Saturday , 14 November 2026

Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 9 Dec 2023 · 12:00 UTC Volksparkstadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Dingert
5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 13.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
4
Hamburger SV 6 games · Avg 2.2 goals SC Paderborn 07

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec SC Paderborn 07 H 1–2 L
06 Dec Hertha BSC A 6–8 L
01 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–2 D
24 Nov Eintracht Braunschweig H 2–1 W
11 Nov Holstein Kiel A 2–4 L
04 Nov 1. FC Magdeburg H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Hamburger SV A 2–1 W
06 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–3 L
03 Dec Hannover 96 H 1–0 W
25 Nov SV 07 Elversberg A 1–4 L
11 Nov 1. FC Nürnberg H 1–3 L
05 Nov Karlsruher SC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Volksparkstadion. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Hamburger SV and SC Paderborn 07.
  • 5' Hamburger SV currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Hamburger SV are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 11' What composure from Laszlo Benes! The Slovakia international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 16' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 21' Filip Bilbija does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Paderborn 07 surge ahead!
  • 26' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 31' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 34' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 34 minute. Mattes Hansen leaves to be changed by Kai Klefisch.
  • 39' Immanuel Pherai has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 44' Hamburger SV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Hamburger SV — Nicolas Kisilowski on, Ignace Van Der Brempt off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 53' The Hamburger SV manager makes a substitution. Stephan Ambrosius departs to be replaced by Dennis Hadzikadunic.
  • 58' The travelling SC Paderborn 07 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 62' Magnificent from Ilyas Ansah! That is 7 goals in 327 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 67' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 69' That is a card for SC Paderborn 07. Filip Bilbija will be fuming at that decision.
  • 70' Time for substitution for SC Paderborn 07. Ilyas Ansah is replaced by Sirlord Conteh.
  • 74' Hamburger SV make a change. Levin Oztunali trudges off to be replaced by Andras Nemeth on 74 minutes.
  • 78' That is a card for Hamburger SV. Miro Muheim will be fuming at that decision.
  • 79' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07 — Tobias Muller on, Sebastian Klaas off on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Hamburger SV are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 85' Jannis Heuer is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
  • 87' The referee shows Hamburger SV player a card on 87.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Moritz Heyer is booked for Hamburger SV — card on 90.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV or SC Paderborn 07 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV42% Draw28% SC Paderborn 0730%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
70%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
58%
Hamburger SV or SC Paderborn 07
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV31% Draw47% SC Paderborn 0722%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.