Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sheffield Wednesday FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 1 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Hillsborough 31,056 HT 45' · FT 45'
Barry Bannan 8' 1–0
Josh Windass 61' 2–0
Djeidi Gassama 63' 3–0
3–1 68' Jerry Yates
Anthony Musaba 74' 4–1
4–2 90+1' Ebou Adams

Overview

Match Preview

Sheffield Wednesday FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Hillsborough.

Match Details

  • Referee Lewis Smith
  • Assistant 1 Darren Williams (England)
  • Assistant 2 Rob Smith
5 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Derby County FC H 4–2 W
29 Dec Preston North End FC A 1–3 L
26 Dec Middlesbrough FC A 3–3 D
21 Dec Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
14 Dec Oxford United FC A 3–1 W
10 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–4 L
29 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
26 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
20 Dec Luton Town FC A 1–2 L
13 Dec Portsmouth FC H 4–0 W
10 Dec Burnley FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85 Sheffield Wednesday FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sheffield Wednesday FC55% Draw24% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Sheffield Wednesday FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Sheffield Wednesday FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Derby County FC
45%
Sheffield Wednesday FC or Derby County FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sheffield Wednesday FC38% Draw43% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Sheffield Wednesday FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Sheffield Wednesday FC

Handicap Sheffield Wednesday FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sheffield Wednesday FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.