Sunday , 16 August 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Derby County FC H 2–1 W
25 Nov Coventry City FC H 2–4 L
22 Nov Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
08 Nov Birmingham City FC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Leicester City FC A 1–1 D
01 Nov Watford FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
25 Nov Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
22 Nov Watford FC H 2–3 L
08 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
04 Nov Hull City AFC H 2–1 W
01 Nov Sheffield United FC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Derby County FC
#10 Position #23
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Middlesbrough FC are 10th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.81 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Middlesbrough FC or Draw 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC38% Draw35% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes31% 0% No69%
Avg goals/match: 1.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 76%
24%
± 1.5 46%
54%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Derby County FC
62%
Middlesbrough FC or Derby County FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC20% Draw62% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.9%
1 – 0
15.7%
0 – 1
14%
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
2.1%
3 – 0
1.7%
3 – 1
1.5%
0 – 3
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 22% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 19% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
48%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.