lewis Smith
5 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec Derby County FC H 0–3 L
09 Dec Watford FC A 1–1 D
29 Nov Preston North End FC H 2–3 L
26 Nov Millwall FC A 0–1 L
23 Nov Sheffield United FC H 0–3 L
08 Nov Southampton FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
10 Dec Millwall FC H 1–1 D
06 Dec Leicester City FC H 1–3 L
29 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
25 Nov Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
22 Nov Watford FC H 2–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Sheffield Wednesday FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17 Sheffield Wednesday FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Sheffield Wednesday FC or Derby County FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sheffield Wednesday FC30% Draw28% Derby County FC42%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Sheffield Wednesday FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Derby County FC
70%
Sheffield Wednesday FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sheffield Wednesday FC21% Draw46% Derby County FC33%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sheffield Wednesday FC

Handicap Sheffield Wednesday FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Sheffield Wednesday FC keeps clean sheet
21%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.