Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 9 Dec 2023 · 12:00 UTC Volksparkstadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Dingert
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 13.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
3
Hamburger SV 5 games · Avg 2.4 goals SC Paderborn 07

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec SC Paderborn 07 H 1–2 L
06 Dec Hertha BSC A 6–8 L
01 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–2 D
24 Nov Eintracht Braunschweig H 2–1 W
11 Nov Holstein Kiel A 2–4 L
04 Nov 1. FC Magdeburg H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Hamburger SV A 2–1 W
06 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–3 L
03 Dec Hannover 96 H 1–0 W
25 Nov SV 07 Elversberg A 1–4 L
11 Nov 1. FC Nürnberg H 1–3 L
05 Nov Karlsruher SC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Volksparkstadion. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Hamburger SV and SC Paderborn 07.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 11' Against the run of play, Laszlo Benes has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 16' Marco Schuster, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 21' Goal! Filip Bilbija scores his 24 goal in 169 matches.
  • 26' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 31' It’s high time Lukas Kwasniok made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 34' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kai Klefisch is hanging Mattes Hansen on the field on 34 minute.
  • 39' It is a cagey affair so far. Hamburger SV in their trying to find a way past SC Paderborn 07's compact .
  • 44' SC Paderborn 07 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 46' A change in the Hamburger SV ranks — Ignace Van Der Brempt exits the field as Nicolas Kisilowski enters on 46.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 53' Dennis Hadzikadunic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Stephan Ambrosius on 53 minute.
  • 58' The 25-year-old Immanuel Pherai has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 62' Ilyas Ansah does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Paderborn 07 surge ahead!
  • 67' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 318 games and scored 232 goals.
  • 69' Filip Bilbija was booked on 69.
  • 70' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07 — Sirlord Conteh on, Ilyas Ansah off on 70 minutes.
  • 74' The Hamburger SV manager makes a substitution. Levin Oztunali departs to be replaced by Andras Nemeth.
  • 78' That is a card for Hamburger SV. Miro Muheim will be fuming at that decision.
  • 79' Tobias Muller has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sebastian Klaas on 79 minute.
  • 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jannis Heuer on 85.
  • 87' It’s gonna be a card for Laszlo Benes.
  • 90' Moritz Heyer picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SC Paderborn 07 players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV or SC Paderborn 07 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV42% Draw28% SC Paderborn 0730%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
70%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
58%
Hamburger SV or SC Paderborn 07
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV31% Draw47% SC Paderborn 0722%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.