Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov | Derby County FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Nov | Bristol City FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Ipswich Town FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 05 Nov | Preston North End FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Nov | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | Norwich City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Nov | Watford FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | Hull City AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Nov | Sheffield United FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #8 |
| 64 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 18 / 10 / 18 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 57 | Scored | 67 |
| 59 | Conceded | 59 |
| -2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 39% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Swansea City AFC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- Another three points for Derby County FC.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 4 |
| Harry Wilson | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 1 |
| Ronald | 1 |
| Duane Holmes | 1 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 1 |
| Kyle Naughton | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
2025-11-25
Swansea City AFC
1–2
Derby County FC
L
2025-11-22
Bristol City FC
3–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-11-08
Swansea City AFC
1–4
Ipswich Town FC
L
2025-11-05
Preston North End FC
2–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-11-01
Charlton Athletic FC
1–1
Swansea City AFC
D
2025-10-25
Swansea City AFC
2–1
Norwich City FC
W
Derby County FC Form
2025-11-25
Swansea City AFC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
2025-11-22
Derby County FC
2–3
Watford FC
L
2025-11-08
Blackburn Rovers FC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
2025-11-04
Derby County FC
2–1
Hull City AFC
W
2025-11-01
Sheffield United FC
1–3
Derby County FC
W
2025-10-25
Derby County FC
1–0
Queens Park Rangers FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC 72% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
59%
Draw or Derby County FC
69%
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
3.6%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 16% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 21% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.