Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 9 Dec 2023 · 12:00 UTC Volksparkstadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Dingert
14 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 3.4 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
3
Hamburger SV 5 games · Avg 2.4 goals SC Paderborn 07

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec SC Paderborn 07 H 1–2 L
06 Dec Hertha BSC A 6–8 L
01 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–2 D
24 Nov Eintracht Braunschweig H 2–1 W
11 Nov Holstein Kiel A 2–4 L
04 Nov 1. FC Magdeburg H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Hamburger SV A 2–1 W
06 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–3 L
03 Dec Hannover 96 H 1–0 W
25 Nov SV 07 Elversberg A 1–4 L
11 Nov 1. FC Nurnberg H 1–3 L
05 Nov Karlsruher SC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV or SC Paderborn 07 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV42% Draw28% SC Paderborn 0730%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
70%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
58%
Hamburger SV or SC Paderborn 07
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV31% Draw47% SC Paderborn 0722%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
31%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.