Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07, DFB-Pokal 2023-24 LAST 16

DFB-Pokal · 2023-24
Wed 6 Dec 2023 · 17:00 UTC BayArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07DFB-Pokal at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec SC Paderborn 07 H 3–1 W
03 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 1–1 D
30 Nov BK Hacken A 2–0 W
25 Nov SV Werder Bremen A 3–0 W
12 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–0 W
09 Nov Qarabag Agdam FK A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–3 L
03 Dec Hannover 96 H 1–0 W
25 Nov SV 07 Elversberg A 1–4 L
11 Nov 1. FC Nurnberg H 1–3 L
05 Nov Karlsruher SC A 3–0 W
01 Nov SC Freiburg A 3–1 W

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 59% + Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen59% Draw23% SC Paderborn 0718%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
81%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
41%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or SC Paderborn 07
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen40% Draw42% SC Paderborn 0718%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.1%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 22% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
33%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.