Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Leicester City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Leicester City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Leicester City FC H 1–3 L
29 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
25 Nov Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
22 Nov Watford FC H 2–3 L
08 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
04 Nov Hull City AFC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Derby County FC A 3–1 W
29 Nov Sheffield United FC H 2–3 L
25 Nov Southampton FC A 0–3 L
22 Nov Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
08 Nov Norwich City FC A 2–1 W
04 Nov Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Leicester City FC
#8 Position #23
69 Points 46
46 Played 46
20 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 12 / 16 / 18
67 Scored 58
59 Conceded 68
+8 GD -10
1.50 PPG 1.00
43% Win % 26%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Leicester City FC are 23rd (46 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Leicester City FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 Leicester City FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Leicester City FC 74% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC34% Draw26% Leicester City FC40%
Actual: Leicester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Leicester City FC
66%
Derby County FC or Leicester City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw40% Leicester City FC33%
Actual: Leicester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 1
4.8%
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 0
4.2%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 1
4%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Leicester City FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 16% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 19% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 13% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.