Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Middlesbrough FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Middlesbrough FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee James Linington

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Hull City AFC	46	73
4	Oxford United FC	46	47
5	Leicester City FC	46	46
6	Millwall FC	0	0
7	Southampton FC	0	0
8	Middlesbrough FC	0	0
9	Wrexham AFC	0	0
10	Derby County FC	0	0
11	Norwich City FC	0	0
12	Birmingham City FC	0	0
13	Swansea City AFC	0	0
14	Bristol City FC	0	0
15	Sheffield United FC	0	0
16	Preston North End FC	0	0
17	Queens Park Rangers FC	0	0
18	Watford FC	0	0
19	Stoke City FC	0	0
20	Portsmouth FC	0	0
21	Charlton Athletic FC	0	0
22	Blackburn Rovers FC	0	0
23	West Bromwich Albion FC	0	0
24	Burnley FC	0	0
25	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	0	0
26	Cardiff City FC	0	0
27	West Ham United FC	0	0
28	Bolton Wanderers FC	0	0
29	Lincoln City FC	0	0
30	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Middlesbrough FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-29 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2025-03-01 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2024-08-17 Derby County FC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC 2022-02-12 Middlesbrough FC 4–1 Derby County FC 2021-08-21 Derby County FC 0–0 Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Derby County FC	H	2–1	W
25 Nov	Coventry City FC	H	2–4	L
22 Nov	Oxford United FC	A	1–1	D
08 Nov	Birmingham City FC	H	2–1	W
04 Nov	Leicester City FC	A	1–1	D
01 Nov	Watford FC	A	0–3	L

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	A	1–2	L
25 Nov	Swansea City AFC	A	2–1	W
22 Nov	Watford FC	H	2–3	L
08 Nov	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	2–1	W
04 Nov	Hull City AFC	H	2–1	W
01 Nov	Sheffield United FC	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC		Derby County FC
#8	Position	#10
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 8th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Middlesbrough FC and Derby County FC.
Derby County FC will have plenty to reflect on. Middlesbrough FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tom Lawrence	2
Jordan Hugill	1
Neeskens Kebano	1
Max Bird	1
Duane Holmes	1
Aaron Connolly	1
Jason Knight	1
Duncan Watmore	1

Head to Head

Middlesbrough FC Form

2025-11-29 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Derby County FC W 2025-11-25 Middlesbrough FC 2–4 Coventry City FC L 2025-11-22 Oxford United FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC D 2025-11-08 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Birmingham City FC W 2025-11-04 Leicester City FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC D 2025-11-01 Watford FC 3–0 Middlesbrough FC L

Derby County FC Form

2025-11-29 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2025-11-25 Swansea City AFC 1–2 Derby County FC W 2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC L 2025-11-08 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Derby County FC W 2025-11-04 Derby County FC 2–1 Hull City AFC W 2025-11-01 Sheffield United FC 1–3 Derby County FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

0.81 Middlesbrough FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.74 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Middlesbrough FC or Draw 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Middlesbrough FC38% Draw35% Derby County FC27%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes31% 0% No69%

Avg goals/match: 1.55

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	76%	24%
± 1.5	46%	54%
± 2.5	21%	79%
± 3.5	8%	92%
± 4.5	3%	97%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw

73%

Draw or Derby County FC

62%

Middlesbrough FC or Derby County FC

65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Middlesbrough FC20% Draw62% Derby County FC18%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

23.9%

1 – 0

15.7%

0 – 1

14%

1 – 1

13.7%

2 – 0

6.5%

0 – 2

5.3%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

4.7%

2 – 2

2.1%

3 – 0

1.7%

3 – 1

1.5%

0 – 3

1.3%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap	Middlesbrough FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	8%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	22%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	19%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

48% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

45% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.