Saturday , 14 November 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Derby County FC H 2–1 W
25 Nov Coventry City FC H 2–4 L
22 Nov Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
08 Nov Birmingham City FC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Leicester City FC A 1–1 D
01 Nov Watford FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
25 Nov Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
22 Nov Watford FC H 2–3 L
08 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
04 Nov Hull City AFC H 2–1 W
01 Nov Sheffield United FC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Derby County FC
#2 Position #23
29 Points 10
15 Played 15
8 / 5 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 9
30 Scored 14
19 Conceded 30
+11 GD -16
1.93 PPG 0.67
53% Win % 13%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry 3 G 4 A
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Middlesbrough FC 2-1 Derby County FC.

Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.37 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC60% Draw21% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Derby County FC
40%
Middlesbrough FC or Derby County FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC47% Draw38% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 23% — 77%
-2 23% 19% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 21% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.