Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Linington
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Nov | Coventry City FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Nov | Oxford United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Nov | Birmingham City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | Leicester City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | Watford FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Nov | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Nov | Watford FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | Hull City AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Nov | Sheffield United FC | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #8 |
| 80 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 22 / 14 / 10 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 72 | Scored | 67 |
| 47 | Conceded | 59 |
| +25 | GD | +8 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 48% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Middlesbrough FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Middlesbrough FC players.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 2 |
| Paddy McNair | 1 |
| Matty Crooks | 1 |
| Lewis Wing | 1 |
| Lee Buchanan | 1 |
| Matt Clarke | 1 |
| Kayden Jackson | 1 |
| Marvin Johnson | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
2025-11-29
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Derby County FC
W
2025-11-25
Middlesbrough FC
2–4
Coventry City FC
L
2025-11-22
Oxford United FC
1–1
Middlesbrough FC
D
2025-11-08
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Birmingham City FC
W
2025-11-04
Leicester City FC
1–1
Middlesbrough FC
D
2025-11-01
Watford FC
3–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Derby County FC
52%
Middlesbrough FC or Derby County FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 21% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.